Re: comm. (was Re: FW: Re:Emergence Seminar--BritishEmergence)

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Re: Faith and Science (was comm.)

Miles Parker

On Sep 18, 2009, at 9:59 AM, Russ Abbott wrote:

> And by the way, when I say one can't help but have an opinion about  
> the color of the sky I'm really saying that one can't help but have  
> an opinion about one's experience of seeing the sky.  Certainly one  
> can ask whether it even makes sense to say that the sky has a color,  
> and if so how would one measure it, etc. That's not what I'm talking  
> about. I'm saying that one can hardly help but have an opinion about  
> having experienced the sky having a blue color when one looks at it.  
> I don't know whether that clarifies things or not.

Now, this really is the heart of the matter. One certainly can  
experience without forming an opinion. Granted, that can take a lot of  
practice. But a world in which all phenomenon could only be  
appreciated through our learned, parochial biases would for me feel  
very fruitless and almost scary.


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Re: Faith and Science (was comm.)

glen e. p. ropella-2
In reply to this post by Russ Abbott
Thus spake Russ Abbott circa 09-09-18 09:53 AM:
> Glen, You and Nick (and I) actually agree that thought is not necessary for
> us to eat, walk, etc. We do it whether or not we think that we do it. It
> seems to me that you are supposing that Nick (and I) are saying something
> different. We're not.  What I'm saying (and what I imagine Nick is saying)
> is that once one starts to think about it, it makes no sense to deny
> reality, not that our thought is necessary for reality.

And I find that ridiculous.  What has changed "once one starts to think
about it"???  Nothing.  You still act the way you act, regardless.

What galls me is this "it makes no sense" part.  Makes no sense to whom?
 You?  Are you claiming that things must make sense to _you_ in order
for them to happen?

So, although you may _think_ you're saying the same thing I am, you most
definitely are not.  You're saying that (by some magic) your belief
matters to your actions.  And I'm saying it doesn't.  Actions don't have
to "make sense".

Now, there are some amongst us (you seem to be one of them) who _desire_
things to make sense to them or else they have trouble believing them.
Fine.  Do whatever you need to do in your own brain to make sense of
your experiences.  If you need to believe in a convenient fiction (e.g.
external reality, God, whatever), do it.  But don't claim that we're all
wrong or confused if we don't believe the same way you believe.

> Furthermore, I would add (and I don't know what Nick thinks about this),
> that we are thiking beings and that we almost can't help ourselves from
> thinking.

I agree.  But it doesn't mean that what we think is True.

> Consequently (in my view), we can't honestly say that we have no
> opinion about reality. We can hardly help ourselves. It's part of human
> nature to look around, observe, and conclude.

Wrong.  We *can* have "no opinion" because what you mean by "no opinion"
is "no _single_ opinion".  I actually have _lots_ of opinions about
reality, DEPENDING on the context, as I explained before ad nauseum.
And I actually believe that every thinking creature has
context-dependent opinions, even you.

Again, however, there are some of us with a mental illness who _insist_
on reducing every opinion they have down to a _single_ opinion that
applies across the board to all contexts they or anyone else shall ever
experience.  This is akin to the psychological symptom of "delusions of
grandeur".  The rest of us just accept that we have multiple, sometimes
contradictory opinions, and go about our day without chewing our nails
off about it.

As I quoted before:  "I have noticed even people who claim everything is
predestined, and that we can do nothing to change it, look before they
cross the road." -- Steven Hawking.

I'll throw in another of my favorites:  "Do I contradict myself?  Very
well, then, I contradict myself; (I am large -- I contain multitudes.)"
-- Walt Whitman

> That's one way in which we are different from pond scum.

Oh?  You think the pond scum doesn't also have "opinions"?!?  Can you
define "opinion" crisply enough to prove that?  I suspect not without
making a billion questionable assumptions and launching another endless
philosophical/metaphysical debate about "intention".

> So since (again in my view) one can't help but
> have an opinion about reality (at least once someone poses the question), it
> makes no sense to me to then deny it -- or even to deny having an opinion.
> We just aren't built that way.

I agree that we are built to hold opinions (and I think in some sense
pond scum also hold opinions).  But I disagree that we are built to
reconcile and over-generalize all our concepts so that each concept is
unique and consistent with all other concepts in our heads.  In fact, I
believe we are built to maintain _multiple_ (often contradictory) models
of the various contexts we experience.

> Admittedly that's a somewhat different
> question, and it's possible that we can not have an opinion about issues
> like that. But I doubt it. It's like looking at the sky (with no clouds) and
> denying that one has an opinion about its color. It's hard for me to believe
> that one can do that. But as I said, perhaps it's possible.

I have many opinions about sky color.  I do not have a _single_ opinion
about sky color.

--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com


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Re: Faith and Science (was comm.)

glen e. p. ropella-2
In reply to this post by Miles Parker
Thus spake Miles Parker circa 09-09-18 10:18 AM:
> Now, this really is the heart of the matter. One certainly can
> experience without forming an opinion. Granted, that can take a lot of
> practice. But a world in which all phenomenon could only be appreciated
> through our learned, parochial biases would for me feel very fruitless
> and almost scary.

Well, I might disagree with you on this point.  I think the technique
you're claiming allows you to experience a context without forming an
opinion is really the ability to experience a context and form
_multiple_ opinions.

