Zoom invite for March 20 Virtual FRIAM

[Stephen Guerin]

I configured to auto mute attendees when they enter to minimize feedback issues and background noise. You can unmute yourselves when you would like to speak. I will be there to Host.

I suggest that we have a reasonably focused conversation given an online format:

Some suggestions:

• China, Singapore, South Korea and Israel have achieved good collective action against COVID-19 but at sometimes at great privacy and freedom costs. The US might need to find an alternate path. What might that look like?  
• What might Applied Complexity approaches offer a Epidemic Intelligence Service (Wikipedia)
• How can we have collective intelligence while maximizing privacy during an epidemic?
• How can we have collective action while maintaining freedom?
• Latest thinking on ABM and SIR Epidemic modeling and validation
• How do we get realtime location intelligence to and from the citizens while maximizing privacy? (George Duncan)
• others?

Tom, can you start a google doc and invite folks to edit?

------------------------------------------------------------------------
Join Zoom Meeting
https://zoom.us/j/330929933

Meeting ID: 330 929 933

One tap mobile
[phone],,330929933# US (San Jose)
[phone],,330929933# US (Houston)

Dial by your location
        [phone] US (San Jose)
        [phone] US (Houston)
        [phone] US (New York)
        [phone] US
        [phone] US
        [phone] US (Chicago)
Meeting ID: 330 929 933
Find your local number: https://zoom.us/u/aeFVtAwDkj  

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives back to 2003: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove

[Tom Johnson]

Great points, Steve. 

Yes, I will set up a Google doc in the morning. Folks who don't know ZOOM, we can share the G Doc on the zoom screen and anyone can add comments, which is probably better than multiple people trying to edit the document. ZOOM also has a handy chat tool in the right rail so you can seen a semi-conversation unfold.

Tom 

On Wed, Mar 18, 2020, 9:42 PM Stephen Guerin <[hidden email]> wrote:

I configured to auto mute attendees when they enter to minimize feedback issues and background noise. You can unmute yourselves when you would like to speak. I will be there to Host.

I suggest that we have a reasonably focused conversation given an online format:

Some suggestions:

• China, Singapore, South Korea and Israel have achieved good collective action against COVID-19 but at sometimes at great privacy and freedom costs. The US might need to find an alternate path. What might that look like?  
• What might Applied Complexity approaches offer a Epidemic Intelligence Service (Wikipedia)
• How can we have collective intelligence while maximizing privacy during an epidemic?
• How can we have collective action while maintaining freedom?
• Latest thinking on ABM and SIR Epidemic modeling and validation
• How do we get realtime location intelligence to and from the citizens while maximizing privacy? (George Duncan)
• others?

Tom, can you start a google doc and invite folks to edit?

------------------------------------------------------------------------
Join Zoom Meeting
https://zoom.us/j/330929933

Meeting ID: 330 929 933

One tap mobile
[phone],,330929933# US (San Jose)
[phone],,330929933# US (Houston)

Dial by your location
        [phone] US (San Jose)
        [phone] US (Houston)
        [phone] US (New York)
        [phone] US
        [phone] US
        [phone] US (Chicago)
Meeting ID: 330 929 933
Find your local number: https://zoom.us/u/aeFVtAwDkj  

_______________________________________________
Wedtech mailing list
[hidden email]
http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/wedtech_redfish.com

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives back to 2003: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove

[Stephen Guerin]

I reserved the meeting from 9a - 12p thinking the first 30 minutes will be getting settled and then folks may come and go like normal FRIAM. 

We will be limited to 100 attendees. First come first serve. I suspect we'll get 30 or so. If we do reach the limit and folks are dialing in on phone and then logging in on computer for screen share, please consider dialing back to one client. If we need to and this will be ongoing we can upgrade to 500 attendees. Folks can chip in a roll of toilet paper to help out.

Zoom requires a download. 

