Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Douglas Roberts-2
I personally find it disappointing that so many people are willing to adopt a belief set with no evidence, based solely on what someone said was The Truth.

On a related note, now would appear to be an excellent time to start a church, impose mandatory weekly attendance upon the faithful, and charge $20 a head at the door each week.

--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 3:53 PM, Nicholas Thompson <[hidden email]> wrote:

Yes but …..

 

I didn’t believe Watergate the first few times I heard about it, either.  “You aren’t telling me that a president that was going to win an election in a walk actually sent Burglars into the Democratic Headquarters?”  I just could not believe that they could be so stupid.  I fell for Colin Powell’s thing at the UN;  my wife didn’t buy it for a moment.  I have to say, that in most contexts, I believe in gullibility.  I think a little bit of gullibility is the best program for getting on in life.  But I have been known to carry it too far. 

 

Nick

 

From: Friam [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf Of Douglas Roberts
Sent: Thursday, April 04, 2013 3:39 PM


To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

 

There are a surprising number of them on facebook, Nick.  To nobody's great surprise, I guess.

 

--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 3:35 PM, Nicholas Thompson <[hidden email]> wrote:

Doug,

 

Somebody laid the chemtrails thing on me the other day … an otherwise perfectly sensible neighbor … and I was left standing in the street with my jaw hanging open.   What do you say when somebody your sort of like, touches you on the upper arm, points skyward and says, “Call me nuts, but ….” 

 

I guess, “You’re nuts!”

 

N

From: Friam [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf Of Douglas Roberts
Sent: Thursday, April 04, 2013 12:14 PM


To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

 

Well shoot, as long as we're talking about irrational belief sets, how about if we throw chemtrails into the mix. There is a not insignificant segment of the US population who fervently believe that "they" are poisoning us, on purpose.  But only on those days that the jets leave con ... er ... chemtrails.  No proof necessary, just *look* at those chemtrails.

 

--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 11:57 AM, Ron Newman <[hidden email]> wrote:

But you're missing the point.:  *something* is working for them if they believe it is, and is not for you or anyone who doesn't believe it is.  The question is how does it work?  No, that's not good enough, because it too easily leads back to premature assumptions.  The question is:  how can placebo be improved.  Not set aside but improved.

 

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 11:47 AM, glen <[hidden email]> wrote:

Barry MacKichan wrote at 04/04/2013 10:29 AM:

> I've heard it is very effective, but only for a time until the
> patient discovers it is a placebo. Call it the Lincoln effect ("You
> can fool all of ….").

A friend of mine announced that she's now getting acupuncture for her
chronic back and neck pain.  There's a zealot in our local CfI
(http://www.centerforinquiry.net/) group who continuously and loudly
shouts about acupuncture being as quackish as homeopathy. (Seriously...
is there anything as quackish as homeopathy?) The tiny amount of time
I've spent looking into acupuncture indicates that it's mostly nonsense
with some slight possibility of truth in regard to certain _pressure_
points and nerve clusters.  But nothing that an evidence-based masseuse
couldn't achieve more effectively.

But I kept my mouth shut and let her talk about how well it's worked so
far.  My dad also used acupuncture for a racquetball associated injury.
 He claimed it worked very well... [ahem] ... even better than his
chiropractor.  I didn't want to introduce any doubt that might interfere
with her placebo effect.

Interestingly, I was trying to apply the Golden Rule in a post-hoc
analysis of my lack of action.  Would I want someone to burst my placebo
effect bubble?  If so, when?  Immediately?  Or perhaps after some window
of time as the placebo effect decays and it bumps up against the hard
biophysical/physiological limits?


--
=><= glen e. p. ropella

I can't get no peace until I get into motion



============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



 


============================================================
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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



 

--

Doug Roberts
[hidden email]


<a href="tel:505-455-7333" target="_blank">505-455-7333 - Office
<a href="tel:505-672-8213" target="_blank">505-672-8213 - Mobile


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



 

--

Doug Roberts
[hidden email]


<a href="tel:505-455-7333" value="+15054557333" target="_blank">505-455-7333 - Office
<a href="tel:505-672-8213" value="+15056728213" target="_blank">505-672-8213 - Mobile


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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]

505-455-7333 - Office
505-672-8213 - Mobile

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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

glen ropella
Douglas Roberts wrote at 04/04/2013 04:21 PM:
> I personally find it disappointing that so many people are willing to adopt
> a belief set with no evidence, based solely on what someone said was The
> Truth.

Yeah, but the real problem is equivocation around the word "evidence".

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
It's already in their eyes.


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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Douglas Roberts-2
Well, I suppose.  I was using "evidence" in the scientific sense, rather than the political one, or the one which so many idiots prefer to use which could loosely defined as "I choose to believe, so there is plenty of evidence to support my belief."

--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 5:37 PM, glen <[hidden email]> wrote:
Douglas Roberts wrote at 04/04/2013 04:21 PM:
> I personally find it disappointing that so many people are willing to adopt
> a belief set with no evidence, based solely on what someone said was The
> Truth.

Yeah, but the real problem is equivocation around the word "evidence".

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
It's already in their eyes.


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]

505-455-7333 - Office
505-672-8213 - Mobile

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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Steve Smith
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
Doug -
On a related note, now would appear to be an excellent time to start a church, impose mandatory weekly attendance upon the faithful, and charge $20 a head at the door each week.
Clearly you haven't been to FRIAM (in person) lately... you are in arrears on your dues!  We'll take it out of the royalties on your eBook.

Tangenting again...  my parents were both of Applachian stock where those who "had Christ" used their bibles to access him without benefit of a church or preacher.  

My mother liked to go to church Christmas and Easter and I think the last (and only?) time my father came with her, when the collection plate came by, he reached in, then pulled his hand back empty and said "no thank you, I think I have enough" and passed it on.  

- Steve

--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 3:53 PM, Nicholas Thompson <[hidden email]> wrote:

Yes but …..

 

I didn’t believe Watergate the first few times I heard about it, either.  “You aren’t telling me that a president that was going to win an election in a walk actually sent Burglars into the Democratic Headquarters?”  I just could not believe that they could be so stupid.  I fell for Colin Powell’s thing at the UN;  my wife didn’t buy it for a moment.  I have to say, that in most contexts, I believe in gullibility.  I think a little bit of gullibility is the best program for getting on in life.  But I have been known to carry it too far. 

 

Nick

 

From: Friam [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf Of Douglas Roberts
Sent: Thursday, April 04, 2013 3:39 PM


To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

 

There are a surprising number of them on facebook, Nick.  To nobody's great surprise, I guess.

 

--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 3:35 PM, Nicholas Thompson <[hidden email]> wrote:

Doug,

 

Somebody laid the chemtrails thing on me the other day … an otherwise perfectly sensible neighbor … and I was left standing in the street with my jaw hanging open.   What do you say when somebody your sort of like, touches you on the upper arm, points skyward and says, “Call me nuts, but ….” 

 

I guess, “You’re nuts!”

 

N

From: Friam [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf Of Douglas Roberts
Sent: Thursday, April 04, 2013 12:14 PM


To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

 

Well shoot, as long as we're talking about irrational belief sets, how about if we throw chemtrails into the mix. There is a not insignificant segment of the US population who fervently believe that "they" are poisoning us, on purpose.  But only on those days that the jets leave con ... er ... chemtrails.  No proof necessary, just *look* at those chemtrails.

 

--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 11:57 AM, Ron Newman <[hidden email]> wrote:

But you're missing the point.:  *something* is working for them if they believe it is, and is not for you or anyone who doesn't believe it is.  The question is how does it work?  No, that's not good enough, because it too easily leads back to premature assumptions.  The question is:  how can placebo be improved.  Not set aside but improved.

 

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 11:47 AM, glen <[hidden email]> wrote:

Barry MacKichan wrote at 04/04/2013 10:29 AM:

> I've heard it is very effective, but only for a time until the
> patient discovers it is a placebo. Call it the Lincoln effect ("You
> can fool all of ….").

A friend of mine announced that she's now getting acupuncture for her
chronic back and neck pain.  There's a zealot in our local CfI
(http://www.centerforinquiry.net/) group who continuously and loudly
shouts about acupuncture being as quackish as homeopathy. (Seriously...
is there anything as quackish as homeopathy?) The tiny amount of time
I've spent looking into acupuncture indicates that it's mostly nonsense
with some slight possibility of truth in regard to certain _pressure_
points and nerve clusters.  But nothing that an evidence-based masseuse
couldn't achieve more effectively.

But I kept my mouth shut and let her talk about how well it's worked so
far.  My dad also used acupuncture for a racquetball associated injury.
 He claimed it worked very well... [ahem] ... even better than his
chiropractor.  I didn't want to introduce any doubt that might interfere
with her placebo effect.

Interestingly, I was trying to apply the Golden Rule in a post-hoc
analysis of my lack of action.  Would I want someone to burst my placebo
effect bubble?  If so, when?  Immediately?  Or perhaps after some window
of time as the placebo effect decays and it bumps up against the hard
biophysical/physiological limits?


--
=><= glen e. p. ropella

I can't get no peace until I get into motion



============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



 

--
Ron Newman, Founder
MyIdeatree.com
The World Happiness Meter


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



 

--

Doug Roberts
[hidden email]


<a moz-do-not-send="true" href="tel:505-455-7333" target="_blank">505-455-7333 - Office
<a moz-do-not-send="true" href="tel:505-672-8213" target="_blank">505-672-8213 - Mobile


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



 

--

Doug Roberts
[hidden email]


<a moz-do-not-send="true" href="tel:505-455-7333" value="+15054557333" target="_blank">505-455-7333 - Office
<a moz-do-not-send="true" href="tel:505-672-8213" value="+15056728213" target="_blank">505-672-8213 - Mobile


============================================================
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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]

505-455-7333 - Office
505-672-8213 - Mobile


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Douglas Roberts-2
I'm guessing I would have liked your dad, Steve.

--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 5:45 PM, Steve Smith <[hidden email]> wrote:
Doug -

On a related note, now would appear to be an excellent time to start a church, impose mandatory weekly attendance upon the faithful, and charge $20 a head at the door each week.
Clearly you haven't been to FRIAM (in person) lately... you are in arrears on your dues!  We'll take it out of the royalties on your eBook.

Tangenting again...  my parents were both of Applachian stock where those who "had Christ" used their bibles to access him without benefit of a church or preacher.  

My mother liked to go to church Christmas and Easter and I think the last (and only?) time my father came with her, when the collection plate came by, he reached in, then pulled his hand back empty and said "no thank you, I think I have enough" and passed it on.  

- Steve


--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 3:53 PM, Nicholas Thompson <[hidden email]> wrote:

Yes but …..

 

I didn’t believe Watergate the first few times I heard about it, either.  “You aren’t telling me that a president that was going to win an election in a walk actually sent Burglars into the Democratic Headquarters?”  I just could not believe that they could be so stupid.  I fell for Colin Powell’s thing at the UN;  my wife didn’t buy it for a moment.  I have to say, that in most contexts, I believe in gullibility.  I think a little bit of gullibility is the best program for getting on in life.  But I have been known to carry it too far. 

 

Nick

 

From: Friam [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf Of Douglas Roberts
Sent: Thursday, April 04, 2013 3:39 PM


To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

 

There are a surprising number of them on facebook, Nick.  To nobody's great surprise, I guess.

 

--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 3:35 PM, Nicholas Thompson <[hidden email]> wrote:

Doug,

 

Somebody laid the chemtrails thing on me the other day … an otherwise perfectly sensible neighbor … and I was left standing in the street with my jaw hanging open.   What do you say when somebody your sort of like, touches you on the upper arm, points skyward and says, “Call me nuts, but ….” 

 

I guess, “You’re nuts!”

 

N

From: Friam [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf Of Douglas Roberts
Sent: Thursday, April 04, 2013 12:14 PM


To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

 

Well shoot, as long as we're talking about irrational belief sets, how about if we throw chemtrails into the mix. There is a not insignificant segment of the US population who fervently believe that "they" are poisoning us, on purpose.  But only on those days that the jets leave con ... er ... chemtrails.  No proof necessary, just *look* at those chemtrails.

 

--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 11:57 AM, Ron Newman <[hidden email]> wrote:

But you're missing the point.:  *something* is working for them if they believe it is, and is not for you or anyone who doesn't believe it is.  The question is how does it work?  No, that's not good enough, because it too easily leads back to premature assumptions.  The question is:  how can placebo be improved.  Not set aside but improved.

 

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 11:47 AM, glen <[hidden email]> wrote:

Barry MacKichan wrote at 04/04/2013 10:29 AM:

> I've heard it is very effective, but only for a time until the
> patient discovers it is a placebo. Call it the Lincoln effect ("You
> can fool all of ….").

A friend of mine announced that she's now getting acupuncture for her
chronic back and neck pain.  There's a zealot in our local CfI
(http://www.centerforinquiry.net/) group who continuously and loudly
shouts about acupuncture being as quackish as homeopathy. (Seriously...
is there anything as quackish as homeopathy?) The tiny amount of time
I've spent looking into acupuncture indicates that it's mostly nonsense
with some slight possibility of truth in regard to certain _pressure_
points and nerve clusters.  But nothing that an evidence-based masseuse
couldn't achieve more effectively.

But I kept my mouth shut and let her talk about how well it's worked so
far.  My dad also used acupuncture for a racquetball associated injury.
 He claimed it worked very well... [ahem] ... even better than his
chiropractor.  I didn't want to introduce any doubt that might interfere
with her placebo effect.

Interestingly, I was trying to apply the Golden Rule in a post-hoc
analysis of my lack of action.  Would I want someone to burst my placebo
effect bubble?  If so, when?  Immediately?  Or perhaps after some window
of time as the placebo effect decays and it bumps up against the hard
biophysical/physiological limits?


--
=><= glen e. p. ropella

I can't get no peace until I get into motion



============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



 

--
Ron Newman, Founder
MyIdeatree.com
The World Happiness Meter


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



 

--

Doug Roberts
[hidden email]


<a href="tel:505-455-7333" target="_blank">505-455-7333 - Office
<a href="tel:505-672-8213" target="_blank">505-672-8213 - Mobile


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



 

--

Doug Roberts
[hidden email]


<a href="tel:505-455-7333" value="+15054557333" target="_blank">505-455-7333 - Office
<a href="tel:505-672-8213" value="+15056728213" target="_blank">505-672-8213 - Mobile


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]

<a href="tel:505-455-7333" value="+15054557333" target="_blank">505-455-7333 - Office
<a href="tel:505-672-8213" value="+15056728213" target="_blank">505-672-8213 - Mobile


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]

505-455-7333 - Office
505-672-8213 - Mobile

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

glen ropella
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
Douglas Roberts wrote at 04/04/2013 04:45 PM:
>  I was using "evidence" in the scientific sense,

You say that as if everyone agrees on the scientific sense of the term,
which of course they don't.  Even reputable scientists disagree on what
constitutes evidence.  I know you're willing to insult anyone with whom
you disagree.  But the fact remains that standards of evidence differ
depending on the context of the discussion, the domain of inquiry, etc.

Evidence in, say, cosmology or evolution is very different from evidence
in, say, biology or physics.  And that's without leaping out into the
softer sciences.

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
Looked pretty horny if I do say


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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Douglas Roberts-2

Just one small teensy note of clarification: I usually only insult people who disagree with me when they are/have been complete assholes about it.  Which fortunately narrows the field down a bit.

-Doug

On Apr 4, 2013 6:11 PM, "glen" <[hidden email]> wrote:
Douglas Roberts wrote at 04/04/2013 04:45 PM:
>  I was using "evidence" in the scientific sense,

You say that as if everyone agrees on the scientific sense of the term,
which of course they don't.  Even reputable scientists disagree on what
constitutes evidence.  I know you're willing to insult anyone with whom
you disagree.  But the fact remains that standards of evidence differ
depending on the context of the discussion, the domain of inquiry, etc.

Evidence in, say, cosmology or evolution is very different from evidence
in, say, biology or physics.  And that's without leaping out into the
softer sciences.

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
Looked pretty horny if I do say


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Gillian Densmore
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
I think the church of satan grotos do that.

Maybe we can start a sith and or jedi temple.


On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 5:21 PM, Douglas Roberts <[hidden email]> wrote:
I personally find it disappointing that so many people are willing to adopt a belief set with no evidence, based solely on what someone said was The Truth.

On a related note, now would appear to be an excellent time to start a church, impose mandatory weekly attendance upon the faithful, and charge $20 a head at the door each week.

--Doug


On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 3:53 PM, Nicholas Thompson <[hidden email]> wrote:

Yes but …..

 

I didn’t believe Watergate the first few times I heard about it, either.  “You aren’t telling me that a president that was going to win an election in a walk actually sent Burglars into the Democratic Headquarters?”  I just could not believe that they could be so stupid.  I fell for Colin Powell’s thing at the UN;  my wife didn’t buy it for a moment.  I have to say, that in most contexts, I believe in gullibility.  I think a little bit of gullibility is the best program for getting on in life.  But I have been known to carry it too far. 

 

Nick

 

From: Friam [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf Of Douglas Roberts
Sent: Thursday, April 04, 2013 3:39 PM


To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

 

There are a surprising number of them on facebook, Nick.  To nobody's great surprise, I guess.

 

--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 3:35 PM, Nicholas Thompson <[hidden email]> wrote:

Doug,

 

Somebody laid the chemtrails thing on me the other day … an otherwise perfectly sensible neighbor … and I was left standing in the street with my jaw hanging open.   What do you say when somebody your sort of like, touches you on the upper arm, points skyward and says, “Call me nuts, but ….” 

 

I guess, “You’re nuts!”

 

N

From: Friam [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf Of Douglas Roberts
Sent: Thursday, April 04, 2013 12:14 PM


To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

 

Well shoot, as long as we're talking about irrational belief sets, how about if we throw chemtrails into the mix. There is a not insignificant segment of the US population who fervently believe that "they" are poisoning us, on purpose.  But only on those days that the jets leave con ... er ... chemtrails.  No proof necessary, just *look* at those chemtrails.

 

--Doug

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 11:57 AM, Ron Newman <[hidden email]> wrote:

But you're missing the point.:  *something* is working for them if they believe it is, and is not for you or anyone who doesn't believe it is.  The question is how does it work?  No, that's not good enough, because it too easily leads back to premature assumptions.  The question is:  how can placebo be improved.  Not set aside but improved.

 

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 11:47 AM, glen <[hidden email]> wrote:

Barry MacKichan wrote at 04/04/2013 10:29 AM:

> I've heard it is very effective, but only for a time until the
> patient discovers it is a placebo. Call it the Lincoln effect ("You
> can fool all of ….").

A friend of mine announced that she's now getting acupuncture for her
chronic back and neck pain.  There's a zealot in our local CfI
(http://www.centerforinquiry.net/) group who continuously and loudly
shouts about acupuncture being as quackish as homeopathy. (Seriously...
is there anything as quackish as homeopathy?) The tiny amount of time
I've spent looking into acupuncture indicates that it's mostly nonsense
with some slight possibility of truth in regard to certain _pressure_
points and nerve clusters.  But nothing that an evidence-based masseuse
couldn't achieve more effectively.

But I kept my mouth shut and let her talk about how well it's worked so
far.  My dad also used acupuncture for a racquetball associated injury.
 He claimed it worked very well... [ahem] ... even better than his
chiropractor.  I didn't want to introduce any doubt that might interfere
with her placebo effect.

Interestingly, I was trying to apply the Golden Rule in a post-hoc
analysis of my lack of action.  Would I want someone to burst my placebo
effect bubble?  If so, when?  Immediately?  Or perhaps after some window
of time as the placebo effect decays and it bumps up against the hard
biophysical/physiological limits?


--
=><= glen e. p. ropella

I can't get no peace until I get into motion



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--

Doug Roberts
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<a href="tel:505-455-7333" target="_blank">505-455-7333 - Office
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--

Doug Roberts
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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Gillian Densmore
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
Doug if I may observe that you and Howl(sp) seem to have a great noes for asshoelery though in your case from what I can tell your ire for at least google and people not linux friendly goes up almost instantly.


On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 6:23 PM, Douglas Roberts <[hidden email]> wrote:

Just one small teensy note of clarification: I usually only insult people who disagree with me when they are/have been complete assholes about it.  Which fortunately narrows the field down a bit.

-Doug

On Apr 4, 2013 6:11 PM, "glen" <[hidden email]> wrote:
Douglas Roberts wrote at 04/04/2013 04:45 PM:
>  I was using "evidence" in the scientific sense,

You say that as if everyone agrees on the scientific sense of the term,
which of course they don't.  Even reputable scientists disagree on what
constitutes evidence.  I know you're willing to insult anyone with whom
you disagree.  But the fact remains that standards of evidence differ
depending on the context of the discussion, the domain of inquiry, etc.

Evidence in, say, cosmology or evolution is very different from evidence
in, say, biology or physics.  And that's without leaping out into the
softer sciences.

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
Looked pretty horny if I do say


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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Gillian Densmore
your certain kind of zeel would make for a great sith lord-
Just need to figure out how get you intune with the force enough to get people to come attend at the new sith temple


On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 6:27 PM, Gillian Densmore <[hidden email]> wrote:
Doug if I may observe that you and Howl(sp) seem to have a great noes for asshoelery though in your case from what I can tell your ire for at least google and people not linux friendly goes up almost instantly.


On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 6:23 PM, Douglas Roberts <[hidden email]> wrote:

Just one small teensy note of clarification: I usually only insult people who disagree with me when they are/have been complete assholes about it.  Which fortunately narrows the field down a bit.

-Doug

On Apr 4, 2013 6:11 PM, "glen" <[hidden email]> wrote:
Douglas Roberts wrote at 04/04/2013 04:45 PM:
>  I was using "evidence" in the scientific sense,

You say that as if everyone agrees on the scientific sense of the term,
which of course they don't.  Even reputable scientists disagree on what
constitutes evidence.  I know you're willing to insult anyone with whom
you disagree.  But the fact remains that standards of evidence differ
depending on the context of the discussion, the domain of inquiry, etc.

Evidence in, say, cosmology or evolution is very different from evidence
in, say, biology or physics.  And that's without leaping out into the
softer sciences.

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
Looked pretty horny if I do say


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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Steve Smith
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2

Just one small teensy note of clarification: I usually only insult people who disagree with me when they are/have been complete assholes about it.  Which fortunately narrows the field down a bit.

-Doug

I can testify to this, as I disagree with Doug often and he only insults me when he's being a complete asshole about it <grin>!

 - Steve
On Apr 4, 2013 6:11 PM, "glen" <[hidden email]> wrote:
Douglas Roberts wrote at 04/04/2013 04:45 PM:
>  I was using "evidence" in the scientific sense,

You say that as if everyone agrees on the scientific sense of the term,
which of course they don't.  Even reputable scientists disagree on what
constitutes evidence.  I know you're willing to insult anyone with whom
you disagree.  But the fact remains that standards of evidence differ
depending on the context of the discussion, the domain of inquiry, etc.

Evidence in, say, cosmology or evolution is very different from evidence
in, say, biology or physics.  And that's without leaping out into the
softer sciences.

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
Looked pretty horny if I do say


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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Nick Thompson
In reply to this post by glen ropella
Again, acting in my capacity as the Village Pragmatist, I would assert that
science is the only procedure capable of producing lasting consensus.  The
other methods .... various forms of torture, mostly ... do not produce such
enduring results.  N

-----Original Message-----
From: Friam [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf Of glen
Sent: Thursday, April 04, 2013 6:12 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED
Controversy is Sending

Douglas Roberts wrote at 04/04/2013 04:45 PM:
>  I was using "evidence" in the scientific sense,

You say that as if everyone agrees on the scientific sense of the term,
which of course they don't.  Even reputable scientists disagree on what
constitutes evidence.  I know you're willing to insult anyone with whom you
disagree.  But the fact remains that standards of evidence differ depending
on the context of the discussion, the domain of inquiry, etc.

Evidence in, say, cosmology or evolution is very different from evidence in,
say, biology or physics.  And that's without leaping out into the softer
sciences.

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
Looked pretty horny if I do say


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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Douglas Roberts-2
But they do promise life everlasting.

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 11:03 PM, Nicholas Thompson <[hidden email]> wrote:
Again, acting in my capacity as the Village Pragmatist, I would assert that
science is the only procedure capable of producing lasting consensus.  The
other methods .... various forms of torture, mostly ... do not produce such
enduring results.  N

-----Original Message-----
From: Friam [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf Of glen
Sent: Thursday, April 04, 2013 6:12 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED
Controversy is Sending

Douglas Roberts wrote at 04/04/2013 04:45 PM:
>  I was using "evidence" in the scientific sense,

You say that as if everyone agrees on the scientific sense of the term,
which of course they don't.  Even reputable scientists disagree on what
constitutes evidence.  I know you're willing to insult anyone with whom you
disagree.  But the fact remains that standards of evidence differ depending
on the context of the discussion, the domain of inquiry, etc.

Evidence in, say, cosmology or evolution is very different from evidence in,
say, biology or physics.  And that's without leaping out into the softer
sciences.

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
Looked pretty horny if I do say


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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]

505-455-7333 - Office
505-672-8213 - Mobile

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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

glen ropella
In reply to this post by Nick Thompson
Nicholas Thompson wrote at 04/04/2013 10:03 PM:
> Again, acting in my capacity as the Village Pragmatist, I would assert that
> science is the only procedure capable of producing lasting consensus.  The
> other methods .... various forms of torture, mostly ... do not produce such
> enduring results.  N

While I agree with you in the abstract, it still doesn't address the
meaning of "scientific evidence".  My assertion is that the variance
exhibited by the many meanings of evidence within science is wide enough
to cast doubt on the stability (or perhaps even coherence) of the term
in science.

And if that's the case, then claims for the superiority of scientific
evidence over other meanings of evidence are suspicious claims ...
deserving of at least as much skepticism as anecdotal evidence or even
personal epiphany.

Rather than assume an oversimplified projection onto a one dimensional
partial order, perhaps there are as many different types of evidence as
there are foci of attention, a multi-dimensional space, with an
orthogonal partial ordering in each dimension.

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
This body of mine, man I don't wanna turn android


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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Douglas Roberts-2
In reply to this post by Steve Smith
+1

On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 7:41 PM, Steve Smith <[hidden email]> wrote:

Just one small teensy note of clarification: I usually only insult people who disagree with me when they are/have been complete assholes about it.  Which fortunately narrows the field down a bit.

-Doug

I can testify to this, as I disagree with Doug often and he only insults me when he's being a complete asshole about it <grin>!

 - Steve

On Apr 4, 2013 6:11 PM, "glen" <[hidden email]> wrote:
Douglas Roberts wrote at 04/04/2013 04:45 PM:
>  I was using "evidence" in the scientific sense,

You say that as if everyone agrees on the scientific sense of the term,
which of course they don't.  Even reputable scientists disagree on what
constitutes evidence.  I know you're willing to insult anyone with whom
you disagree.  But the fact remains that standards of evidence differ
depending on the context of the discussion, the domain of inquiry, etc.

Evidence in, say, cosmology or evolution is very different from evidence
in, say, biology or physics.  And that's without leaping out into the
softer sciences.

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
Looked pretty horny if I do say


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--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]

505-455-7333 - Office
505-672-8213 - Mobile

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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Roger Critchlow-2
In reply to this post by glen ropella
And given exponential growth in science, who knows first hand what the variance in accepted scientific evidence actually is?  

Any claims to know what science "is" and what scientists "do", for the purposes of distinguishing between science and non-science, are claims to a revealed truth, not something that anyone has established empirically.  Ouch.

-- rec --


On Fri, Apr 5, 2013 at 9:12 AM, glen <[hidden email]> wrote:
Nicholas Thompson wrote at 04/04/2013 10:03 PM:
> Again, acting in my capacity as the Village Pragmatist, I would assert that
> science is the only procedure capable of producing lasting consensus.  The
> other methods .... various forms of torture, mostly ... do not produce such
> enduring results.  N

While I agree with you in the abstract, it still doesn't address the
meaning of "scientific evidence".  My assertion is that the variance
exhibited by the many meanings of evidence within science is wide enough
to cast doubt on the stability (or perhaps even coherence) of the term
in science.

And if that's the case, then claims for the superiority of scientific
evidence over other meanings of evidence are suspicious claims ...
deserving of at least as much skepticism as anecdotal evidence or even
personal epiphany.

Rather than assume an oversimplified projection onto a one dimensional
partial order, perhaps there are as many different types of evidence as
there are foci of attention, a multi-dimensional space, with an
orthogonal partial ordering in each dimension.

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
This body of mine, man I don't wanna turn android


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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

glen ropella
Roger Critchlow wrote at 04/05/2013 08:23 AM:
> And given exponential growth in science, who knows first hand what the
> variance in accepted scientific evidence actually is?  

That's a great point.  It may help me articulate my objection to the
concept of "the singularity", the sense that technology will soon (has)
outstrip(ped) purely human intelligence/understanding.

It seems more like an explosion of effect[ors] than a "super
intelligence" or anything cognitive, thought-based like that.  Even if
we constrain ourselves to the maker community (3d printers, arduino,
etc.) and the recent pressure for open access to publications, it's
difficult for me to imagine any kind of convergence, to "science" or
anything else.  It just feels more like a divergence to me.

I wonder if there is a way to measure this?  In absolute terms, we can't
really use a "count the people who participate in domain X" measure.
The ratio of the poor and starving to those who have their basic needs
met well enough to participate is too high.  It would swamp that
absolute measure.  We'd have to normalize it.  To some extent,
exploratory science has always been pursued most effectively by the 1%
and those they patronize.  Perhaps a measure of the variation in
standards of evidence would correlate fairly well with the waxing and
waning of the middle class?

> Any claims to know what science "is" and what scientists "do", for the
> purposes of distinguishing between science and non-science, are claims
> to a revealed truth, not something that anyone has established
> empirically.  Ouch.

Absolutely! (Sorry, I had to slip in a contradictory affirmation.)  This
goes directly back to Popper, I think.  There is no entry exam for
science. Every speculation is welcome.

--
=><= glen e. p. ropella
Me and myself got a world to save


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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Steve Smith
Roger/Glen -

Good stuff... I find both topics very compelling:

  1. How do we define/recognize valid measures of evidence?
  2. Is the current "exponential" growth in tech divergent or convergent?
  1. I have worked on several projects involving the formal management of evidence and belief which makes me cynical when people suggest that there is "one true form of evidence".   Most of it ended up off in high dimensional pareto fronts with multiple measures of confidence.  The underlying theory (much just beyond my grasp to regurgitate) is based in variants of Dempster-Shaffer and Fuzzy Sets/Intervals.   There is always a Bayesian in the crowd that starts "Baying" (sorry) about how "Bayesian Methods are the *only* thing anyone ever needs".  This specific example in statistics and probability theory is but one.   Similarly, it took a long time for anyone to accept far-from-equilibrium systems as being worth studying simply because their tools didn't work there.   Like looking for your lost keys under the streetlamp because the "light is too bad in the alley where you dropped them".
  2. I'm not a Singularian myself but I *am* fascinated by the same phenomena most of them are.  I would liken the recent past, current present, and near future to the Cambrian Explosion.  It as if thresholds on many technological fronts have lowered and innovation is gushing everywhere, compounding itself, etc.    I agree with Glen's judgement that (my paraphrase) "an explosion doth not a singularity make".   What I'm equally interested in is if there is a similar divergence in thinking.  We've been rattling on here about religion (including Science and Woo and Science v Woo) and implying (for the most part I think) that the (arbitrary) constraints it puts on thinking is harmful.  Of course, many here will agree that "constraint provides form" and acknowledge that constraints can also be useful, and not *just* to contain the otherwise unruly.   I had *more* hope for immediate results from the Arab Spring (does anyone *else* besides me keep up with former FRIAMite Mohammed El-Beltagy and his Whispers from a Seeker blog, out of Cairo?)  I believe that humans have a natural time constant around belief (and as a consequence, understanding, knowledge, paradigms?) on the order of years if not decades or a full lifetime.   That time-constant may be shrinking, but I rarely believe someone when they claim during or after an arguement to have "changed their mind"... at best, they are acknowledging that a seed has sprouted which in a few years or decades might grow into a garden.
-Steve
Roger Critchlow wrote at 04/05/2013 08:23 AM:
And given exponential growth in science, who knows first hand what the
variance in accepted scientific evidence actually is?  
That's a great point.  It may help me articulate my objection to the
concept of "the singularity", the sense that technology will soon (has)
outstrip(ped) purely human intelligence/understanding.

It seems more like an explosion of effect[ors] than a "super
intelligence" or anything cognitive, thought-based like that.  Even if
we constrain ourselves to the maker community (3d printers, arduino,
etc.) and the recent pressure for open access to publications, it's
difficult for me to imagine any kind of convergence, to "science" or
anything else.  It just feels more like a divergence to me.

I wonder if there is a way to measure this?  In absolute terms, we can't
really use a "count the people who participate in domain X" measure.
The ratio of the poor and starving to those who have their basic needs
met well enough to participate is too high.  It would swamp that
absolute measure.  We'd have to normalize it.  To some extent,
exploratory science has always been pursued most effectively by the 1%
and those they patronize.  Perhaps a measure of the variation in
standards of evidence would correlate fairly well with the waxing and
waning of the middle class?

Any claims to know what science "is" and what scientists "do", for the
purposes of distinguishing between science and non-science, are claims
to a revealed truth, not something that anyone has established
empirically.  Ouch.
Absolutely! (Sorry, I had to slip in a contradictory affirmation.)  This
goes directly back to Popper, I think.  There is no entry exam for
science. Every speculation is welcome.



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Re: Fwd: [New post] The Loud and Clear Message that the TED Controversy is Sending

Douglas Roberts-2


On Fri, Apr 5, 2013 at 11:54 AM, Steve Smith <[hidden email]> wrote:
Roger/Glen -

Good stuff... I find both topics very compelling:

  1. How do we define/recognize valid measures of evidence?
In the case of the chemtrail faithful I can safely characterize their measure (singular) of evidence as: "Look! See the chemtrails? 'They' are trying to poison us!!!"
 
  1. Is the current "exponential" growth in tech divergent or convergent?

I believe that the true source of divergence (in what? you might ask, in everything, I might answer: politics, technology, religion, ...) is that too many people are complete, embarrassingly ignorant assholes.   And thanks for asking.

--Doug

--
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[hidden email]

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Thanks for All the Fish!

Steve Smith
Doug -
  1. How do we define/recognize valid measures of evidence?
In the case of the chemtrail faithful I can safely characterize their measure (singular) of evidence as: "Look! See the chemtrails? 'They' are trying to poison us!!!"
No argument there.... but *why* are they trying to poison us!!!  Wait... I'm on the skeptics side...  nevermind...
  1. Is the current "exponential" growth in tech divergent or convergent?

I believe that the true source of divergence (in what? you might ask, in everything, I might answer: politics, technology, religion, ...) is that too many people are complete, embarrassingly ignorant assholes.  
And just what is your measure of evidence about what the multi-objective function of complete, embarassing, ignorant, and asshole?   And what *does* the pareto frontier of that look like in these 4 dimensions?   Anyone who doesn't understand the question or it's import are complete, embarassingly ignorant assholes (by one measure)!
And thanks for asking.
You are most welcome (as always)... anything else you would like me to ask <grin>?

For some reason this last line of yours makes me imagine that you are channelling Doug(las) Adams (aka Roberts?): 

 "So Long and Thanks for All the Fish!"
by
Douglas Adams (RIP)


So long and thanks for all the fish
So sad that it should come to this
We tried to warn you all but oh dear?

You may not share our intellect
Which might explain your disrespect
For all the natural wonders that
grow around you

So long, so long and thanks
for all the fish

The world's about to be destroyed
There's no point getting all annoyed
Lie back and let the planet dissolve(around you)

Despite those nets of tuna fleets
We thought that most of you were sweet
Especially tiny tots and your
pregnant women

So long, so long, so long, so long, so long
So long, so long, so long, so long, so long

So long, so long and thanks
for all the fish

If I had just one last wish
I would like a tasty fish
If we could just change one thing
We would all learn how to sing

Come one and all
Man and Mammal
Side by Side in life's great gene pool

(oooohhh oooohhh oooaahhhhh- ah ahh)

So long, so long, so long, so long, so long
So long, so long, so long, so long, so long

So long, so long and, !Thanks!
for all the fish!


- Steve



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