Often this is called empathy.  Let's say someone knocks my beer over in
a bar, which makes me very mad because it was a $7 imperial stout of
which they only brew 1 batch per year.... let's say... ;-)  Now, my
first opinion is that I should jump up and elbow them in the nose.  But
after a few microseconds (depending on how many beers I've had), my
second opinion is from his point of view... I've knocked over others'
beers at various times and didn't believe I should be elbowed in the
nose.  And given a few more moments, I may form many more opinions...
perhaps he's drinking a Budweiser and needs to be elbowed in the nose
because he has no taste in beer and probably thinks my beer is as crappy
as his, which means nobody really cares if it gets knocked over!

This ability to form many hypothetical models of any given aspect can
eventually _seem_ like not forming any opinion.

--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com


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ABMs and Psychology (was Re:FW:Re:Re:WTF: Faith and Science (was comm.))

Jochen Fromm-4
In reply to this post by Eric Charles
It is true, many terms in Psychology and Sociology
are abstract and "unreal". You mentioned personality,
extroversion, emotional intelligence, in-group preference,..
For social systems, many abstract concepts like
power and freedom become concrete, observable and
measurable phenomena if we consider them as Multi-Agent
Systems (MAS) or CAS, and model them in a suitable way
http://wiki.cas-group.net/index.php?title=Agent_interaction_pattern

The situation is maybe similar for a "psychological
system". If we decompose the brain into different
parts and neural subsystems, then we can possibly map
computational processes in the "cognitive architecture"
on the corresponding psychological phenomena. Maybe
ABM can be helpful here, too. I would really like
see an ABM of self-consciousness..
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_architecture

-J.

----- Original Message -----
From: ERIC P. CHARLES
To: friam
Sent: Thursday, September 17, 2009 3:55 PM
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Faith and Science (was comm.)

[..] I argued that it serves scientists well to believe that what they are
studying is real (hence the reference to faith). For example: People who
study personality believe that the word "personality" refers to a real
phenomenon, a real happening in the world. At the least, they routinely
convince me that they think it is real. This is the standard, lay use of the
word "real", which conforms reasonably well to many (but not all)
philosophical specifications of the term.

Now I do not believe in "personality", at least not in the way those
researchers do, but most of them don't believe in "perception" the way I
think perception works. What goes on at the higher levels is a war over what
is "real". In Science (with a capital S), we like to think that will be
decided on the merits of empirical evidence (which again necessitates belief
in the real). I get the impression that if any researchers, in psychology,
chemistry, physics, art, history of Europe, etc., stopped believing they
were studying something real, the whole enterprise would fall apart. Given
that many of these endeavors do, in the long run, produce useful things, it
would be sad to see them go. Thus, there is good reason for scientists to
have faith in the reality of what they are studying.


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Re: ABMs and Psychology (was Re:FW:Re:Re:WTF: Faith and Science (was comm.))

Miles Parker

Here's an interesting question, or perhaps it simply draws us back to  
the same general problem. Can we say that social or psychological  
phenomenon are any more or less "real" than say that of physical  
systems?

By corollary, can we say that theories from observations of such  
system's phenomenon are in general less valid?

I can think of at least one way of answering yes, but I'm not sure  
that it is correct or even wether I like it or not. I think it is a  
consequence of Glen's thoughts on model validity -- I'm still muling  
that as it deserves reflection: I don't know what I "know", and from  
there how I feel about it yet. (These scare quotes are getting  
tiresome, but I can't think of anyway other way to all out their  
poorly defined or indefinable qualities.) All of the statements below  
be challenged, of course.

Given:

a) Social and psychological systems are inherently more complex than  
so-called physical systems.
b) Our understanding of a given system increases as we add models that  
are novel and valid.
c) Increasingly complex systems require increasing numbers of models  
in order to show that they are valid.
d) A theory is or rests on some model or set of models.

.:

1) More models are needed to describe a psychological or social system  
than for a physical system.

Assume:

e) The set of models for a given system are of equivalent  
sophistication, parsimony, scope (size?) and validity.

.:

2) In a very general sense, we should regard theories of social and  
psychological systems as less valid, or...

3) relatively more effort will be required to establish the validity  
of a social or psychological theory .


As I say, I'm not sure that I agree with the premises and am not  
necessarily at all happy with the conclusion, but on the other hand 3)  
does seem to dock with public and scientific  intuition about the  
relative quality of our insights into social and physical systems:  
i.e. quite poor compared to physical systems. In other words, the  
conclusion is probably not earth-shattering and perhaps not even  
controversial.

On the other hand, if we take that against our apparent or assumed  
level of understanding or predictive capacity with respect to the  
(speaking dualistically now :)) interaction between our mind and the  
world,  we might actually evaluate a mental model as more valid than  
that of a model of the physical world. For example, if a caveman hits  
himself on the finger with a hammer (or a rock, say), he will take the  
theory that hammers hurt fingers as more valid than the theory of  
relativity. Modus tollens, this might challenge Glen's hypothesis.

Sorry for the ramble..