New users can test ahead of time with a free account. If you are new to zoom, this will minimize using the conference time for tech support.  Try things like

Minimum:

• mute/unmute
• testing microphone/speakers
• turning off speakers or microphones if two are in the same room giving feedback
• general UI navigation

Other:

• sharing your screen 
• zooming different cameras and screens to fullscreen
• comparing Bluetooth and wired headsets (recommended) vs device microphone / speakers
• comparing calling in on phone vs using computer audio
  
• sharing files and urls
• using chat and private messages
• turning camera on and off
• compare attending on phone vs computer. A good way to test is to use both at home and one be the host and the other participant.
• using tap to speak on phone

Play Host:

play host and having attendees raise hand. Please wash for 20 seconds after doing so.

have moderator assistants watching chat and calling on folks to speak

passing host control

mute all and call on raised hands

lock meeting / passwords

recording to cloud or desktop

On Wed, Mar 18, 2020 at 9:53 PM Tom Johnson <[hidden email]> wrote:

Great points, Steve. 

Yes, I will set up a Google doc in the morning. Folks who don't know ZOOM, we can share the G Doc on the zoom screen and anyone can add comments, which is probably better than multiple people trying to edit the document. ZOOM also has a handy chat tool in the right rail so you can seen a semi-conversation unfold.

Tom 

On Wed, Mar 18, 2020, 9:42 PM Stephen Guerin <[hidden email]> wrote:

I configured to auto mute attendees when they enter to minimize feedback issues and background noise. You can unmute yourselves when you would like to speak. I will be there to Host.

I suggest that we have a reasonably focused conversation given an online format:

Some suggestions:

• China, Singapore, South Korea and Israel have achieved good collective action against COVID-19 but at sometimes at great privacy and freedom costs. The US might need to find an alternate path. What might that look like?  
• What might Applied Complexity approaches offer a Epidemic Intelligence Service (Wikipedia)
• How can we have collective intelligence while maximizing privacy during an epidemic?
• How can we have collective action while maintaining freedom?
• Latest thinking on ABM and SIR Epidemic modeling and validation
• How do we get realtime location intelligence to and from the citizens while maximizing privacy? (George Duncan)
• others?

Tom, can you start a google doc and invite folks to edit?

------------------------------------------------------------------------
Join Zoom Meeting
https://zoom.us/j/330929933

Meeting ID: 330 929 933

One tap mobile
[phone],,330929933# US (San Jose)
[phone],,330929933# US (Houston)

Dial by your location
        [phone] US (San Jose)
        [phone] US (Houston)
        [phone] US (New York)
        [phone] US
        [phone] US
        [phone] US (Chicago)
Meeting ID: 330 929 933
Find your local number: https://zoom.us/u/aeFVtAwDkj  

_______________________________________________
Wedtech mailing list
[hidden email]
http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/wedtech_redfish.com

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives back to 2003: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove

[thompnickson2]

THANKS, Stephen,

 

Do you have a favorite contagion model to apply to this situation?

 

N

 

Nicholas Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology

Clark University

[hidden email]

https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

 

 

From: Friam <[hidden email]> On Behalf Of Stephen Guerin
Sent: Wednesday, March 18, 2020 9:41 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>; Wedtech@Redfish. Com <[hidden email]>
Subject: [FRIAM] Zoom invite for March 20 Virtual FRIAM

 

I configured to auto mute attendees when they enter to minimize feedback issues and background noise. You can unmute yourselves when you would like to speak. I will be there to Host.

I suggest that we have a reasonably focused conversation given an online format:

Some suggestions:

• China, Singapore, South Korea and Israel have achieved good collective action against COVID-19 but at sometimes at great privacy and freedom costs. The US might need to find an alternate path. What might that look like?  
• What might Applied Complexity approaches offer a Epidemic Intelligence Service (Wikipedia)
• How can we have collective intelligence while maximizing privacy during an epidemic?
• How can we have collective action while maintaining freedom?
• Latest thinking on ABM and SIR Epidemic modeling and validation
• How do we get realtime location intelligence to and from the citizens while maximizing privacy? (George Duncan)
• others?

