The AP kerfuffle

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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

Marcus G. Daniels
``I think they're taking the usual approach to large data sets, save it all
(or as much as you can) just in case you find an anomaly you want to
study.''

A short term sample of all traffic could be used analogously to a UAV video
recording. Take any suspect or event and look for any and all signals
leading to them backward in time.   Declare the source of those signals
suspects & find the correlated physical sites & compromise them.  Recurse.  

Marcus

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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

Owen Densmore
Administrator
A good point make in the article was that keeping the metadata allows you to retrieve full-take data if at a later time you need deleted buffered data.

So full-take also has a full-retake aspect.

   -- Owen


On Mon, Jul 15, 2013 at 11:08 AM, [hidden email] <[hidden email]> wrote:
``I think they're taking the usual approach to large data sets, save it all
(or as much as you can) just in case you find an anomaly you want to
study.''

A short term sample of all traffic could be used analogously to a UAV video
recording. Take any suspect or event and look for any and all signals
leading to them backward in time.   Declare the source of those signals
suspects & find the correlated physical sites & compromise them.  Recurse.

Marcus

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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

glen ep ropella
In reply to this post by Marcus G. Daniels
[hidden email] wrote at 07/15/2013 10:08 AM:
> A short term sample of all traffic could be used analogously to a UAV video
> recording. Take any suspect or event and look for any and all signals
> leading to them backward in time.   Declare the source of those signals
> suspects & find the correlated physical sites & compromise them.  Recurse.  

Yeah, that does imply a good index ... a kind of inverted light cone.  I can
imagine an explosion in the number of compromised sites, though.  You'd need
some way of rolling out ancillary sites, perhaps based on the number of
associated indices.

--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-255-2847, http://tempusdictum.com
All governments suffer a recurring problem: Power attracts pathological
personalities. It is not that power corrupts but that it is magnetic to the
corruptible. - Frank Herbert "Dune"


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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

glen ep ropella
glen e. p. ropella wrote at 07/15/2013 10:21 AM:
> Yeah, that does imply a good index ... a kind of inverted light cone.  I can
> imagine an explosion in the number of compromised sites, though.  You'd need
> some way of rolling out ancillary sites, perhaps based on the number of
> associated indices.

You'd also need upgrade survivable root kits and dynammic dns updates.

--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-255-2847, http://tempusdictum.com
I believe in only one thing: liberty; but I do not believe in liberty enough to
want to force it upon anyone. -- H. L. Mencken


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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

Steve Smith
In reply to this post by Marcus G. Daniels
This mode of use is powerful (TiVO for intell) but at least it limits
(in principle) use to an actual incident, something determined
(legally?) to be actionable.

I have worked on projects which DID NOT presume ubiquitous data like
this but which would become unnaturally powerful if the data coverage
was near complete, even meta-data.

I'm surprised when people believe that the "time-registered network
topology" of all human (or just US Citizens, or just those who have
communicated with a non-US Citizen, and those who have communicated with
those... you get the picture).

Correlation does not imply Causation... except in nearly every human
intuition on the planet. Think of every person you have known (of) who
was implicated in a crime (or terrorist attack)... do you want to be
implicated by association? OK, maybe you feel that any investigation
into your behaviour because a fellow FRIAM member got implicated (doing
X, Y, or Z) will be exonerated when it is looked into further.

One of the worries I have from the tools I have helped build and have
seen along the way is that at some point, all evidence becomes
circumstantial and as the *probability* goes up that you are guilty and
exceeds some threshold, it is too easy for many to conflate that with
whether you did it or not, or more to the point, people become willing
to "take the chance we are wrong", when the stakes go up. Around 9/11,
and around horrific murders, serial cases, etc. People often speak as if
the risk of a few false positives is acceptable.

It *MAY BE* but I claim that a statistical (especially network-oriented)
approach to analysis is extra risky for many reasons. One is that I
don't believe we (SFI included) has a sophisticated enough science
behind networks to honestly analyze and judge.

The last suite of projects I worked on in this domain (Multi Investment
Decision Support Tool, Pre-Incident-Indicator-Analysis, and Faceted
Ontologies) were very specifically interested in what could be
*inferred* across a time-iterated series of events on a complex network.
Among other things, we found that we needed to include Uncertainty
Measures (how many tools or methodologies do you know that actually
incorporate uncertainty measures and do it well?)

In answer to Owen's question "what can they do with it?", the answer is
*plenty*. A corollary question is "what can they do with it which is
well understood and honest?" is a more questionable question. My
experience is that there is a LOT we can do with it that is
*intuitively* compelling but very little which we have formal proofs
that transform what would normally be considered "circumstantial" to
"proof". In the meantime, gung ho law enforcement (and the general
public) will continue to charge forward, cheering abuses of power
without realizing that is what they are doing.

- Steve

> ``I think they're taking the usual approach to large data sets, save it all
> (or as much as you can) just in case you find an anomaly you want to
> study.''
>
> A short term sample of all traffic could be used analogously to a UAV video
> recording. Take any suspect or event and look for any and all signals
> leading to them backward in time.   Declare the source of those signals
> suspects & find the correlated physical sites & compromise them.  Recurse.
>
> Marcus
>
> --------------------------------------------------------------------
> mail2web.com – What can On Demand Business Solutions do for you?
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>
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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

Owen Densmore
Administrator
In reply to this post by Steve Smith
On Wed, Jun 12, 2013 at 3:42 PM, Steve Smith <[hidden email]> wrote:
<snip>
Glen might have watched a *different* interview with Snowden than the one I watched .  I have my own "bs detectors" and a natural suspicion of those who might tell stories where they are the natural victim/hero.   In this case, he seemed not only articulate and insightful but relatively straightforward about what/why was up in this case. 

Totally agree.  Snowden is honest.

Its interesting to see his insight that "the public should decide" along with Lessig's notion of "Win back the Republic".  

Neither are rabidly anti-American nor extreme right or left.  They present a common sense plea to return to simple, basic "american values", one of which is to let the people decide issues in open discussion and debate.  Lessig has the Tea Party discussing policies with Environmentalists, and it seems to all work, sorta a TED for Public Discussion.

   -- Owen

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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

Marcus G. Daniels
In reply to this post by Steve Smith
On 7/15/13 11:28 AM, Steve Smith wrote:
> This mode of use is powerful (TiVO for intell) but at least it limits
> (in principle) use to an actual incident, something determined
> (legally?) to be actionable.
>
The secret guidance from the attorney general was that the NSA director
has the latitude to pass on intel from `incidental' collection to the
FBI if there is evidence of a crime being committed.   So even if the
FBI doesn't have legally usable intel after given the NSA digest they
obviously can invent some pretty easily by watching the right people at
the right time (duh!).   Even more curious is that it is not the NSA
hardware, it's FBI hardware, oh, except when it is the vendors'.   The
NSA is looking for international bad actors with FBI hardware, except
when it is handy to make an illegal arrest on a U.S. citizen.

We now return you to your regularly scheduled Zimmerman idiocy.

Where's Doug when you need him.. :-)

Marcus

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fluid - network - molecules (was PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc)

glen ropella
In reply to this post by Steve Smith

Preamble:
Politically, I've been interested in the (false?) dichotomy between
individualism and collectivism.  Professionally, I'm forced to be interested in
the dichotomy between fields vs. particles, as well as processes vs. objects.  I
think it's interesting to study the boundary between special cases and general
trends.  Individualists tend to argue that there is no such thing as "the
average person", that every case is special.  Collectivists tend to argue that
large scale patterns do exist and, if harnessed, can lead to economies of scale.

My (slightly facetious) Point:
It seems to me that with populations of _thousands_ or more for most
demographics, we're beyond individualism.  We can no longer consider
individualism a pragmatic approach to any domain.  Choose any demographic...
from professional gamblers to classic car enthusiasts and you get a
statistically significant population.  Sure, there remain methodological
problems like sampling.  But as long as the base population (6 billion?) is so
high, aren't most special cases arbitrarily approachable with general trends?

And if so, then do we still need/want things like jury trials?  Who cares about
the specific details of the interactions between Zimmerman and Martin?  Can't we
just say that Zimmerman is _enough_ like 80% of the upstanding citizens out
there and Martin is _enough_ like 80% of the disenfranchised teens out there to
rule without the jury?


Steve Smith wrote at 07/15/2013 10:28 AM:

> Think of every person you have known (of) who was implicated in a crime (or
> terrorist attack)... do you want to be implicated by association? OK, maybe
> you feel that any investigation into your behaviour because a fellow FRIAM
> member got implicated (doing X, Y, or Z) will be exonerated when it is
> looked into further.
>
> [...] People often speak as if the risk of a few false positives is
> acceptable.
>
> [...] Among other things, we found that we needed to include Uncertainty
> Measures (how many tools or methodologies do you know that actually
> incorporate uncertainty measures and do it well?)

--
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
Citizens of Sodom, I'm gonna show you the light


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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

glen ropella
In reply to this post by Owen Densmore
Owen Densmore wrote at 07/15/2013 11:02 AM:
> Totally agree.  Snowden is honest.

Well, depending on how you define "honest".  E.g.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/06/24/edward-snowden-booz-allen-hamilton_n_3491203.html

He is analogous to a mole or a spy.  He's honest in the same way that James
O'Keefe is honest.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_O%27Keefe

--
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
But never seen around


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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

Owen Densmore
Administrator
I mean that I believe what he says.

   -- Owen


On Mon, Jul 15, 2013 at 12:21 PM, glen <[hidden email]> wrote:
Owen Densmore wrote at 07/15/2013 11:02 AM:
> Totally agree.  Snowden is honest.

Well, depending on how you define "honest".  E.g.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/06/24/edward-snowden-booz-allen-hamilton_n_3491203.html

He is analogous to a mole or a spy.  He's honest in the same way that James
O'Keefe is honest.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_O%27Keefe

--
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
But never seen around


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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

Marcus G. Daniels
In reply to this post by glen ropella
On 7/15/13 12:21 PM, glen wrote:
>
> He's honest in the same way that James O'Keefe is honest.
>
> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_O%27Keefe
>
> The more important question, I think, is how these agencies are organizing the
> long-term storage.  What schema are they using?  How is it indexed?  What
> storage media do they use?  These are the questions that make me want to apply
> for a job with the NSA.

I read his remarks consistent with your remarks immediately above.
I think they were taking him out of context to make a headline.

Marcus

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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

glen ropella
In reply to this post by Owen Densmore
Owen Densmore wrote at 07/15/2013 11:27 AM:
> I mean that I believe what he says.

Yeah, but so did the hiring managers at Booz-Allen and whoever accepted his
signature on the NDA when he signed onto the NSA contract.  The trouble with
people like Snowden (as opposed to an honest whistle blower) is that he
intentionally lied at the outset.  That means that he is capable of
intentionally lying again whenever he deems it will serve his agenda.

In the same way that you can't trust a defector not to defect again, you can't
trust Snowden to tell the truth for any altruistic purposes.  He's gaming us
just like the NSA is gaming us.  I believe some of what Snowden says.  I also
believe some of what the Clapper says ... and some of what Obama says.  Etc.
And it has _nothing_ to do with that "slimy" feeling I get when I listen to them
talk.

--
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
Pushin up and pushin down against the sky


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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

Roger Critchlow-2
This article points out some of the real fun:


So several months ago the DOJ got a suit by the usual anti-surveillance do-gooders dismissed in the SCOTUS by arguing that the do-gooders had no standing to sue, only someone who's actually being tried by the USGOVT based on or derived from surveillance evidence had the standing to challenge the constitutionality of the surveillance.  The majority opinion parrotted the DOJ's argument.  

Now, the DOJ is arguing in court cases that those being tried by the USGOVT have no right to challenge the constitutionality of the surveillance, either.

-- rec --


On Mon, Jul 15, 2013 at 12:38 PM, glen <[hidden email]> wrote:
Owen Densmore wrote at 07/15/2013 11:27 AM:
> I mean that I believe what he says.

Yeah, but so did the hiring managers at Booz-Allen and whoever accepted his
signature on the NDA when he signed onto the NSA contract.  The trouble with
people like Snowden (as opposed to an honest whistle blower) is that he
intentionally lied at the outset.  That means that he is capable of
intentionally lying again whenever he deems it will serve his agenda.

In the same way that you can't trust a defector not to defect again, you can't
trust Snowden to tell the truth for any altruistic purposes.  He's gaming us
just like the NSA is gaming us.  I believe some of what Snowden says.  I also
believe some of what the Clapper says ... and some of what Obama says.  Etc.
And it has _nothing_ to do with that "slimy" feeling I get when I listen to them
talk.

--
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
Pushin up and pushin down against the sky


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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

glen ropella
In reply to this post by Marcus G. Daniels
Marcus G. Daniels wrote at 07/15/2013 11:36 AM:
>> The more important question, I think, is how these agencies are organizing the
>> long-term storage.  What schema are they using?  How is it indexed?  What
>> storage media do they use?  These are the questions that make me want to apply
>> for a job with the NSA.
>
> I read his remarks consistent with your remarks immediately above.
> I think they were taking him out of context to make a headline.

I doubt his motives would be consistent with mine.  I do admit that I may not
know C++ as well as one might infer from my resume'. 8^)  But I would _never_
(have never) claim(ed) to have attended a university that I didn't actually attend.

--
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
Float away from those horizons


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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

Marcus G. Daniels
In reply to this post by glen ropella
On 7/15/13 12:38 PM, glen wrote:
>
> Yeah, but so did the hiring managers at Booz-Allen and whoever accepted his
> signature on the NDA when he signed onto the NSA contract.  The trouble with
> people like Snowden (as opposed to an honest whistle blower) is that he
> intentionally lied at the outset.
He signed an NDA and in all likeliness become a corpse, a fugitive or a
prisoner for the rest of his life because he broke that deal. His 2nd
interview with the Guardian make it clear that he knew he'd go down for
this.  There's no selfish upside I can see.  A few weeks of
grandiosity?   You'd think that if the Clapper, the AG, etc. really had
one bit of evidence he was a spy they'd have it all over the news and
use it to full propaganda effect.  It's possible he could be pressured
in to that (say by the Russians), but where's the evidence?  If the U.S.
govt. is afraid of the latter, they should be making him feel like he'll
get reasonable consideration as a whistle blower, or at least lie
plausibly to that effect.

If for some reason Snowden had specific prescience into the NSA's
capabilities and prior to signing the NDA (someone leaked to him?) those
beliefs could have been falsified after he was in.

> That means that he is capable of
> intentionally lying again whenever he deems it will serve his agenda.

It's intelligence arena; it's all about deception and manipulation.
Children need not apply.  It's fine if you think deception and
manipulation cannot serve the greater good of the democracy and
promoting individual freedom.  But by that standard every competent
employee in the intelligence community would be guilty of having that
character flaw/feature.

Marcus


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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

glen ropella
Marcus G. Daniels wrote at 07/15/2013 12:09 PM:
> He signed an NDA and in all likeliness become a corpse, a fugitive or a prisoner
> for the rest of his life because he broke that deal. His 2nd interview with the
> Guardian make it clear that he knew he'd go down for this.  There's no selfish
> upside I can see.

There need be no selfish upside.  His lies could easily be seen as motivated by
a delusional disorder.  He may feel like a martyr.  He may feel his chances of
surviving are greater than they actually are.  ... Whatever.  The point is that
he saw lying to and about perfectly innocent people as his means to an end.
Take my point as a comment on our byzantine "rule of law", where laws must be
broken in order for justice to be done, or take it as naive rhetoric for "two
wrongs don't make a right."  It doesn't change the fact that Snowden is a weasel.

Now, I happen to be OK with weasels when their actions make our lives, our
democracy better.  I don't expect people to have infinite foresight or even to
be ideologically stable.  People make mistakes and, whenever possible, systemic
causes should be sought before assigning blame to a pure, single cause.
Persoally, I think Snowden should be welcomed back to the US as a hero, at least
to some demographic, perhaps in the same way Ollie North is treated these days.

But you can safely bet that I won't be telling any of my secrets to Snowden. 8^)
 He'll have to steal them (which is not hard, given my lax security).

> It's intelligence arena; it's all about deception and manipulation. Children
> need not apply.  It's fine if you think deception and manipulation cannot serve
> the greater good of the democracy and promoting individual freedom.  But by that
> standard every competent employee in the intelligence community would be guilty
> of having that character flaw/feature.

No, I don't think so.  I actually think the balance between empathy for those
you've infiltrated and your original mission is a _difficult_ balance.  To paint
the whole community of spies and undercover cops as having this particular
character flaw/feature is too broad.  It does a disservice to those who think
long and hard ... and get professional training regarding ... what it means to
go undercover.

O'Keefe and Snowden seem particularly cavalier to me.  They seem very
agenda-driven and don't have much respect for the humanity of their targets.

--
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
There's a light that used to shine


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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

Marcus G. Daniels
In reply to this post by Steve Smith
"The point is that he saw lying to and about perfectly innocent people as
his means to an end."

Ironic that some of the people that are especially mad at him are in
Congress!  

Marcus

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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

glen ropella
[hidden email] wrote at 07/15/2013 01:01 PM:
> "The point is that he saw lying to and about perfectly innocent people as
> his means to an end."
>
> Ironic that some of the people that are especially mad at him are in
> Congress!  

I agree completely, there.  But Shakespeare taught us that the _loudest_
condemners of weasels are other weasels.  I even think Wyden (D-OR) is being a
bit overly dramatic about all this.  I'd be much more interested in hearing what
Snowden's co-workers and bosses think.  It's too bad he wasn't there long enough
to develop any real relationships with them before he flew off to Hong Kong to
break his oath.

--
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
I'm gonna bleed on this town until its red


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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

Marcus G. Daniels
In reply to this post by Steve Smith
"I'd be much more interested in hearing what
Snowden's co-workers and bosses think.  It's too bad he wasn't there long
enough
to develop any real relationships with them before he flew off to Hong Kong
to
break his oath."

I recall there was an interview late-June with one of his colleagues that
expressed roughly "I understand but wish he hadn't done it alone."

Sorry I can't find the reference at the moment.  

In any case, the media fixation on this guy's judgement, training, loyalty
or whatever is moot at this point.  He's a person, so he's flawed.  This
all may have just been a royal screw-up on his part.  So what?

The issue should be what was disclosed (even if misguided or accidental)
and how it relates to the constitution of the United States.  It's fine to
dismiss him as weasel or a mole -- provided collective attention is given
to these questionable moves at the highest levels of our government.  I'll
be disappointed if the conclusion is just fascism:  "Do absolutely anything
to protect U.S. economic interests from harm."

Marcus

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Re: PRISM/AP kerfluffle, etc

glen ropella
[hidden email] wrote at 07/15/2013 01:34 PM:
> In any case, the media fixation on this guy's judgement, training, loyalty
> or whatever is moot at this point.  He's a person, so he's flawed.  This
> all may have just been a royal screw-up on his part.  So what?
>
> The issue should be what was disclosed (even if misguided or accidental)
> and how it relates to the constitution of the United States.  It's fine to
> dismiss him as weasel or a mole -- provided collective attention is given
> to these questionable moves at the highest levels of our government.

I disagree.  I think the circumstances surrounding his judgement, training,
loyalty, etc. is _primary_ at this point.  I have this opinion because I already
"knew" the government was (or intended to) spy(ing) on my every behavior prior
to Snowden's actions.  And, frankly, I don't much care.  When my government
decides to put me in prison or kill me, it will find a way to do it.  Such is life.

What I do care about, however, is whether or not our government is of/by/for the
people or not.  The fact that we need people like Snowden (and Manning and
Swartz) is an indicator that it's not.  And the fact that we label all these
guys as traitors, terrorists, or criminals for doing the work of the "fourth
estate" is what's wrong.  Snowden was encouraged to do what he did, in the way
he did it, by our system of laws and the way we enforce them.  The same can be
said of lots of do-gooder law breakers (e.g. filming animal abuse at industrial
farms, medical marijuana growers, etc.). These people feel like they _cannot_
achieve anything from within the system.  They feel like they must break the law
in the service of some higher justice.  That's the problem.

What Snowden revealed is trivial.  The fact that he had to sacrifice his life to
reveal it is non-trivial.

> I'll be disappointed if the conclusion is just fascism:  "Do absolutely
> anything to protect U.S. economic interests from harm."

Me too.

--
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
Well they look so pencil thin


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