On Sep 19, 2009, at 11:03 AM, Jochen Fromm wrote:

> It is true, many terms in Psychology and Sociology
> are abstract and "unreal". You mentioned personality,
> extroversion, emotional intelligence, in-group preference,..
> For social systems, many abstract concepts like
> power and freedom become concrete, observable and
> measurable phenomena if we consider them as Multi-Agent
> Systems (MAS) or CAS, and model them in a suitable way
> http://wiki.cas-group.net/index.php?title=Agent_interaction_pattern
>
> The situation is maybe similar for a "psychological
> system". If we decompose the brain into different
> parts and neural subsystems, then we can possibly map
> computational processes in the "cognitive architecture"
> on the corresponding psychological phenomena. Maybe
> ABM can be helpful here, too. I would really like
> see an ABM of self-consciousness..
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_architecture
>
> -J.
>
> ----- Original Message ----- From: ERIC P. CHARLES
> To: friam
> Sent: Thursday, September 17, 2009 3:55 PM
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Faith and Science (was comm.)
>
> [..] I argued that it serves scientists well to believe that what  
> they are studying is real (hence the reference to faith). For  
> example: People who study personality believe that the word  
> "personality" refers to a real phenomenon, a real happening in the  
> world. At the least, they routinely convince me that they think it  
> is real. This is the standard, lay use of the word "real", which  
> conforms reasonably well to many (but not all) philosophical  
> specifications of the term.
>
> Now I do not believe in "personality", at least not in the way those  
> researchers do, but most of them don't believe in "perception" the  
> way I think perception works. What goes on at the higher levels is a  
> war over what is "real". In Science (with a capital S), we like to  
> think that will be decided on the merits of empirical evidence  
> (which again necessitates belief in the real). I get the impression  
> that if any researchers, in psychology, chemistry, physics, art,  
> history of Europe, etc., stopped believing they were studying  
> something real, the whole enterprise would fall apart. Given that  
> many of these endeavors do, in the long run, produce useful things,  
> it would be sad to see them go. Thus, there is good reason for  
> scientists to have faith in the reality of what they are studying.
>
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


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Re: ABMs and Psychology

Jochen Fromm-4
In Physics, energy, mass, force and momentum are abstract
terms, too, but they have a concrete mathematical meaning.
We model physical processes as interactions among
variables. Unless we don't use mathematical equations
like F=ma, the terms remain unreal, abstract and vague.

In Sociology and Psychology it is much harder to
describe the systems with mathematical equations.
Instead of using equations, it is more useful to explain
the systems by ABM, as Macy and Willer describe
in their article "FROM FACTORS TO ACTORS:
Computational Sociology and Agent-Based Modeling".

It would be interesting to try a shift from factors to actors
in Psychology as well.

-J.

----- Original Message -----
From: "Miles Parker" <[hidden email]>
To: "The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group" <[hidden email]>
Sent: Saturday, September 19, 2009 10:17 PM
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] ABMs and Psychology (was Re:FW:Re:Re:WTF: Faith
andScience (was comm.))


>
> Here's an interesting question, or perhaps it simply draws us back to  the
> same general problem. Can we say that social or psychological  phenomenon
> are any more or less "real" than say that of physical  systems?
>


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Re: ABMs and Psychology

glen e. p. ropella-2

Although I agree that much of the "complexity" we see in social and
psychological systems (SoPS) is fundamentally related to the
formalization (or lack thereof) of the languages used to formulate the
questions and hypothetical models of the systems' mechanisms, I don't
think this is where the complexity really comes from.  I think the (lack
of) formalization we see in SoPS comes primarily from the
incommensurability between their mechanisms and the operators applied to
them.

Questions about physical systems are formulated at nearly the same level
and in nearly the same language as is used to formulate the purported
mechanisms for those systems.  The degree of formalization is high
because we've reduced the language of mechanisms and questions down to
continuous (or discretized continuous) spacetime, fields, particles and
their properties, etc.

In contrast, in SoPS, it is too difficult to use that same language to
express the questions and system mechanisms.  The logical depth is too
great to formulate, say, "anger" in terms of, say, quarks.  So, we hunt
around for languages with which to express SoPS, born of partially-baked
"ontologies" from Freud, Jung, Hobbes, Locke, Keynes, Maslow, etc.

But the apparent complexity is not just (or at all, in my opinion) a
consequence of the not-fully-formal languages.  It's a consequence of
using different languages for the questions/measures from that used for
the mechanisms.  The degree of mismatch between the language in which
the operator is formulated and the language in which the hypothetical
mechanisms are formulated is what leads to the apparent complexity.

I say _apparent_ because it's easy to confuse complication with
complexity.  Complexity, in my view, requires intra-system operators
formulated with intra-system languages that are incommensurate with the
language of the most fundamental mechanisms, where the result of
applying these operators is part of the mechanism.  So, complexity is
the result of intra-system operators formulated in a language that
doesn't match the language expressing the mechanism, producing a part of
the mechanism, i.e. a causative cycle with lexical mismatch between some
parts of the cycle.*+

So, even once we get all SoPS languages formalized (to the extent we
have non-well-founded set theory formalized), as long as we don't reduce
it all to a kind of "bottom turtle" language (which may not even be
possible), they'll exhibit complexity.

I.e. multiple models are required for complex systems because "complex"
means "formulated in multiple models". [grin]  Ha!  Justificationists Unite!

[*] Note that this is subtly different from Russell Standish's
definition of "emergence", which doesn't seem to require the
circularity.  However, I'm not quite a Rosenite in that I believe
circularity (causal closure) is necessary but not sufficient.  The
lexical mismatch is also necessary.