Tom, can you start a google doc and invite folks to edit?

 

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------
Join Zoom Meeting
https://zoom.us/j/330929933

Meeting ID: 330 929 933

One tap mobile
[phone],,330929933# US (San Jose)
[phone],,330929933# US (Houston)

Dial by your location
        [phone] US (San Jose)
        [phone] US (Houston)
        [phone] US (New York)
        [phone] US
        [phone] US
        [phone] US (Chicago)
Meeting ID: 330 929 933
Find your local number: https://zoom.us/u/aeFVtAwDkj  

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives back to 2003: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove

[Stephen Guerin]

Nick writes:
>Do you have a favorite contagion model to apply to this situation?

Yes. Ours. ;-p

Right now it's a baby that only a mother can love. It literally took its first steps just yesterday when it was delivered to the web. Owen is the proud father seeding the egg of Agentscript.org with a ported Netlogo virus on a network model:
   https://backspaces.github.io/agentscript/models2/?virus 

For the geeks, you can inspect its code here - I'm impressed that Owen got the syntax and semantics nailed with Agentscript to the point that a model like this can be expressed this tightly:
    https://backspaces.github.io/agentscript/models/VirusModel.js

You can see more on AgentScript core here:

   http://agentscript.org

   http://backspaces.github.io/as-app3d/  

Aww, you can see it currently looks like its mama here:

  http://www.netlogoweb.org/launch#http://www.netlogoweb.org/assets/modelslib/Sample%20Models/Networks/Virus%20on%20a%20Network.nlogo

Cody and Josh are adopting the baby and raising it in their lovely geoSpatial home of Realtime.Earth. We have great plans for the baby (see attached) to serve the world leveraging real-time and historical citizen location data as it interacts with more grown up models like LANL's OPPIE/Episims

Silly metaphors aside, there's some good discussions this week on the SimSoc email list about epidemic models

   https://www.jiscmail.ac.uk/cgi-bin/webadmin?A1=ind2003&L=SIMSOC

and a review paper that may be of interest:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5594572/ 

Beyond the applied, you may have seen these two models this week which have been a great service for educating the public on the basics of SIR models and value of  social interventions:

• Why outbreaks like coronavirus spread exponentially, and how to “flatten the curve” - Washington Post 
• Outbreak: A playable disease simulation: https://meltingasphalt.com/interactive/outbreak/

I hope this Friday at Virtual FRIAM we can discuss viable short term approaches for implementing ABM SIR models coupled with geospatial and social dynamics to inform real-world policy and citizen behavior to mitigate the effects of the current spread.

-S

--- -. .   ..-. .. ... ....   - .-- ---   ..-. .. ... ....

[hidden email]

1600 Lena St #D1, Santa Fe, NM 87505

office: [phone]  mobile: [phone]   

tw: @redfishgroup  skype: redfishgroup

redfish.com  |  simtable.com

On Wed, Mar 18, 2020 at 11:07 PM <[hidden email]> wrote:

THANKS, Stephen,

 

Do you have a favorite contagion model to apply to this situation?

 

N

 

Nicholas Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology

Clark University

[hidden email]

https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

 

 

From: Friam <[hidden email]> On Behalf Of Stephen Guerin
Sent: Wednesday, March 18, 2020 9:41 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>; Wedtech@Redfish. Com <[hidden email]>
Subject: [FRIAM] Zoom invite for March 20 Virtual FRIAM

 

I configured to auto mute attendees when they enter to minimize feedback issues and background noise. You can unmute yourselves when you would like to speak. I will be there to Host.

