water

[Paul Paryski]

I would be very interested to have comments on how complexity theory can be  
applied to our growing and critical global water resources problems and  
conflicts.  Paul



**************Ideas to please picky eaters. Watch video on AOL Living.      
(http://living.aol.com/video/how-to-please-your-picky-eater/rachel-campos-duffy/
2050827?NCID=aolcmp00300000002598)
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[Belinda Wong-Swanson]

Josh Epstein & Rob Axtell at the Brookings Institute did some  
simulation on this about 6, 7 years ago.

Belinda


On Feb 27, 2008, at 11:11 AM, PPARYSKI at aol.com wrote:

> I would be very interested to have comments on how complexity  
> theory can be applied to our growing and critical global water  
> resources problems and conflicts.  Paul
>
>
>
> Delicious ideas to please the pickiest eaters. Watch the video on  
> AOL Living.
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

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[Phil Henshaw-2]

Sorry if it wasn't evident, but that last comment of mine was intended
to point to a very high power complex systems application for resolving
resource conflicts.   Sorry if it shows my exasperation, but you guys
are so quick on the dismissal button it kills me!
 
What you can tell if you notice diminishing returns in a resource is
that continuing to increase investment in it will a) accelerate it's
decline, and b) cause multiplying complications, i.e. the strategy will
backfire in a complex system way that gets rapidly worse over time.  
 
What you can tell if you notice diminishing returns in ALL your
resources at once (what we're now seeing) is  not just that you're
approaching several individual resource limits, which would each be made
far worse by trying to overcome them with added effort.   It's then also
direct evidence of whole system terminal limits with a high probability
of whole system disordering rapidly approaching (like the transition to
turbulence), if not responded to by reducing the resource development
pressures.   Why?   Well, it's because there's a difference between
information overload (which just gets dumped) and footprint overload
(which just causes conflict).
 
If the issues around this get all tangled up, untangling is so much
better than discarding...  When in doubt, cut tangled stuff up in little
pieces and build your own untangled stuff from the shreds...  ;-)
 
 

Phil Henshaw                       ????.?? ? `?.????
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-----Original Message-----
From: [hidden email] [mailto:[hidden email]] On
Behalf Of PPARYSKI at aol.com
Sent: Wednesday, February 27, 2008 1:12 PM
To: friam at redfish.com
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] water



I would be very interested to have comments on how complexity theory can
be applied to our growing and critical global water resources problems
and conflicts.  Paul




  _____  

Delicious ideas to please the pickiest eaters. Watch the video on AOL
<http://living.aol.com/video/how-to-please-your-picky-eater/rachel-campo
s-duffy/2050827?NCID=aolcmp00300000002598> Living.

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