[+] Also note that the concept of "level" doesn't apply, here, either,
as in Russ Abbott's "solution" to the problem of "emergence", because it
involves an impredicative definition where the macro generates the micro
and the micro generates the macro. ... or, similarly, interfaces
implement implementations implement interfaces... ;-)

Thus spake Jochen Fromm circa 09-09-20 04:03 AM:

> In Physics, energy, mass, force and momentum are abstract
> terms, too, but they have a concrete mathematical meaning.
> We model physical processes as interactions among
> variables. Unless we don't use mathematical equations
> like F=ma, the terms remain unreal, abstract and vague.
>
> In Sociology and Psychology it is much harder to
> describe the systems with mathematical equations.
> Instead of using equations, it is more useful to explain
> the systems by ABM, as Macy and Willer describe
> in their article "FROM FACTORS TO ACTORS:
> Computational Sociology and Agent-Based Modeling".
>
> It would be interesting to try a shift from factors to actors
> in Psychology as well.

--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com


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Re: ABMs and Psychology

Russell Standish
On Mon, Sep 21, 2009 at 03:22:38PM -0700, glen e. p. ropella wrote:

>
> I say _apparent_ because it's easy to confuse complication with
> complexity.  Complexity, in my view, requires intra-system operators
> formulated with intra-system languages that are incommensurate with the
> language of the most fundamental mechanisms, where the result of
> applying these operators is part of the mechanism.  So, complexity is
> the result of intra-system operators formulated in a language that
> doesn't match the language expressing the mechanism, producing a part of
> the mechanism, i.e. a causative cycle with lexical mismatch between some
> parts of the cycle.*+
>

> [*] Note that this is subtly different from Russell Standish's
> definition of "emergence", which doesn't seem to require the
> circularity.  However, I'm not quite a Rosenite in that I believe
> circularity (causal closure) is necessary but not sufficient.  The
> lexical mismatch is also necessary.
>

It is true that I don't see causal loops as necessary for emergence. I
suspect they might be sufficient though, provided they are non-trivial
(cannot be collapsed). I recognise my definition of emergence is
probably the most liberal definition that still means
something. Stronger emergent concepts exist, of course, such as
Bedau's weak emergence. So what you're proposing sounds to me just
like a stronger notion, possibly even akin to Bedau's strong
emergence. I give an example of a loopy structure in my book (page
162) which I think is an example of strong emergence.

One trouble you will have is that not everybody accepts causal loops,
ie they would posit that all causal loops can be explained by (reduced
to) a non-loop structure with the causal direction coming from the
lowest levels.



--

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Re: ABMs and Psychology

glen e. p. ropella-2
Thus spake russell standish circa 09-09-21 04:02 PM:
> Bedau's weak emergence. So what you're proposing sounds to me just
> like a stronger notion, possibly even akin to Bedau's strong
> emergence. I give an example of a loopy structure in my book (page
> 162) which I think is an example of strong emergence.

Except I'm not defining "emergence", here.  I'm defining "complexity".
As I've said, "emergence" seems like a useless concept to me.

> One trouble you will have is that not everybody accepts causal loops,
> ie they would posit that all causal loops can be explained by (reduced
> to) a non-loop structure with the causal direction coming from the
> lowest levels.

Yeah, all justificationist gobbledygook has that type of trouble,
including my justificationist gobbledygook. [grin]  But, what matters is
what I achieve by thinking this way, not how many people think like me.

--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com


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Re: ABMs and Psychology

Russell Standish
On Mon, Sep 21, 2009 at 04:10:20PM -0700, glen e. p. ropella wrote:
> Thus spake russell standish circa 09-09-21 04:02 PM:
> > Bedau's weak emergence. So what you're proposing sounds to me just
> > like a stronger notion, possibly even akin to Bedau's strong
> > emergence. I give an example of a loopy structure in my book (page
> > 162) which I think is an example of strong emergence.
>
> Except I'm not defining "emergence", here.  I'm defining "complexity".
> As I've said, "emergence" seems like a useless concept to me.
>

I would say the two terms in essence mean the same thing. I would say
a "complex system" is one that exhibits "emergence".

BTW, I technically use the term complexity to refer to a measure - it
is a numerical quantity, usually closely related to information. But I
do recognise that it could be used to describe a quality - ie that which
makes a complex system complex. If the first sentence is true, then
complexity would be the quality of exhibiting emergence :).

I think the difference between our approaches is you would prefer to
give up emergence to the the obfuscating mysterians, and invent a new
term "complexity" for the concept, or similarly related, whereas I
would prefer to reclaim the term for a perfectly well-defined
technical meaning. Your approach is not wrong, per se. For instance
I've given up attempting to assign a meaning to the term "realism"
(from our other thread :).

--

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Re: ABMs and Psychology

glen e. p. ropella-2
Thus spake russell standish circa 09-09-21 05:20 PM:
> I would say the two terms in essence mean the same thing. I would say
> a "complex system" is one that exhibits "emergence".
>
> BTW, I technically use the term complexity to refer to a measure - it
> is a numerical quantity, usually closely related to information. But I
> do recognise that it could be used to describe a quality - ie that which
> makes a complex system complex. If the first sentence is true, then
> complexity would be the quality of exhibiting emergence :).