I suggest that we have a reasonably focused conversation given an online format:

Some suggestions:

• China, Singapore, South Korea and Israel have achieved good collective action against COVID-19 but at sometimes at great privacy and freedom costs. The US might need to find an alternate path. What might that look like?  
• What might Applied Complexity approaches offer a Epidemic Intelligence Service (Wikipedia)
• How can we have collective intelligence while maximizing privacy during an epidemic?
• How can we have collective action while maintaining freedom?
• Latest thinking on ABM and SIR Epidemic modeling and validation
• How do we get realtime location intelligence to and from the citizens while maximizing privacy? (George Duncan)
• others?

Tom, can you start a google doc and invite folks to edit?

 

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------
Join Zoom Meeting
https://zoom.us/j/330929933

Meeting ID: 330 929 933

One tap mobile
[phone],,330929933# US (San Jose)
[phone],,330929933# US (Houston)

Dial by your location
        [phone] US (San Jose)
        [phone] US (Houston)
        [phone] US (New York)
        [phone] US
        [phone] US
        [phone] US (Chicago)
Meeting ID: 330 929 933
Find your local number: https://zoom.us/u/aeFVtAwDkj  

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives back to 2003: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove

[Jochen Fromm-5]

Oh a Zoom meeting. Cool. Are remote participants allowed to join too? 9 AM in Santa Fe is 4 PM in Berlin (CET), we have a time difference of 7 hours.

-Jochen

-------- Original message --------

From: Stephen Guerin <[hidden email]>

Date: 3/19/20 05:22 (GMT+01:00)

To: Tom Johnson <[hidden email]>

Cc: "Wedtech@Redfish. Com" <[hidden email]>, The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>

Subject: Re: [FRIAM] [WedTech] Zoom invite for March 20 Virtual FRIAM

I reserved the meeting from 9a - 12p thinking the first 30 minutes will be getting settled and then folks may come and go like normal FRIAM. 

We will be limited to 100 attendees. First come first serve. I suspect we'll get 30 or so. If we do reach the limit and folks are dialing in on phone and then logging in on computer for screen share, please consider dialing back to one client. If we need to and this will be ongoing we can upgrade to 500 attendees. Folks can chip in a roll of toilet paper to help out.

Zoom requires a download. 

New users can test ahead of time with a free account. If you are new to zoom, this will minimize using the conference time for tech support.  Try things like

Minimum:

• mute/unmute
• testing microphone/speakers
• turning off speakers or microphones if two are in the same room giving feedback
• general UI navigation

Other:

• sharing your screen 
• zooming different cameras and screens to fullscreen
• comparing Bluetooth and wired headsets (recommended) vs device microphone / speakers
• comparing calling in on phone vs using computer audio
  
• sharing files and urls
• using chat and private messages
• turning camera on and off
• compare attending on phone vs computer. A good way to test is to use both at home and one be the host and the other participant.
• using tap to speak on phone

Play Host:

play host and having attendees raise hand. Please wash for 20 seconds after doing so.

have moderator assistants watching chat and calling on folks to speak

passing host control

mute all and call on raised hands

lock meeting / passwords

recording to cloud or desktop

On Wed, Mar 18, 2020 at 9:53 PM Tom Johnson <[hidden email]> wrote:

Great points, Steve. 

Yes, I will set up a Google doc in the morning. Folks who don't know ZOOM, we can share the G Doc on the zoom screen and anyone can add comments, which is probably better than multiple people trying to edit the document. ZOOM also has a handy chat tool in the right rail so you can seen a semi-conversation unfold.

Tom 

On Wed, Mar 18, 2020, 9:42 PM Stephen Guerin <[hidden email]> wrote:

I configured to auto mute attendees when they enter to minimize feedback issues and background noise. You can unmute yourselves when you would like to speak. I will be there to Host.

I suggest that we have a reasonably focused conversation given an online format:

Some suggestions:

• China, Singapore, South Korea and Israel have achieved good collective action against COVID-19 but at sometimes at great privacy and freedom costs. The US might need to find an alternate path. What might that look like?  
• What might Applied Complexity approaches offer a Epidemic Intelligence Service (Wikipedia)
• How can we have collective intelligence while maximizing privacy during an epidemic?
• How can we have collective action while maintaining freedom?
• Latest thinking on ABM and SIR Epidemic modeling and validation
• How do we get realtime location intelligence to and from the citizens while maximizing privacy? (George Duncan)
• others?