I could live with the idea that emergence is a measure of complexity
(which is what I infer from "a complex system exhibits emergence").  I
don't treat complexity, in itself, as a measure, though.  Complexity is
a property (scaled at least from simple to complex).  And there are
measures that attempt to estimate the complexity of a system.  It's
important the measures of complexity need not be _metrics_; but they can
be.  So the co-domain of a measure of complexity can be qualitative,
hyperspatial, discrete, continuous, whatever.

> I think the difference between our approaches is you would prefer to
> give up emergence to the the obfuscating mysterians, and invent a new
> term "complexity" for the concept, or similarly related,

Well, almost, except I've seen a lot more work on measures of complexity
than I have measures of emergence.  So, there's at least some footing
there.  And I believe my defn (and yours) could leverage that work to
some extent, except I don't see the need for "emergence" as a term when
we have complexity and measures of complexity.  If emergence were just a
(particular type of) measure of complexity, then even if it's weren't as
useless as I find it, it's usefulness would be minimal and specific,
which would actually make me happy. 8^)

--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com


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Re: ABMs and Psychology

Nick Thompson
In reply to this post by Jochen Fromm-4
One standard explanation for the "failure to thrive" of sociological and
psychological explanations is their intentionality.  Here, intentionality
takes on a slightly different meaning than it usually does on this list.  
An utterance is "intentional" in this new sense if it contains a
proposition as the object of a verb of mentation.  Intentional explanations
are of the form, "Jones avoided center al park because he thought there
were bears in it."  Notice that the truth of the nested proposition has no
bearing on the truth of the explanation.  Nothing about the state of
central park or its wildlife has any bearing (sorry).  This feature of
intentional explanations blocks a familiar kind of scientific progress in
which an explanation is made richer by empirical elaboration.  Take for
instance, "the London  epidemic  of 18-- was caused by cholera.  We now
learn that cholera is a water-born disease.  We can now say, given the
truth of the cholera assertion, that "the London epidemic was caused by a
waterborne disease.  This move, called "substitutio salve veritate",
(substitution preserving truth), cannot be done with intentional
explanations.  It does us no good, for instance, to do research on bears
and learn that they are large omnivorous mammals.  We cannot infer that
Jones avoided central park because he thought there were large omnivorous
mammals in it because the truth of that assertion depends solely on Jones
beliefs, not on the truth of the matter.  

The idea is that such intentionality in sociological and psychological
explanations forever blocks their linkage to the more fundamental and
general explanations of biology, chemistry, and physics.  

Nick

Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Ethology,
Clark University ([hidden email])
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/




> [Original Message]
> From: russell standish <[hidden email]>
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>
> Date: 9/22/2009 2:20:08 PM
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] ABMs and Psychology
>
> On Mon, Sep 21, 2009 at 04:10:20PM -0700, glen e. p. ropella wrote:
> > Thus spake russell standish circa 09-09-21 04:02 PM:
> > > Bedau's weak emergence. So what you're proposing sounds to me just
> > > like a stronger notion, possibly even akin to Bedau's strong
> > > emergence. I give an example of a loopy structure in my book (page
> > > 162) which I think is an example of strong emergence.
> >
> > Except I'm not defining "emergence", here.  I'm defining "complexity".
> > As I've said, "emergence" seems like a useless concept to me.
> >
>
> I would say the two terms in essence mean the same thing. I would say
> a "complex system" is one that exhibits "emergence".
>
> BTW, I technically use the term complexity to refer to a measure - it
> is a numerical quantity, usually closely related to information. But I
> do recognise that it could be used to describe a quality - ie that which
> makes a complex system complex. If the first sentence is true, then
> complexity would be the quality of exhibiting emergence :).
>
> I think the difference between our approaches is you would prefer to
> give up emergence to the the obfuscating mysterians, and invent a new
> term "complexity" for the concept, or similarly related, whereas I
> would prefer to reclaim the term for a perfectly well-defined
> technical meaning. Your approach is not wrong, per se. For instance
> I've given up attempting to assign a meaning to the term "realism"
> (from our other thread :).
>
> --
>
>
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> Prof Russell Standish                  Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
> Mathematics                        
> UNSW SYDNEY 2052                 [hidden email]
> Australia                                http://www.hpcoders.com.au
>
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org



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Re: ABMs and Psychology

Russ Abbott
Lots of replies since Glen's first message, but I'd like to go back to that and ask for clarification.  Glen wrote:

Questions about physical systems are formulated at nearly the same level
and in nearly the same language as is used to formulate the purported
mechanisms for those systems.  The degree of formalization is high
because we've reduced the language of mechanisms and questions down to
continuous (or discretized continuous) spacetime, fields, particles and
their properties, etc.

I don't think that's true about biology, meteorology, geology, etc.  Am I misunderstanding you?

In contrast, in SoPS, it is too difficult to use that same language to
express the questions and system mechanisms.  The logical depth is too
great to formulate, say, "anger" in terms of, say, quarks.  So, we hunt
around for languages with which to express SoPS, born of partially-baked
"ontologies" from Freud, Jung, Hobbes, Locke, Keynes, Maslow, etc.

As in biology, meteorology, geology, etc.  No? Clarification would be appreciated.