Tom, can you start a google doc and invite folks to edit?

------------------------------------------------------------------------
Join Zoom Meeting
https://zoom.us/j/330929933

Meeting ID: 330 929 933

One tap mobile
[phone],,330929933# US (San Jose)
[phone],,330929933# US (Houston)

Dial by your location
        [phone] US (San Jose)
        [phone] US (Houston)
        [phone] US (New York)
        [phone] US
        [phone] US
        [phone] US (Chicago)
Meeting ID: 330 929 933
Find your local number: https://zoom.us/u/aeFVtAwDkj  

_______________________________________________
Wedtech mailing list
[hidden email]
http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/wedtech_redfish.com

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives back to 2003: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove

[Tom Johnson]

An invitation will go to the global FRIAM list.

Tom 

On Thu, Mar 19, 2020, 12:22 AM Jochen Fromm <[hidden email]> wrote:

Oh a Zoom meeting. Cool. Are remote participants allowed to join too? 9 AM in Santa Fe is 4 PM in Berlin (CET), we have a time difference of 7 hours.

-Jochen

-------- Original message --------

From: Stephen Guerin <[hidden email]>

Date: 3/19/20 05:22 (GMT+01:00)

To: Tom Johnson <[hidden email]>

Cc: "Wedtech@Redfish. Com" <[hidden email]>, The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>

Subject: Re: [FRIAM] [WedTech] Zoom invite for March 20 Virtual FRIAM

I reserved the meeting from 9a - 12p thinking the first 30 minutes will be getting settled and then folks may come and go like normal FRIAM. 

We will be limited to 100 attendees. First come first serve. I suspect we'll get 30 or so. If we do reach the limit and folks are dialing in on phone and then logging in on computer for screen share, please consider dialing back to one client. If we need to and this will be ongoing we can upgrade to 500 attendees. Folks can chip in a roll of toilet paper to help out.

Zoom requires a download. 

New users can test ahead of time with a free account. If you are new to zoom, this will minimize using the conference time for tech support.  Try things like

Minimum:

• mute/unmute
• testing microphone/speakers
• turning off speakers or microphones if two are in the same room giving feedback
• general UI navigation

Other:

• sharing your screen 
• zooming different cameras and screens to fullscreen
• comparing Bluetooth and wired headsets (recommended) vs device microphone / speakers
• comparing calling in on phone vs using computer audio
  
• sharing files and urls
• using chat and private messages
• turning camera on and off
• compare attending on phone vs computer. A good way to test is to use both at home and one be the host and the other participant.
• using tap to speak on phone

Play Host:

play host and having attendees raise hand. Please wash for 20 seconds after doing so.

have moderator assistants watching chat and calling on folks to speak

passing host control

mute all and call on raised hands

lock meeting / passwords

recording to cloud or desktop

On Wed, Mar 18, 2020 at 9:53 PM Tom Johnson <[hidden email]> wrote:

Great points, Steve. 

Yes, I will set up a Google doc in the morning. Folks who don't know ZOOM, we can share the G Doc on the zoom screen and anyone can add comments, which is probably better than multiple people trying to edit the document. ZOOM also has a handy chat tool in the right rail so you can seen a semi-conversation unfold.

Tom 

On Wed, Mar 18, 2020, 9:42 PM Stephen Guerin <[hidden email]> wrote:

I configured to auto mute attendees when they enter to minimize feedback issues and background noise. You can unmute yourselves when you would like to speak. I will be there to Host.