But the apparent complexity is not just (or at all, in my opinion) a
consequence of the not-fully-formal languages.  It's a consequence of
using different languages for the questions/measures from that used for
the mechanisms.  The degree of mismatch between the language in which
the operator is formulated and the language in which the hypothetical
mechanisms are formulated is what leads to the apparent complexity.

Do you have an example? I'm not following you. Didn't Freud, for example, use the same language for both the questions and the claimed mechanisms? I'm not defending Freud, but I'm not clear why you are saying he didn't do what you want.

I say _apparent_ because it's easy to confuse complication with
complexity.  Complexity, in my view, requires intra-system operators
formulated with intra-system languages that are incommensurate with the
language of the most fundamental mechanisms, where the result of
applying these operators is part of the mechanism.  So, complexity is
the result of intra-system operators formulated in a language that
doesn't match the language expressing the mechanism, producing a part of
the mechanism, i.e. a causative cycle with lexical mismatch between some
parts of the cycle.*+

Again, I'm confused. Is that complexity or just bad science? I thought you said it was the latter.

So, even once we get all SoPS languages formalized (to the extent we
have non-well-founded set theory formalized), as long as we don't reduce
it all to a kind of "bottom turtle" language (which may not even be
possible), they'll exhibit complexity.

What would a collection of formalized SoPS languages look like? What would even one look like? Can you explain with something like an example? I realize that you are saying it hasn't happened yet, but I don't understand what it would look like if it did happen. An example would help.  Are you saying that you want everything in an SoPS expressed in terms of quarks?  If not, then what? I'm just not following you.


-- RussA


On Mon, Sep 21, 2009 at 7:36 PM, Nicholas Thompson <[hidden email]> wrote:
One standard explanation for the "failure to thrive" of sociological and
psychological explanations is their intentionality.  Here, intentionality
takes on a slightly different meaning than it usually does on this list.
An utterance is "intentional" in this new sense if it contains a
proposition as the object of a verb of mentation.  Intentional explanations
are of the form, "Jones avoided center al park because he thought there
were bears in it."  Notice that the truth of the nested proposition has no
bearing on the truth of the explanation.  Nothing about the state of
central park or its wildlife has any bearing (sorry).  This feature of
intentional explanations blocks a familiar kind of scientific progress in
which an explanation is made richer by empirical elaboration.  Take for
instance, "the London  epidemic  of 18-- was caused by cholera.  We now
learn that cholera is a water-born disease.  We can now say, given the
truth of the cholera assertion, that "the London epidemic was caused by a
waterborne disease.  This move, called "substitutio salve veritate",
(substitution preserving truth), cannot be done with intentional
explanations.  It does us no good, for instance, to do research on bears
and learn that they are large omnivorous mammals.  We cannot infer that
Jones avoided central park because he thought there were large omnivorous
mammals in it because the truth of that assertion depends solely on Jones
beliefs, not on the truth of the matter.

The idea is that such intentionality in sociological and psychological
explanations forever blocks their linkage to the more fundamental and
general explanations of biology, chemistry, and physics.

Nick

Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Ethology,
Clark University ([hidden email])
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/




> [Original Message]
> From: russell standish <[hidden email]>
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>
> Date: 9/22/2009 2:20:08 PM
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] ABMs and Psychology
>
> On Mon, Sep 21, 2009 at 04:10:20PM -0700, glen e. p. ropella wrote:
> > Thus spake russell standish circa 09-09-21 04:02 PM:
> > > Bedau's weak emergence. So what you're proposing sounds to me just
> > > like a stronger notion, possibly even akin to Bedau's strong
> > > emergence. I give an example of a loopy structure in my book (page
> > > 162) which I think is an example of strong emergence.
> >
> > Except I'm not defining "emergence", here.  I'm defining "complexity".
> > As I've said, "emergence" seems like a useless concept to me.
> >
>
> I would say the two terms in essence mean the same thing. I would say
> a "complex system" is one that exhibits "emergence".
>
> BTW, I technically use the term complexity to refer to a measure - it
> is a numerical quantity, usually closely related to information. But I
> do recognise that it could be used to describe a quality - ie that which
> makes a complex system complex. If the first sentence is true, then
> complexity would be the quality of exhibiting emergence :).
>
> I think the difference between our approaches is you would prefer to
> give up emergence to the the obfuscating mysterians, and invent a new
> term "complexity" for the concept, or similarly related, whereas I
> would prefer to reclaim the term for a perfectly well-defined
> technical meaning. Your approach is not wrong, per se. For instance
> I've given up attempting to assign a meaning to the term "realism"
> (from our other thread :).
>
> --
>
>
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> Prof Russell Standish                  Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
> Mathematics
> UNSW SYDNEY 2052                       [hidden email]
> Australia                                http://www.hpcoders.com.au
>
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org



============================================================
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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Re: ABMs and Psychology

Jochen Fromm-4
In reply to this post by glen e. p. ropella-2
Yes, the theories in Psychology and Sociology are
structured around people and their ideas:
We have the Psychology of Freud, the Psychology
of Jung, the Psychology of Skinner, etc.
And there is the Sociology of Weber, the Sociology
of Marx, the Sociology of Goffman, etc.

In order to create a complex theoretical framework,
these reseachers have constructed domain specific
languages to explain a certain aspect of their
science. They divided their complex research object
into different parts to explain them.
Freund for example invented the id, ego and
super-ego model to describe the interactions
of body, self-consciousness and culture.

-J.

----- Original Message -----
From: "glen e. p. ropella" <[hidden email]>
To: "The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group" <[hidden email]>
Sent: Tuesday, September 22, 2009 12:22 AM
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] ABMs and Psychology


>
> In contrast, in SoPS, it is too difficult to use that same language to
> express the questions and system mechanisms.  The logical depth is too
> great to formulate, say, "anger" in terms of, say, quarks.  So, we hunt
> around for languages with which to express SoPS, born of partially-baked
> "ontologies" from Freud, Jung, Hobbes, Locke, Keynes, Maslow, etc.
>


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Re: ABMs and Psychology

glen e. p. ropella-2
In reply to this post by Russ Abbott
Thus spake Russ Abbott circa 09/21/2009 08:21 PM:

> Lots of replies since Glen's first message, but I'd like to go back
> to that and ask for clarification.  Glen wrote:
>
> Thus spake glen e. p. ropella circa 09/21/2009 03:22 PM:
>> Questions about physical systems are formulated at nearly the same
>> level and in nearly the same language as is used to formulate the
>> purported mechanisms for those systems.  The degree of
>> formalization is high because we've reduced the language of
>> mechanisms and questions down to continuous (or discretized
>> continuous) spacetime, fields, particles and their properties, etc.
>>
>
> I don't think that's true about biology, meteorology, geology, etc.
> Am I misunderstanding you?

Well, that's right about biology.  I don't consider it physics.
However, I don't know enough about meteorology and geology to have a
strong opinion.  It seems that even if they're not reducible, yet, they
soon will be.

> Do you have an example? I'm not following you. Didn't Freud, for
> example, use the same language for both the questions and the claimed
> mechanisms? I'm not defending Freud, but I'm not clear why you are
> saying he didn't do what you want.

I doubt it.  From what I know (which is very little... but if I were
afraid of my own ignorance, I'd simply remain ignorant ;-), Freud didn't
do much experimentation at all.  It seems mostly to consist of the
analysis (i.e. imputation) of case studies.  Rigorous formalization of
questions (but not necessarily mechanisms) requires something like the
scientific method, especially reproducibility of experiments.  And that
means that his use cases, questions, measures, observational methods,
etc. are at best ill-formed and at worst, arbitrary.  To be sure, _if_
the analysis crowd has made any progress at formalizing the questions
and in formalizing the mechanisms (as Jochen summarized), then some sort
of comparison can be done to determine how commensurate they are.  But
my ignorant guess is that both the mechanisms (id, ego, etc.) and the
questions ("why do you suck your thumb under stress") are at least
fuzzy, if not otherwise incommensurate.  To determine how incommensurate
they really are would take a meta-psychologist... a psychologist who
studies methods of psychology.  And I'm certainly not that.

>> I say _apparent_ because it's easy to confuse complication with
>> complexity.  Complexity, in my view, requires intra-system
>> operators formulated with intra-system languages that are
>> incommensurate with the language of the most fundamental
>> mechanisms, where the result of applying these operators is part of
>> the mechanism.  So, complexity is the result of intra-system
>> operators formulated in a language that doesn't match the language
>> expressing the mechanism, producing a part of the mechanism, i.e. a
>> causative cycle with lexical mismatch between some parts of the
>> cycle.*+
>
> Again, I'm confused. Is that complexity or just bad science? I
> thought you said it was the latter.

You're tossing me a red herring with the "bad science" thing.  I'm not
talking about bad science.  I'm speculating that ontological complexity
comes about through self-producing causal cycles where the operators
applied by one part of a system to another part of the system do not
match the mechanisms of the other part of the system.  More precisely:

  Let S = S1 * S2 be a system with two parts.  Let O : S2 -> R1 be an
operator applied by S1 to S2 that results in some abstracted, lossy,
representation of the mechanism of S2 (used as part of the mechanism of
S1).  And let T : S2 -> R2 be a concrete, non-lossy, accurate
representation of S2.  Now let C : S -> R be an operator applied to the
whole system S where R is an accurate representation of S.  C ~ R2-R1.
I.e. the complexity of the system is proportional to the difference
between R2 and R1.

I.e. the more mismatch we have between links in the cyclic causal chains
of the system, the more complex the system.  This is ontological
complexity, not the complexity in the questions we ask of the system.

>> So, even once we get all SoPS languages formalized (to the extent
>> we have non-well-founded set theory formalized), as long as we
>> don't reduce it all to a kind of "bottom turtle" language (which
>> may not even be possible), they'll exhibit complexity.
>
> What would a collection of formalized SoPS languages look like? What
> would even one look like? Can you explain with something like an
> example? I realize that you are saying it hasn't happened yet, but I
> don't understand what it would look like if it did happen. An example
> would help.

Sure.  The iterated prisoner's dilemma is a great example where social
interactions are crisp and clear.  Note that I'm not suggesting the IPD
captures _all_ social interactions.  I'm just using it as an example of
a social dynamic (a game) that has formal mechanisms and many formalized
questions.  If this sort of thing could be done for _all_ social and
psychological interactions, even if it's an infinite collection of
piecewise formalized mechanisms but collectively incoherent, it would be
possible to compare the languages of the questions to the languages of
the mechanisms.  When the questions are commensurate with the
mechanisms, the systems are simple.  When they are incommensurate, the
systems are complex.

To complexify the IPD, we could insert an evaluation method by one of
the prisoners.  Let's say, rather than basing his decision on his
expectation of whether or not the other guy will defect, he bases it
on... say, the price of tea in China.  The incommensurability
between the operator applied (tea prices) and the mechanism adds
ontological complexity to the system.

> Are you saying that you want everything in an SoPS expressed in terms
> of quarks?  If not, then what? I'm just not following you.

No.  I'm not saying I _want_ anything. ;-)  I'm saying that complexity
comes about due (in part) to a mismatch between operators and
mechanisms.  The hypothetical mechanism for physical systems (including
quarks) is so totally incommensurate with the questions we ask of, say,
politics, that there's definitely going to be epistemological complexity
to any experiment performed.  I.e. if you tried to ask political
questions about a system consisting of quarks, you're going to get very
complex observations.... probably indecipherable and perhaps
meaningless.  So, it would be a bit stupid to try to form a political
question over a system constructed from quarks.

Rather, if you want less epistemologically complex observations, you
formulate your question in as close to the same language as you
formulate your mechanism.  If the two languages are too close, you get a
trivial (simple, tautological) result.  So, what you want for
experimentation is to formulate your questions in a slightly different
language.  E.g. you ask economic questions of a political system or vice
versa.  (Note that I wouldn't suggest that the questions be formulated
in a "higher level" language than the mechanism, just a different one.)

It's important to note the difference between epistemological and
ontological complexity.  Ontological complexity comes about through both
causal cycles and operator/mechanism mismatches _within_ the system,
itself.  Epistemological complexity comes about through (at least) a
mismatch between experiments executed over the system and the mechanism
of the sytem, itself.  However, with merely the mismatch, you might
really be seeing epistemological complication, not complexity.  Perhaps
experiments where asking the question must modify the system is required
for (real or strong) epistemological complexity.

In any case, there's more clarity for my speculation, which I can't
really back up with anything more than justificationist gobbledygook.

--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com


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Re: ABMs and Psychology

glen e. p. ropella-2
Thus spake glen e. p. ropella circa 09-09-22 10:08 AM:
> To complexify the IPD, we could insert an evaluation method by one of
> the prisoners.  Let's say, rather than basing his decision on his
> expectation of whether or not the other guy will defect, he bases it
> on... say, the price of tea in China.  The incommensurability
> between the operator applied (tea prices) and the mechanism adds
> ontological complexity to the system.

Oops.  I changed the operator from an internal one to an external one
(price of tea in China) at the last minute and, thereby, screwed it up.
[grin]  It's got the mismatch between languages but not the cyclic
cause.  Since the domain of the operator is not inside the game, it
doesn't really add complexity to the system.  Sorry.  A better example
operator would be one based on the current system.... like how often the
cop blinks.

--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com


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Re: ABMs and Psychology

Marcus G. Daniels
glen e. p. ropella wrote:
> Since the domain of the operator is not inside the game, it
> doesn't really add complexity to the system.  
>
>  
Wouldn't conversations about synchronicity be more fun anyway?  :-)

Marcus

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Re: ABMs and Psychology

glen e. p. ropella-2
Thus spake Marcus G. Daniels circa 09-09-22 10:52 AM:
> Wouldn't conversations about synchronicity be more fun anyway?  :-)

Mos def.

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Re: ABMs and Psychology

Russ Abbott
I still don't understand what you're getting at. let's try again. You said,

I don't consider [biology] physics.

Would you tell me why that is important.  Biology isn't physics. Is the fact that you don't consider it physics a criticism of biology?  Are you saying biology should be physics? I'm missing the point.

However, I don't know enough about meteorology and geology to have a strong opinion.  It seems that even if they're not reducible, yet, they soon will be.

At some level everything is reducible. (You may find it strange that I say that, but I'm actually a reductionist. What I think is missing about reductionism is the reality of higher level entities. But let's get back to what you are saying.)

Given that everything is reducible, then what?  Economics is ultimately reducible. One can trace everything that happens in the realm of economics (or any other realm) to fundamental forces and particles. Paper money is made of atoms and molecules. Electronic transmissions are based on physics. But so what? It seems impossible to express economic laws in terms of fundamental physics. Economic concepts just don't exist at the level of fundamental physics. The same is true of biology. There is no concept of evolution--in the Darwinian sense--at the level of fundamental physics. This issue was illustrated by an early paper by Fodor who asked how one can explicate Gresham's law (bad money drives out good) in terms of particle physics.

So what are you suggesting be done? Or am I still missing your point? 

-- RussA




On Tue, Sep 22, 2009 at 11:15 AM, glen e. p. ropella <[hidden email]> wrote:
Thus spake Marcus G. Daniels circa 09-09-22 10:52 AM:
> Wouldn't conversations about synchronicity be more fun anyway?  :-)

Mos def.

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Re: ABMs and Psychology

Douglas Roberts-2
In reply to this post by Marcus G. Daniels
Nah.  Let's go with philosophy. Again.

--Doug

On Tue, Sep 22, 2009 at 11:52 AM, Marcus G. Daniels <[hidden email]> wrote:
glen e. p. ropella wrote:
Since the domain of the operator is not inside the game, it
doesn't really add complexity to the system.  
 
Wouldn't conversations about synchronicity be more fun anyway?  :-)

Marcus



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