I suggest that we have a reasonably focused conversation given an online format:

Some suggestions:

• China, Singapore, South Korea and Israel have achieved good collective action against COVID-19 but at sometimes at great privacy and freedom costs. The US might need to find an alternate path. What might that look like?  
• What might Applied Complexity approaches offer a Epidemic Intelligence Service (Wikipedia)
• How can we have collective intelligence while maximizing privacy during an epidemic?
• How can we have collective action while maintaining freedom?
• Latest thinking on ABM and SIR Epidemic modeling and validation
• How do we get realtime location intelligence to and from the citizens while maximizing privacy? (George Duncan)
• others?

Tom, can you start a google doc and invite folks to edit?

------------------------------------------------------------------------
Join Zoom Meeting
https://zoom.us/j/330929933

Meeting ID: 330 929 933

One tap mobile
[phone],,330929933# US (San Jose)
[phone],,330929933# US (Houston)

Dial by your location
        [phone] US (San Jose)
        [phone] US (Houston)
        [phone] US (New York)
        [phone] US
        [phone] US
        [phone] US (Chicago)
Meeting ID: 330 929 933
Find your local number: https://zoom.us/u/aeFVtAwDkj  

_______________________________________________
Wedtech mailing list
[hidden email]
http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/wedtech_redfish.com

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives back to 2003: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives back to 2003: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove

[thompnickson2]

Stephen,  and Owen,

 

It is wonderful that you-guys are doing that.

 

An interviewee on TRMS convinced me last night that the current response (shutting down functions, extreme distancing, etc.) is designed to protect old white guys at the expense of younger brown ones.  Since the government consists largely of very old white guys, we can see why this is. But this policy is almost certainly unsustainable.  For instance, agricultural production depends on migrant labor, so if the border is really closed, there will be food only for the very richest amongst us.  So, once testing is up to speed, we are probably going to have to start leaking the virus through, hopefully holding the number of illnesses below the level of health system collapse.  This conversation has not started, but it will begin very soon, and at that point, a model will be needed that factors in the health effects on the economically most vulnerable against the health effects on the medically most vulnerable, we old white guys.  (I am 82, so I get to speak for OWG’S.)  It will have to be understood that some OWG’S will die so that many more young brown people can live.  . That will be the trade off, and you know how it’s likely to go unless we are ready do our part.   This will particularly tricky when the vaccine gets closer and we OWG’S become like the soldiers on the field during the last day before the Armistice.  Easy for me to say, I know, but If you have any way to show that relation, I hope it ultimately appear in your model. 

 

In the meantime, I recommend that everybody use this time of social distancing to prepare and plant a garden.

 

Nick

 

Nick

 

Nicholas Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology

Clark University

[hidden email]

https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

 

 

From: Stephen Guerin <[hidden email]>
Sent: Thursday, March 19, 2020 12:01 AM
To: [hidden email]
Cc: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Zoom invite for March 20 Virtual FRIAM

 

 

Nick writes:
>Do you have a favorite contagion model to apply to this situation?

 

Yes. Ours. ;-p

 

Right now it's a baby that only a mother can love. It literally took its first steps just yesterday when it was delivered to the web. Owen is the proud father seeding the egg of Agentscript.org with a ported Netlogo virus on a network model:
   https://backspaces.github.io/agentscript/models2/?virus 

 

For the geeks, you can inspect its code here - I'm impressed that Owen got the syntax and semantics nailed with Agentscript to the point that a model like this can be expressed this tightly:
    https://backspaces.github.io/agentscript/models/VirusModel.js

 

You can see more on AgentScript core here:

   http://agentscript.org

   http://backspaces.github.io/as-app3d/  

Aww, you can see it currently looks like its mama here:

  http://www.netlogoweb.org/launch#http://www.netlogoweb.org/assets/modelslib/Sample%20Models/Networks/Virus%20on%20a%20Network.nlogo

 

Cody and Josh are adopting the baby and raising it in their lovely geoSpatial home of Realtime.Earth. We have great plans for the baby (see attached) to serve the world leveraging real-time and historical citizen location data as it interacts with more grown up models like LANL's OPPIE/Episims

 

Silly metaphors aside, there's some good discussions this week on the SimSoc email list about epidemic models

   https://www.jiscmail.ac.uk/cgi-bin/webadmin?A1=ind2003&L=SIMSOC

 

and a review paper that may be of interest:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5594572/ 

 

Beyond the applied, you may have seen these two models this week which have been a great service for educating the public on the basics of SIR models and value of  social interventions:

• Why outbreaks like coronavirus spread exponentially, and how to “flatten the curve” - Washington Post 
• Outbreak: A playable disease simulation: https://meltingasphalt.com/interactive/outbreak/

I hope this Friday at Virtual FRIAM we can discuss viable short term approaches for implementing ABM SIR models coupled with geospatial and social dynamics to inform real-world policy and citizen behavior to mitigate the effects of the current spread.

 

-S

--- -. .   ..-. .. ... ....   - .-- ---   ..-. .. ... ....

[hidden email]

1600 Lena St #D1, Santa Fe, NM 87505

office: [phone]  mobile: [phone]   

tw: @redfishgroup  skype: redfishgroup

redfish.com  |  simtable.com

 

 

On Wed, Mar 18, 2020 at 11:07 PM <[hidden email]> wrote:

THANKS, Stephen,

 

Do you have a favorite contagion model to apply to this situation?

 

N

 

Nicholas Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology

Clark University

[hidden email]

https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

 

 

From: Friam <[hidden email]> On Behalf Of Stephen Guerin
Sent: Wednesday, March 18, 2020 9:41 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>; Wedtech@Redfish. Com <[hidden email]>
Subject: [FRIAM] Zoom invite for March 20 Virtual FRIAM

 

I configured to auto mute attendees when they enter to minimize feedback issues and background noise. You can unmute yourselves when you would like to speak. I will be there to Host.

I suggest that we have a reasonably focused conversation given an online format:

Some suggestions:

• China, Singapore, South Korea and Israel have achieved good collective action against COVID-19 but at sometimes at great privacy and freedom costs. The US might need to find an alternate path. What might that look like?  
• What might Applied Complexity approaches offer a Epidemic Intelligence Service (Wikipedia)
• How can we have collective intelligence while maximizing privacy during an epidemic?
• How can we have collective action while maintaining freedom?
• Latest thinking on ABM and SIR Epidemic modeling and validation
• How do we get realtime location intelligence to and from the citizens while maximizing privacy? (George Duncan)
• others?

Tom, can you start a google doc and invite folks to edit?

 

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Meeting ID: 330 929 933
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============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
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[Stephen Guerin]

We'll open the virtual doors at 9a MDT (GMT -6) for folks to get settled, get their microphones/speakers configured and some small talk.

We'll start with a semi-structured talk at 9:30a. Coffee and donuts will be served here

Join Zoom Meeting

https://zoom.us/j/330929933

Meeting ID: 330 929 933

One tap mobile

[phone],,330929933# US (San Jose)

[phone],,330929933# US (Houston)

Dial by your location

        [phone] US (San Jose)

        [phone] US (Houston)

        [phone] US (New York)

        [phone] US

        [phone] US

        [phone] US (Chicago)

Meeting ID: 330 929 933

Find your local number: https://zoom.us/u/aeFVtAwDkj

You will be auto-muted when they enter to minimize feedback issues and background noise. You can unmute yourselves when you would like to speak.

Tom Johnson is maintaining a potential topic list here:

[hidden email] has shared a link to the following document:

FRIAM Zoom confab - 20 March 2020

Feel free to add to or comment on this Google Document.
Suggest you download ZOOM app for Chrome -- bit.ly/3bgdNvz
Connect to ZOOM at https://zoom.us/j/330929933 Friday, 20 March at 9:30 a.m. MDT
This will work with your smart phone (if you have installed the app), a table or your laptop/desktop.

Open in Docs

------------------------------------------------------------------------

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives back to 2003: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove