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Obama on nuclear energy

HighlandWindsLLC Miller
Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was sorry to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that we can proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold fusion, which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar, geothermal, hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not possible, and deeply fear, having sat through countless hearings on Capitol Hill about the potential threats of nuclear fission power plants, the inevitable error of human management, and the inability to protect the toxics from leakage over their 500 million year life span. These systems remain of a similar threat today, with toxic wastes still unresolved, and meltdown capabilities remaining. Such solutions therefore should not be part of the equation in my opinion.
 
But wanted you to see the link, whatever you think on the subject.
 
Peggy Miller
Highland Winds
 
 
 

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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Douglas Roberts-2
I'm curious why you think our future energy needs can be met without nuclear energy.  Do you have any references to forecast energy budgets for the US which define energy usage in coming decades, and the corresponding energy sources and delivery infrastructures for meeting those demands?

It's one thing to say "I don't like nukes," but another thing entirely to claim that US energy requirements can be met without fission nuclear power sources.  Some justification for your position, please?

--Doug

On Wed, Apr 15, 2009 at 9:19 AM, peggy miller <[hidden email]> wrote:
Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was sorry to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that we can proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold fusion, which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar, geothermal, hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not possible, and deeply fear, having sat through countless hearings on Capitol Hill about the potential threats of nuclear fission power plants, the inevitable error of human management, and the inability to protect the toxics from leakage over their 500 million year life span. These systems remain of a similar threat today, with toxic wastes still unresolved, and meltdown capabilities remaining. Such solutions therefore should not be part of the equation in my opinion.
 
But wanted you to see the link, whatever you think on the subject.
 
Peggy Miller
Highland Winds
 
 
 

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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Marcus G. Daniels
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/15/opinion/15friedman.html?_r=1

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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Douglas Roberts-2
http://www.google.com/search?q=NIF+lanl+the+rest+of+the+story&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=com.ubuntu:en-US:unofficial&client=firefox-a

On Wed, Apr 15, 2009 at 9:45 AM, Marcus G. Daniels <[hidden email]> wrote:
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/15/opinion/15friedman.html?_r=1


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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Nick Frost
In reply to this post by HighlandWindsLLC Miller
peggy miller wrote:
> Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was sorry
> to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that we can
> proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold fusion,
> which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar, geothermal,
> hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not possible, and deeply
> fear, having sat through countless hearings on Capitol Hill about the
I agree with Peggy's comment about "the inevitable error of human
management, and the inability to protect the toxics from leakage"

I would add that while piracy is (IMHO) indefensible, the Somali piracy
problem gathered much steam after the central government collapsed in
1991.  The immediate results were predatory overfishing by foreign
nations on the Somali coastline and the dumping of radioactive waste by
European firms, which prompted fishermen to attempt to defend their
waters and prevent the collapse of their fisheries.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article418665.ece

http://abandonedheadlines.blogspot.com/2009/04/poor-coverage-of-somali-piracy.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Somali_piracy

-Nick


--
----------------------------------------
Nicholas S. Frost
7 Avenida Vista Grande #325
Santa Fe, NM  87508
[hidden email]
----------------------------------------



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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Marcus G. Daniels
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
Douglas Roberts wrote:
> http://www.google.com/search?q=NIF+lanl+the+rest+of+the+story&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=com.ubuntu:en-US:unofficial&client=firefox-a 
> <http://www.google.com/search?q=NIF+lanl+the+rest+of+the+story&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=com.ubuntu:en-US:unofficial&client=firefox-a>
>
Skimmed over Bodner's article where he talks about them having trouble
getting to 0.5x0.5 mm focal spot, but then in Table 2 their data says
250 um focal spot at 1.8 MJ "Demonstrated to date".   Seems like a lot
of the misrepresentation he's concerned about is now historical?

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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Steve Smith
I am sympathetic with the desire to eliminate "messy" forms of energy
production, storage, transmission and use.

England (esp. London) during the early Industrial Revolution understood
that Coal was dirty and should not be used in cities... but they already
had an appetite for it's utility and continued to make themselves ill
for a long time.  Even today, the world continues to use it.

Internal Combustion Engines seemed to be a great boon.   Around 1905,
Scientific American claimed a great victory for the automobile in NY
City, almost completely eliminating the messy, fly-attracting, etc.
"pollution" of horseshit.  It took nearly 50 years for the exhaust of
automobiles to begin to become a bother, and another 50 (today) for it
to become a global threat.

As I was leaving college in my mid twenties, I was quite idealistic.  I
was a vegetarian.  I drove a honda Civic that got 40+ mpg (@55mph).  I
looked at both LLNL and LANL as genuinely positive places to work for
many reasons... the Fusion Energy projects at both labs (Magnetic Fusion
Energy @ LLNL and Antares Laser Fusion @ LANL) seemed to promise (30
years ago) an unlimited supply of energy to feed our unlimited (oops,
did I say that?) appetite.   30 years ago.  It was on the tip of our
scientific tongues 30 years ago.   And here we are.  Maybe it is imminent.

In a few years, I could no longer buy a car that got 40+ mpg.  I would
have thought it was an OPEC or Detroit conspiracy, but instead I
discovered that in our haste to improve fuel efficiency we had tweaked
out the emission of Nitrous Oxides... and to keep the air safe to
breathe, and reduce emissions to (mostly) C02 and H20, we needed to give
up a little fuel economy.   Nobody knew that C02, for all it's relative
benign properties (we breathe it out with every breath, plants suck it
up like we suck up oxygen!), would become a problem.  Wait...  *many*
people knew!  And only a few listened (I wasn't one of them, I was still
seeking the holy grail of "free energy").

I observed Solar and Wind energy projects with great lust.  Free energy
straight from the environment!   Then the Eagles (and probably much less
"important" birds) started falling from the sky as they flew into the
blades unaware.   The big solar farm in Yuma, AZ proved the scalability
of solar, but oops! it seems you needed to have a "gradient" to produce
power... a high grade (concentrated solar energy) heat source was not
enough... you had to have a high grade medium for dumping the "waste"
heat.   In this case the Colorado River...  until they discovered that
raising the temperature of the water "a few degrees" completely
destroyed the habitat for the creatures living there... oops!  It has
been idle (and dismantled?) since.

Fission Power has been a big player for decades, and an excuse for
naming the Department of Energy, not the Department of WMD.   It is a
very high-grade, compact form of energy production.  Too bad, the best
processes can also be used to yield weapons grade by-products.  Too bad,
the low-grade "waste" can only be buried  (if you can find someone with
a back yard they don't mind burying it in) for hundreds of thousands of
years, hoping for the best.

So here we are "wishing and  hoping" for a "free lunch".  Haven't we  
had our free lunches already?  And discovered they all have a price?  

If there is anything in the current round of "energy solutions" that I
am hopeful about, it is "distributed energy".   The more we can become
responsible (and aware) of the energy we consume, by having to accept
the consequences of producing it, the more likely we are to be
thoughtful about how wasteful we are.   Maybe.

Some of us became more responsible after the "recycle craze" because we
saw how many bottles and cans we generated each week.  Others of us
patted ourselves on the back for how "green" we were and consumed twice
as much!   After all, we were being responsible for our "waste" by
"recycling", never realizing that most of the glass and paper and steel
was a loss financially (and maybe energy-wise too) to recycle... only
Aluminum was a significant net-gain.  Meanwhile we all felt pretty smug
with our little blue or green containers at the curbside.

If we burn firewood, we breathe our own smoke and watch our own
woodlots/forests deplete.  If we dam our own river, we notice the loss
of habitat downstream, and have to negotiate with our neighbors for the
meager output of the hydroelectric plant (see Jemez Springs pre-WWII).  
If we put up a windmill in our backyard, we have to listen to it clatter
in the high winds and climb up and oil it now and again, replace a blade
or a bearing maybe.   And do without power on the still days.  If we
accept GE's "mini-nuke" into our backyard, we have to explain to our
children when they inherit the house from us why they will need to spend
their inheritance on "waste disposal" or why it is no longer operating
and there is a 10' thick layer of concrete poured over/around it and the
house is outfitted with geiger counters.

You can say this is a fantasy... that we don't really notice these
things, and we destroy our own habitat and environment anyway.   I
suspect you are right... but if we don't even see it when we live
amongst it... if it is the Amazon Rainforest, if it is the ozone at the
south pole, if it is the eddies of debris in the oceans, then we have no
chance of curbing our appetites.  Let the chickens come home to roost,
maybe we will take it as a sign or portent.


But if we make up a high-tech, high-industry solution that we think
"someone else" should put in *their* back yard.  That someone else
should finance and approve and make "work well", then I'm sad.  I don't
think that will work out so well.  It hasn't so far.   We are already
complaining about the coal smoke coming from China, a half a world
away... did we think they (or was it Europe) didn't find *our* pollution
offensive when we were at our peak?



I hope Fusion researchers will continue to look for a "better way".  I
hope Wind and Sun Farmers will seek ways to provide alternatives.  I
hope Fission researchers will continue to look for "better ways".   But
maybe we need to change something more fundamental...

I think I'll go drive to ABQ and back, in a 4x4 pickup truck, by myself,
on the same day, at 80 MPH.   Gas is below $2.00 if you shop carefully.

- Steve who Rants

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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Owen Densmore
Administrator
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
I believe we'll need nuclear fusion power systems for quite a while.  
And I think there's been considerable advance in our ability to make  
them safe and much, much more efficient in their power output per unit  
of radioactive fuel used.

Recent dual source reactors combine traditional nuclear reactors, run  
sub-critical, with a second source, generally a linear accelerator  
beam.  This considerably increases safety.  These critters also use a  
stunt of using spent nuclear "waste" as a jacket for the fission  
chamber, increasing neutron production.

This is just one of many improvements in fission plant design, many of  
which do indeed use prior "waste" materials in innovative ways.

I've read that coal plants actually produce more radioactive  
byproducts than nuclear plants do. Yet we hear little concern about  
their radioactivity, only their pollution.

Politics also play a part.  Breeder reactors are considered dangerous  
due to producing waste that can be used in bombs.  So we decide to be  
less efficient with more traditional systems in order to be "safer".

I'd sure like better science and less emotion in the matter.  If I  
were told I had to have a power plant next door, I'd prefer a nuke.

     -- Owen


On Apr 15, 2009, at 9:36 AM, Douglas Roberts wrote:

> I'm curious why you think our future energy needs can be met without  
> nuclear energy.  Do you have any references to forecast energy  
> budgets for the US which define energy usage in coming decades, and  
> the corresponding energy sources and delivery infrastructures for  
> meeting those demands?
>
> It's one thing to say "I don't like nukes," but another thing  
> entirely to claim that US energy requirements can be met without  
> fission nuclear power sources.  Some justification for your  
> position, please?
>
> --Doug
>
> On Wed, Apr 15, 2009 at 9:19 AM, peggy miller  
> <[hidden email]> wrote:
> Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was  
> sorry to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that  
> we can proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold  
> fusion, which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar,  
> geothermal, hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not  
> possible, and deeply fear, having sat through countless hearings on  
> Capitol Hill about the potential threats of nuclear fission power  
> plants, the inevitable error of human management, and the inability  
> to protect the toxics from leakage over their 500 million year life  
> span. These systems remain of a similar threat today, with toxic  
> wastes still unresolved, and meltdown capabilities remaining. Such  
> solutions therefore should not be part of the equation in my opinion.
>
> But wanted you to see the link, whatever you think on the subject.
>
> Peggy Miller
> Highland Winds
>
>
> http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/04/05/obama-prague-speech-on-nu_n_183219.html?gclid=COmjvfGV85kCFQ6jagod1lm-Qw
>
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>
>
> ============================================================
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> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Pamela McCorduck
In reply to this post by Steve Smith
Excellent rant!


On Apr 15, 2009, at 1:14 PM, Steve Smith wrote:

I am sympathetic with the desire to eliminate "messy" forms of energy production, storage, transmission and use.

England (esp. London) during the early Industrial Revolution understood that Coal was dirty and should not be used in cities... but they already had an appetite for it's utility and continued to make themselves ill for a long time.  Even today, the world continues to use it.

Internal Combustion Engines seemed to be a great boon.   Around 1905, Scientific American claimed a great victory for the automobile in NY City, almost completely eliminating the messy, fly-attracting, etc. "pollution" of horseshit.  It took nearly 50 years for the exhaust of automobiles to begin to become a bother, and another 50 (today) for it to become a global threat.

As I was leaving college in my mid twenties, I was quite idealistic.  I was a vegetarian.  I drove a honda Civic that got 40+ mpg (@55mph).  I looked at both LLNL and LANL as genuinely positive places to work for many reasons... the Fusion Energy projects at both labs (Magnetic Fusion Energy @ LLNL and Antares Laser Fusion @ LANL) seemed to promise (30 years ago) an unlimited supply of energy to feed our unlimited (oops, did I say that?) appetite.   30 years ago.  It was on the tip of our scientific tongues 30 years ago.   And here we are.  Maybe it is imminent.

In a few years, I could no longer buy a car that got 40+ mpg.  I would have thought it was an OPEC or Detroit conspiracy, but instead I discovered that in our haste to improve fuel efficiency we had tweaked out the emission of Nitrous Oxides... and to keep the air safe to breathe, and reduce emissions to (mostly) C02 and H20, we needed to give up a little fuel economy.   Nobody knew that C02, for all it's relative benign properties (we breathe it out with every breath, plants suck it up like we suck up oxygen!), would become a problem.  Wait...  *many* people knew!  And only a few listened (I wasn't one of them, I was still seeking the holy grail of "free energy").

I observed Solar and Wind energy projects with great lust.  Free energy straight from the environment!   Then the Eagles (and probably much less "important" birds) started falling from the sky as they flew into the blades unaware.   The big solar farm in Yuma, AZ proved the scalability of solar, but oops! it seems you needed to have a "gradient" to produce power... a high grade (concentrated solar energy) heat source was not enough... you had to have a high grade medium for dumping the "waste" heat.   In this case the Colorado River...  until they discovered that raising the temperature of the water "a few degrees" completely destroyed the habitat for the creatures living there... oops!  It has been idle (and dismantled?) since.

Fission Power has been a big player for decades, and an excuse for naming the Department of Energy, not the Department of WMD.   It is a very high-grade, compact form of energy production.  Too bad, the best processes can also be used to yield weapons grade by-products.  Too bad, the low-grade "waste" can only be buried  (if you can find someone with a back yard they don't mind burying it in) for hundreds of thousands of years, hoping for the best.

So here we are "wishing and  hoping" for a "free lunch".  Haven't we  had our free lunches already?  And discovered they all have a price?  
If there is anything in the current round of "energy solutions" that I am hopeful about, it is "distributed energy".   The more we can become responsible (and aware) of the energy we consume, by having to accept the consequences of producing it, the more likely we are to be thoughtful about how wasteful we are.   Maybe.

Some of us became more responsible after the "recycle craze" because we saw how many bottles and cans we generated each week.  Others of us patted ourselves on the back for how "green" we were and consumed twice as much!   After all, we were being responsible for our "waste" by "recycling", never realizing that most of the glass and paper and steel was a loss financially (and maybe energy-wise too) to recycle... only Aluminum was a significant net-gain.  Meanwhile we all felt pretty smug with our little blue or green containers at the curbside.

If we burn firewood, we breathe our own smoke and watch our own woodlots/forests deplete.  If we dam our own river, we notice the loss of habitat downstream, and have to negotiate with our neighbors for the meager output of the hydroelectric plant (see Jemez Springs pre-WWII).  If we put up a windmill in our backyard, we have to listen to it clatter in the high winds and climb up and oil it now and again, replace a blade or a bearing maybe.   And do without power on the still days.  If we accept GE's "mini-nuke" into our backyard, we have to explain to our children when they inherit the house from us why they will need to spend their inheritance on "waste disposal" or why it is no longer operating and there is a 10' thick layer of concrete poured over/around it and the house is outfitted with geiger counters.

You can say this is a fantasy... that we don't really notice these things, and we destroy our own habitat and environment anyway.   I suspect you are right... but if we don't even see it when we live amongst it... if it is the Amazon Rainforest, if it is the ozone at the south pole, if it is the eddies of debris in the oceans, then we have no chance of curbing our appetites.  Let the chickens come home to roost, maybe we will take it as a sign or portent.


But if we make up a high-tech, high-industry solution that we think "someone else" should put in *their* back yard.  That someone else should finance and approve and make "work well", then I'm sad.  I don't think that will work out so well.  It hasn't so far.   We are already complaining about the coal smoke coming from China, a half a world away... did we think they (or was it Europe) didn't find *our* pollution offensive when we were at our peak?



I hope Fusion researchers will continue to look for a "better way".  I hope Wind and Sun Farmers will seek ways to provide alternatives.  I hope Fission researchers will continue to look for "better ways".   But maybe we need to change something more fundamental...
I think I'll go drive to ABQ and back, in a 4x4 pickup truck, by myself, on the same day, at 80 MPH.   Gas is below $2.00 if you shop carefully.

- Steve who Rants

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"To measure the abundance of positrons in cosmic rays, the team used data from the instrument PAMELA (Payload for Antimatter Matter Exploration and Light-nuclei Astrophysics), which launched aboard a Russian satellite in June 2006. Unlike previous antimatter-hunting instruments, PAMELA can pinpoint not just the type of incoming particle but also its energy."


WIRED Science



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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Merle Lefkoff
In reply to this post by Nick Frost
Peggy is right. I attach a short excerpt from Democracy Now. (Amory is
the guru.)

AMY GOODMAN: It’s good to have you with us. Well, talk about nuclear
power. Why do you feel it’s not an option, given the oil crisis?

AMORY LOVINS: Well, first of all, electricity and oil have essentially
nothing to do with each other, and anybody who thinks the contrary is
really ignorant about energy. Less than two percent of our electricity
is made from oil. Less than two percent of our oil makes electricity.
Those numbers are falling. And essentially, all the oil involved is
actually the heavy, gooey bottom of the barrel you can’t even make
mobility fuels out of anyway.

What nuclear would do is displace coal, our most abundant domestic fuel.
And this sounds good for climate, but actually, expanding nuclear makes
climate change worse, for a very simple reason. Nuclear is incredibly
expensive. The costs have just stood up on end lately. Wall Street
Journal recently reported that they’re about two to four times the cost
that the industry was talking about just a year ago. And the result of
that is that if you buy more nuclear plants, you’re going to get about
two to ten times less climate solution per dollar, and you’ll get it
about twenty to forty times slower, than if you buy instead the cheaper,
faster stuff that is walloping nuclear and coal and gas, all kinds of
central plans, in the marketplace. And those competitors are efficient
use of electricity and what’s called micropower, which is both
renewables, except big hydro, and making electricity and heat together,
in fact, recent buildings, which takes about half of the money, fuel and
carbon of making them separately, as we normally do.

So, nuclear cannot actually deliver the climate or the security benefits
claimed for it. It’s unrelated to oil. And it’s grossly uneconomic,
which means the nuclear revival that we often hear about is not actually
happening. It’s a very carefully fabricated illusion. And the reason it
isn’t happening is there are no buyers. That is, Wall Street is not
putting a penny of private capital into the industry, despite 100-plus
percent subsidies.


Nick Frost wrote:

> peggy miller wrote:
>> Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was sorry
>> to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that we can
>> proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold fusion,
>> which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar,
>> geothermal, hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not
>> possible, and deeply fear, having sat through countless hearings on
>> Capitol Hill about the
> I agree with Peggy's comment about "the inevitable error of human
> management, and the inability to protect the toxics from leakage"
>
> I would add that while piracy is (IMHO) indefensible, the Somali
> piracy problem gathered much steam after the central government
> collapsed in 1991. The immediate results were predatory overfishing by
> foreign nations on the Somali coastline and the dumping of radioactive
> waste by European firms, which prompted fishermen to attempt to defend
> their waters and prevent the collapse of their fisheries.
>
> http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article418665.ece
>
> http://abandonedheadlines.blogspot.com/2009/04/poor-coverage-of-somali-piracy.html 
>
>
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Somali_piracy
>
> -Nick
>
>


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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

scaganoff
tick, tick, tick, tick, tick, tick...


On 16/04/2009, Merle Lefkoff <[hidden email]> wrote:

> Peggy is right. I attach a short excerpt from Democracy Now. (Amory is
> the guru.)
>
> AMY GOODMAN: It’s good to have you with us. Well, talk about nuclear
> power. Why do you feel it’s not an option, given the oil crisis?
>
> AMORY LOVINS: Well, first of all, electricity and oil have essentially
> nothing to do with each other, and anybody who thinks the contrary is
> really ignorant about energy. Less than two percent of our electricity
> is made from oil. Less than two percent of our oil makes electricity.
> Those numbers are falling. And essentially, all the oil involved is
> actually the heavy, gooey bottom of the barrel you can’t even make
> mobility fuels out of anyway.
>
> What nuclear would do is displace coal, our most abundant domestic fuel.
> And this sounds good for climate, but actually, expanding nuclear makes
> climate change worse, for a very simple reason. Nuclear is incredibly
> expensive. The costs have just stood up on end lately. Wall Street
> Journal recently reported that they’re about two to four times the cost
> that the industry was talking about just a year ago. And the result of
> that is that if you buy more nuclear plants, you’re going to get about
> two to ten times less climate solution per dollar, and you’ll get it
> about twenty to forty times slower, than if you buy instead the cheaper,
> faster stuff that is walloping nuclear and coal and gas, all kinds of
> central plans, in the marketplace. And those competitors are efficient
> use of electricity and what’s called micropower, which is both
> renewables, except big hydro, and making electricity and heat together,
> in fact, recent buildings, which takes about half of the money, fuel and
> carbon of making them separately, as we normally do.
>
> So, nuclear cannot actually deliver the climate or the security benefits
> claimed for it. It’s unrelated to oil. And it’s grossly uneconomic,
> which means the nuclear revival that we often hear about is not actually
> happening. It’s a very carefully fabricated illusion. And the reason it
> isn’t happening is there are no buyers. That is, Wall Street is not
> putting a penny of private capital into the industry, despite 100-plus
> percent subsidies.
>
>
> Nick Frost wrote:
>> peggy miller wrote:
>>> Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was sorry
>>> to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that we can
>>> proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold fusion,
>>> which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar,
>>> geothermal, hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not
>>> possible, and deeply fear, having sat through countless hearings on
>>> Capitol Hill about the
>> I agree with Peggy's comment about "the inevitable error of human
>> management, and the inability to protect the toxics from leakage"
>>
>> I would add that while piracy is (IMHO) indefensible, the Somali
>> piracy problem gathered much steam after the central government
>> collapsed in 1991. The immediate results were predatory overfishing by
>> foreign nations on the Somali coastline and the dumping of radioactive
>> waste by European firms, which prompted fishermen to attempt to defend
>> their waters and prevent the collapse of their fisheries.
>>
>> http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article418665.ece
>>
>> http://abandonedheadlines.blogspot.com/2009/04/poor-coverage-of-somali-piracy.html
>>
>>
>>
>> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Somali_piracy
>>
>> -Nick
>>
>>
>
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>


--
Saul Caganoff
Enterprise IT Architect
LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/scaganoff

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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Frank Wimberly
In reply to this post by Merle Lefkoff
I believe Amory is wrong.  Projections are that world energy needs will
increase by over 60% by 2050 (see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_policy_of_the_United_States ).  In the
late 1960's I worked at Westinghouse Advanced Reactors Division (i.e.
nuclear reactors).  The engineers and scientists I worked with used to say
that people could talk about wind, solar, hydroelectric, geothermal, etc. as
much as they wanted but if nuclear power weren't developed and deployed
aggressively there would be energy riots during the next (i.e. this)
century.  This would (will) be because of shortages of heat, light, food and
other essentials--not luxuries.  Right now there are 104 nuclear electric
power plants in the U.S. which produce about 20% of the Nation's
electricity.  By comparison, almost 80% of France's electricity is generated
by nuclear power.  These plants produce virtually no greenhouse gases.
China plans to build 32 nuclear power plants by 2020 (see
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/05/28/AR2007052801
051.html ).  They have a strong incentive; Stephen will tell you about the
air pollution there

According to the above-referenced Wikipedia article, "As of March 9, 2009,
the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission had received 26 applications for
permission to construct new nuclear power reactors [66] with at least
another 7 expected.[67] Six of these reactors have actually been
ordered.[68] In addition, the Tennessee Valley Authority petitioned to
restart construction on the first two units at Bellefonte."  How is this to
be reconciled with Amory's claim that "Wall Street is not putting a penny of
private capital into the industry..."?

Frank

-----Original Message-----
From: [hidden email] [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf
Of Merle Lefkoff
Sent: Wednesday, April 15, 2009 5:00 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Obama on nuclear energy

Peggy is right. I attach a short excerpt from Democracy Now. (Amory is
the guru.)

AMY GOODMAN: It's good to have you with us. Well, talk about nuclear
power. Why do you feel it's not an option, given the oil crisis?

AMORY LOVINS: Well, first of all, electricity and oil have essentially
nothing to do with each other, and anybody who thinks the contrary is
really ignorant about energy. Less than two percent of our electricity
is made from oil. Less than two percent of our oil makes electricity.
Those numbers are falling. And essentially, all the oil involved is
actually the heavy, gooey bottom of the barrel you can't even make
mobility fuels out of anyway.

What nuclear would do is displace coal, our most abundant domestic fuel.
And this sounds good for climate, but actually, expanding nuclear makes
climate change worse, for a very simple reason. Nuclear is incredibly
expensive. The costs have just stood up on end lately. Wall Street
Journal recently reported that they're about two to four times the cost
that the industry was talking about just a year ago. And the result of
that is that if you buy more nuclear plants, you're going to get about
two to ten times less climate solution per dollar, and you'll get it
about twenty to forty times slower, than if you buy instead the cheaper,
faster stuff that is walloping nuclear and coal and gas, all kinds of
central plans, in the marketplace. And those competitors are efficient
use of electricity and what's called micropower, which is both
renewables, except big hydro, and making electricity and heat together,
in fact, recent buildings, which takes about half of the money, fuel and
carbon of making them separately, as we normally do.

So, nuclear cannot actually deliver the climate or the security benefits
claimed for it. It's unrelated to oil. And it's grossly uneconomic,
which means the nuclear revival that we often hear about is not actually
happening. It's a very carefully fabricated illusion. And the reason it
isn't happening is there are no buyers. That is, Wall Street is not
putting a penny of private capital into the industry, despite 100-plus
percent subsidies.


Nick Frost wrote:

> peggy miller wrote:
>> Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was sorry
>> to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that we can
>> proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold fusion,
>> which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar,
>> geothermal, hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not
>> possible, and deeply fear, having sat through countless hearings on
>> Capitol Hill about the
> I agree with Peggy's comment about "the inevitable error of human
> management, and the inability to protect the toxics from leakage"
>
> I would add that while piracy is (IMHO) indefensible, the Somali
> piracy problem gathered much steam after the central government
> collapsed in 1991. The immediate results were predatory overfishing by
> foreign nations on the Somali coastline and the dumping of radioactive
> waste by European firms, which prompted fishermen to attempt to defend
> their waters and prevent the collapse of their fisheries.
>
> http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article418665.ece
>
>
http://abandonedheadlines.blogspot.com/2009/04/poor-coverage-of-somali-pirac
y.html
>
>
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Somali_piracy
>
> -Nick
>
>


============================================================
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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Douglas Roberts-2
I think that the only way Americans, and by proxy the rest of the world, will learn which claim about whatever approach to satisfying our growing global power demands will succeed is to stumble blindly on, as we always do.

It we run out of power, anarchy will emerge.

If the vigorously unsupported claims of the greens are true, and we discover by pure luck that we *can* meet our emerging energy needs with non-fission power sources, then we will declare success ("Heckuva job, Brownie") and stumble on to the next crises.

However, now that both sides have claimed that *they are right* about which approach will guarantee that our hair dryers will turn on tomorrow morning, maybe we should just sit back and watch what happens.

I didn't expect that either side of this argument would be capable of providing proof that their side was right.  This is FRIAM, after all. So. let's just enjoy the next Jihad:  The Jihad of the Greenists vs. the Monitarists.  Or, perhaps, the Jihad of the Greenists vs. the Realists.

On second thought, the former more accurately describes our current Jihad:  Truth, Justice, and the American Way vs. CheneyBush era oil interests

Oops, sorry, 50's Superman raison d'exister has lately turned into a rather embarrassing non-sequitur.  Forget I mentioned it.

Moving on, then, what would be a good slogan to describe the primary tension that captures the essence driving today's emergent energy issue?

"Coal, it's always worked before!"

"Nukes, better living through transuranics!"

"Drill, baby, drill!"

"Wind!  It blows!"

"Make more babies.  We'll figure the rest out later!"

Whatever, please keep those claims of "My way is the best way; your way is the highway" pouring in.  Open minds eat that stuff up.

--Doug



On Wed, Apr 15, 2009 at 7:27 PM, Frank Wimberly <[hidden email]> wrote:
I believe Amory is wrong.  Projections are that world energy needs will
increase by over 60% by 2050 (see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_policy_of_the_United_States ).  In the
late 1960's I worked at Westinghouse Advanced Reactors Division (i.e.
nuclear reactors).  The engineers and scientists I worked with used to say
that people could talk about wind, solar, hydroelectric, geothermal, etc. as
much as they wanted but if nuclear power weren't developed and deployed
aggressively there would be energy riots during the next (i.e. this)
century.  This would (will) be because of shortages of heat, light, food and
other essentials--not luxuries.  Right now there are 104 nuclear electric
power plants in the U.S. which produce about 20% of the Nation's
electricity.  By comparison, almost 80% of France's electricity is generated
by nuclear power.  These plants produce virtually no greenhouse gases.
China plans to build 32 nuclear power plants by 2020 (see
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/05/28/AR2007052801
051.html
).  They have a strong incentive; Stephen will tell you about the
air pollution there

According to the above-referenced Wikipedia article, "As of March 9, 2009,
the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission had received 26 applications for
permission to construct new nuclear power reactors [66] with at least
another 7 expected.[67] Six of these reactors have actually been
ordered.[68] In addition, the Tennessee Valley Authority petitioned to
restart construction on the first two units at Bellefonte."  How is this to
be reconciled with Amory's claim that "Wall Street is not putting a penny of
private capital into the industry..."?

Frank

-----Original Message-----
From: [hidden email] [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf
Of Merle Lefkoff
Sent: Wednesday, April 15, 2009 5:00 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Obama on nuclear energy

Peggy is right. I attach a short excerpt from Democracy Now. (Amory is
the guru.)

AMY GOODMAN: It's good to have you with us. Well, talk about nuclear
power. Why do you feel it's not an option, given the oil crisis?

AMORY LOVINS: Well, first of all, electricity and oil have essentially
nothing to do with each other, and anybody who thinks the contrary is
really ignorant about energy. Less than two percent of our electricity
is made from oil. Less than two percent of our oil makes electricity.
Those numbers are falling. And essentially, all the oil involved is
actually the heavy, gooey bottom of the barrel you can't even make
mobility fuels out of anyway.

What nuclear would do is displace coal, our most abundant domestic fuel.
And this sounds good for climate, but actually, expanding nuclear makes
climate change worse, for a very simple reason. Nuclear is incredibly
expensive. The costs have just stood up on end lately. Wall Street
Journal recently reported that they're about two to four times the cost
that the industry was talking about just a year ago. And the result of
that is that if you buy more nuclear plants, you're going to get about
two to ten times less climate solution per dollar, and you'll get it
about twenty to forty times slower, than if you buy instead the cheaper,
faster stuff that is walloping nuclear and coal and gas, all kinds of
central plans, in the marketplace. And those competitors are efficient
use of electricity and what's called micropower, which is both
renewables, except big hydro, and making electricity and heat together,
in fact, recent buildings, which takes about half of the money, fuel and
carbon of making them separately, as we normally do.

So, nuclear cannot actually deliver the climate or the security benefits
claimed for it. It's unrelated to oil. And it's grossly uneconomic,
which means the nuclear revival that we often hear about is not actually
happening. It's a very carefully fabricated illusion. And the reason it
isn't happening is there are no buyers. That is, Wall Street is not
putting a penny of private capital into the industry, despite 100-plus
percent subsidies.


Nick Frost wrote:
> peggy miller wrote:
>> Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was sorry
>> to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that we can
>> proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold fusion,
>> which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar,
>> geothermal, hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not
>> possible, and deeply fear, having sat through countless hearings on
>> Capitol Hill about the
> I agree with Peggy's comment about "the inevitable error of human
> management, and the inability to protect the toxics from leakage"
>
> I would add that while piracy is (IMHO) indefensible, the Somali
> piracy problem gathered much steam after the central government
> collapsed in 1991. The immediate results were predatory overfishing by
> foreign nations on the Somali coastline and the dumping of radioactive
> waste by European firms, which prompted fishermen to attempt to defend
> their waters and prevent the collapse of their fisheries.
>
> http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article418665.ece
>
>
http://abandonedheadlines.blogspot.com/2009/04/poor-coverage-of-somali-pirac
y.html

>
>
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Somali_piracy
>
> -Nick
>
>


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org



--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]
[hidden email]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell

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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Robert J. Cordingley
In reply to this post by scaganoff
When it comes to climate control, climate change, global warming, glacier melting etc., why do we never hear from the elephant in the room - population and birth control?  If the worst things, as we've been told, for carbon footprint are homes, vehicles and food production (cows in particular and methane) then the big multiplier is the number of mouths to feed, house and transport.

Nuclear power in the US is expensive because, I'm told, every power plant is a new design with all its attendant approvals/reviews.  Other countries haven't taken that route.

There used to be statistics about accident levels of people falling off their roofs checking their solar panels.  That and mining accident rates/kwh generated made nuclear power one of the safest and least accident prone methods of power generation.  Did that ever get proved wrong?

Coal/Natural Gas is bad - CO2 + what to do with the coal waste (toxic and radioactive)
Solar is bad - no nighttime generation + people falling off roofs + high distribution costs and losses + impact on rare desert species.
Wind is bad - on a still day + impact on bird migration (over blown I'd thought) + spoils the view + high distribution costs and losses.
Nuclear (fission) is bad - what to do with the waste + risk of misuse and insecurity
Nuclear (fusion) is bad - yet to be demonstrated + looks really expensive + old radio-active reactors will still have waste disposal problems.

Along with Solar and Wind, Tidal, Geothermal and Hydroelectric (tapped out) all require the right location and consequent high distribution costs.

The only answer is for us to consume less energy, otherwise it's still the choice of the lesser evil!  I'll commit to having no more children!  There, done my bit.

Robert C
(not so much a rant as a rambling)

Saul Caganoff wrote:
tick, tick, tick, tick, tick, tick...


On 16/04/2009, Merle Lefkoff [hidden email] wrote:
  
Peggy is right. I attach a short excerpt from Democracy Now. (Amory is
the guru.)

AMY GOODMAN: It’s good to have you with us. Well, talk about nuclear
power. Why do you feel it’s not an option, given the oil crisis?

AMORY LOVINS: Well, first of all, electricity and oil have essentially
nothing to do with each other, and anybody who thinks the contrary is
really ignorant about energy. Less than two percent of our electricity
is made from oil. Less than two percent of our oil makes electricity.
Those numbers are falling. And essentially, all the oil involved is
actually the heavy, gooey bottom of the barrel you can’t even make
mobility fuels out of anyway.

What nuclear would do is displace coal, our most abundant domestic fuel.
And this sounds good for climate, but actually, expanding nuclear makes
climate change worse, for a very simple reason. Nuclear is incredibly
expensive. The costs have just stood up on end lately. Wall Street
Journal recently reported that they’re about two to four times the cost
that the industry was talking about just a year ago. And the result of
that is that if you buy more nuclear plants, you’re going to get about
two to ten times less climate solution per dollar, and you’ll get it
about twenty to forty times slower, than if you buy instead the cheaper,
faster stuff that is walloping nuclear and coal and gas, all kinds of
central plans, in the marketplace. And those competitors are efficient
use of electricity and what’s called micropower, which is both
renewables, except big hydro, and making electricity and heat together,
in fact, recent buildings, which takes about half of the money, fuel and
carbon of making them separately, as we normally do.

So, nuclear cannot actually deliver the climate or the security benefits
claimed for it. It’s unrelated to oil. And it’s grossly uneconomic,
which means the nuclear revival that we often hear about is not actually
happening. It’s a very carefully fabricated illusion. And the reason it
isn’t happening is there are no buyers. That is, Wall Street is not
putting a penny of private capital into the industry, despite 100-plus
percent subsidies.


Nick Frost wrote:
    
peggy miller wrote:
      
Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was sorry
to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that we can
proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold fusion,
which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar,
geothermal, hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not
possible, and deeply fear, having sat through countless hearings on
Capitol Hill about the
        
I agree with Peggy's comment about "the inevitable error of human
management, and the inability to protect the toxics from leakage"

I would add that while piracy is (IMHO) indefensible, the Somali
piracy problem gathered much steam after the central government
collapsed in 1991. The immediate results were predatory overfishing by
foreign nations on the Somali coastline and the dumping of radioactive
waste by European firms, which prompted fishermen to attempt to defend
their waters and prevent the collapse of their fisheries.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article418665.ece

http://abandonedheadlines.blogspot.com/2009/04/poor-coverage-of-somali-piracy.html



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Somali_piracy

-Nick


      
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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

    


  

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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Robert Howard-2-3
In reply to this post by Owen Densmore
Rather than pumping all the pollution and waste products of a coal-powered
plant into the atmosphere and rivers, imagine if you could just pack it all
up at the end of each year into a few cubic meters and store it somewhere.
Yet I'm sure some people would still argue the first option over the second.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power
Robert Howard



-----Original Message-----
From: [hidden email] [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf
Of Owen Densmore
Sent: Wednesday, April 15, 2009 10:43 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Obama on nuclear energy

I believe we'll need nuclear fusion power systems for quite a while.  
And I think there's been considerable advance in our ability to make  
them safe and much, much more efficient in their power output per unit  
of radioactive fuel used.

Recent dual source reactors combine traditional nuclear reactors, run  
sub-critical, with a second source, generally a linear accelerator  
beam.  This considerably increases safety.  These critters also use a  
stunt of using spent nuclear "waste" as a jacket for the fission  
chamber, increasing neutron production.

This is just one of many improvements in fission plant design, many of  
which do indeed use prior "waste" materials in innovative ways.

I've read that coal plants actually produce more radioactive  
byproducts than nuclear plants do. Yet we hear little concern about  
their radioactivity, only their pollution.

Politics also play a part.  Breeder reactors are considered dangerous  
due to producing waste that can be used in bombs.  So we decide to be  
less efficient with more traditional systems in order to be "safer".

I'd sure like better science and less emotion in the matter.  If I  
were told I had to have a power plant next door, I'd prefer a nuke.

     -- Owen


On Apr 15, 2009, at 9:36 AM, Douglas Roberts wrote:

> I'm curious why you think our future energy needs can be met without  
> nuclear energy.  Do you have any references to forecast energy  
> budgets for the US which define energy usage in coming decades, and  
> the corresponding energy sources and delivery infrastructures for  
> meeting those demands?
>
> It's one thing to say "I don't like nukes," but another thing  
> entirely to claim that US energy requirements can be met without  
> fission nuclear power sources.  Some justification for your  
> position, please?
>
> --Doug
>
> On Wed, Apr 15, 2009 at 9:19 AM, peggy miller  
> <[hidden email]> wrote:
> Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was  
> sorry to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that  
> we can proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold  
> fusion, which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar,  
> geothermal, hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not  
> possible, and deeply fear, having sat through countless hearings on  
> Capitol Hill about the potential threats of nuclear fission power  
> plants, the inevitable error of human management, and the inability  
> to protect the toxics from leakage over their 500 million year life  
> span. These systems remain of a similar threat today, with toxic  
> wastes still unresolved, and meltdown capabilities remaining. Such  
> solutions therefore should not be part of the equation in my opinion.
>
> But wanted you to see the link, whatever you think on the subject.
>
> Peggy Miller
> Highland Winds
>
>
>
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/04/05/obama-prague-speech-on-nu_n_183219.
html?gclid=COmjvfGV85kCFQ6jagod1lm-Qw

>
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>
>
> ============================================================
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> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Paul Paryski
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
It is interesting to note that Europeans (depending of course on the country) use at least 50% less energy per capita than Americans and yet have what some may consider a better standard of living. Also we waste water which in turn wastes energy (the water energy nexus).  If we would be more efficient in our energy and water use, there would be no need to even consider nuclear energy.  One of the positive aspects of the economic crisis is that it is reducing energy consumption.
Paul


-----Original Message-----
From: Douglas Roberts <[hidden email]>
To: [hidden email]; The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>
Sent: Wed, 15 Apr 2009 8:29 pm
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Obama on nuclear energy

I think that the only way Americans, and by proxy the rest of the world, will learn which claim about whatever approach to satisfying our growing global power demands will succeed is to stumble blindly on, as we always do.

It we run out of power, anarchy will emerge.

If the vigorously unsupported claims of the greens are true, and we discover by pure luck that we *can* meet our emerging energy needs with non-fission power sources, then we will declare success ("Heckuva job, Brownie") and stumble on to the next crises.

However, now that both sides have claimed that *they are right* about which approach will guarantee that our hair dryers will turn on tomorrow morning, maybe we should just sit back and watch what happens.

I didn't expect that either side of this argument would be capable of providing proof that their side was right.  This is FRIAM, after all. So. let's just enjoy the next Jihad:  The Jihad of the Greenists vs. the Monitarists.  Or, perhaps, the Jihad of the Greenists vs. the Realists.

On second thought, the former more accurately describes our current Jihad:  Truth, Justice, and the American Way vs. CheneyBush era oil interests

Oops, sorry, 50's Superman raison d'exister has lately turned into a rather embarrassing non-sequitur.  Forget I mentioned it.

Moving on, then, what would be a good slogan to describe the primary tension that captures the essence driving today's emergent energy issue?

"Coal, it's always worked before!"

"Nukes, better living through transuranics!"

"Drill, baby, drill!"

"Wind!  It blows!"

"Make more babies.  We'll figure the rest out later!"

Whatever, please keep those claims of "My way is the best way; your way is the highway" pouring in.  Open minds eat that stuff up.

--Doug



On Wed, Apr 15, 2009 at 7:27 PM, Frank Wimberly <[hidden email]> wrote:
I believe Amory is wrong.  Projections are that world energy needs will
increase by over 60% by 2050 (see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_policy_of_the_United_States ).  In the
late 1960's I worked at Westinghouse Advanced Reactors Division (i.e.
nuclear reactors).  The engineers and scientists I worked with used to say
that people could talk about wind, solar, hydroelectric, geothermal, etc. as
much as they wanted but if nuclear power weren't developed and deployed
aggressively there would be energy riots during the next (i.e. this)
century.  This would (will) be because of shortages of heat, light, food and
other essentials--not luxuries.  Right now there are 104 nuclear electric
power plants in the U.S. which produce about 20% of the Nation's
electricity.  By comparison, almost 80% of France's electricity is generated
by nuclear power.  These plants produce virtually no greenhouse gases.
China plans to build 32 nuclear power plants by 2020 (see
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/05/28/AR2007052801
051.html
).  They have a strong incentive; Stephen will tell you about the
air pollution there

According to the above-referenced Wikipedia article, "As of March 9, 2009,
the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission had received 26 applications for
permission to construct new nuclear power reactors [66] with at least
another 7 expected.[67] Six of these reactors have actually been
ordered.[68] In addition, the Tennessee Valley Authority petitioned to
restart construction on the first two units at Bellefonte."  How is this to
be reconciled with Amory's claim that "Wall Street is not putting a penny of
private capital into the industry..."?

Frank

-----Original Message-----
From: [hidden email] [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf
Of Merle Lefkoff
Sent: Wednesday, April 15, 2009 5:00 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Obama on nuclear energy

Peggy is right. I attach a short excerpt from Democracy Now. (Amory is
the guru.)

AMY GOODMAN: It's good to have you with us. Well, talk about nuclear
power. Why do you feel it's not an option, given the oil crisis?

AMORY LOVINS: Well, first of all, electricity and oil have essentially
nothing to do with each other, and anybody who thinks the contrary is
really ignorant about energy. Less than two percent of our electricity
is made from oil. Less than two percent of our oil makes electricity.
Those numbers are falling. And essentially, all the oil involved is
actually the heavy, gooey bottom of the barrel you can't even make
mobility fuels out of anyway.

What nuclear would do is displace coal, our most abundant domestic fuel.
And this sounds good for climate, but actually, expanding nuclear makes
climate change worse, for a very simple reason. Nuclear is incredibly
expensive. The costs have just stood up on end lately. Wall Street
Journal recently reported that they're about two to four times the cost
that the industry was talking about just a year ago. And the result of
that is that if you buy more nuclear plants, you're going to get about
two to ten times less climate solution per dollar, and you'll get it
about twenty to forty times slower, than if you buy instead the cheaper,
faster stuff that is walloping nuclear and coal and gas, all kinds of
central plans, in the marketplace. And those competitors are efficient
use of electricity and what's called micropower, which is both
renewables, except big hydro, and making electricity and heat together,
in fact, recent buildings, which takes about half of the money, fuel and
carbon of making them separately, as we normally do.

So, nuclear cannot actually deliver the climate or the security benefits
claimed for it. It's unrelated to oil. And it's grossly uneconomic,
which means the nuclear revival that we often hear about is not actually
happening. It's a very carefully fabricated illusion. And the reason it
isn't happening is there are no buyers. That is, Wall Street is not
putting a penny of private capital into the industry, despite 100-plus
percent subsidies.


Nick Frost wrote:
> peggy miller wrote:
>> Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was sorry
>> to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that we can
>> proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold fusion,
>> which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar,
>> geothermal, hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not
>> possible, and deeply fear, having sat through countless hearings on
>> Capitol Hill about the
> I agree with Peggy's comment about "the inevitable error of human
> management, and the inability to protect the toxics from leakage"
>
> I would add that while piracy is (IMHO) indefensible, the Somali
> piracy problem gathered much steam after the central government
> collapsed in 1991. The immediate results were predatory overfishing by
> foreign nations on the Somali coastline and the dumping of radioactive
> waste by European firms, which prompted fishermen to attempt to defend
> their waters and prevent the collapse of their fisheries.
>
> http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article418665.ece
>
>
http://abandonedheadlines.blogspot.com/2009/04/poor-coverage-of-somali-pirac
y.html

>
>
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Somali_piracy
>
> -Nick
>
>


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org



--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]
[hidden email]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell
============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
Reply | Threaded
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Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Nick Thompson
In reply to this post by HighlandWindsLLC Miller
Has anybody correlated gdp with tons of waste going to land fills? 
 
Is what we all think of as economic growth anything more than our spending more time on the crapper? 
 
NIck
 
Nicholas S. Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Ethology,
Clark University ([hidden email])
 
 
 
 
----- Original Message -----
Sent: 4/16/2009 10:18:41 AM
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Obama on nuclear energy

It is interesting to note that Europeans (depending of course on the country) use at least 50% less energy per capita than Americans and yet have what some may consider a better standard of living. Also we waste water which in turn wastes energy (the water energy nexus).  If we would be more efficient in our energy and water use, there would be no need to even consider nuclear energy.  One of the positive aspects of the economic crisis is that it is reducing energy consumption.
Paul


-----Original Message-----
From: Douglas Roberts <[hidden email]>
To: [hidden email]; The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>
Sent: Wed, 15 Apr 2009 8:29 pm
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Obama on nuclear energy

I think that the only way Americans, and by proxy the rest of the world, will learn which claim about whatever approach to satisfying our growing global power demands will succeed is to stumble blindly on, as we always do.

It we run out of power, anarchy will emerge.

If the vigorously unsupported claims of the greens are true, and we discover by pure luck that we *can* meet our emerging energy needs with non-fission power sources, then we will declare success ("Heckuva job, Brownie") and stumble on to the next crises.

However, now that both sides have claimed that *they are right* about which approach will guarantee that our hair dryers will turn on tomorrow morning, maybe we should just sit back and watch what happens.

I didn't expect that either side of this argument would be capable of providing proof that their side was right.  This is FRIAM, after all. So. let's just enjoy the next Jihad:  The Jihad of the Greenists vs. the Monitarists.  Or, perhaps, the Jihad of the Greenists vs. the Realists.

On second thought, the former more accurately describes our current Jihad:  Truth, Justice, and the American Way vs. CheneyBush era oil interests

Oops, sorry, 50's Superman raison d'exister has lately turned into a rather embarrassing non-sequitur.  Forget I mentioned it.

Moving on, then, what would be a good slogan to describe the primary tension that captures the essence driving today's emergent energy issue?

"Coal, it's always worked before!"

"Nukes, better living through transuranics!"

"Drill, baby, drill!"

"Wind!  It blows!"

"Make more babies.  We'll figure the rest out later!"

Whatever, please keep those claims of "My way is the best way; your way is the highway" pouring in.  Open minds eat that stuff up.

--Doug



On Wed, Apr 15, 2009 at 7:27 PM, Frank Wimberly <[hidden email]> wrote:
I believe Amory is wrong.  Projections are that world energy needs will
increase by over 60% by 2050 (see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_policy_of_the_United_States ).  In the
late 1960's I worked at Westinghouse Advanced Reactors Division (i.e.
nuclear reactors).  The engineers and scientists I worked with used to say
that people could talk about wind, solar, hydroelectric, geothermal, etc. as
much as they wanted but if nuclear power weren't developed and deployed
aggressively there would be energy riots during the next (i.e. this)
century.  This would (will) be because of shortages of heat, light, food and
other essentials--not luxuries.  Right now there are 104 nuclear electric
power plants in the U.S. which produce about 20% of the Nation's
electricity.  By comparison, almost 80% of France's electricity is generated
by nuclear power.  These plants produce virtually no greenhouse gases.
China plans to build 32 nuclear power plants by 2020 (see
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/05/28/AR2007052801
051.html
).  They have a strong incentive; Stephen will tell you about the
air pollution there

According to the above-referenced Wikipedia article, "As of March 9, 2009,
the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission had received 26 applications for
permission to construct new nuclear power reactors [66] with at least
another 7 expected.[67] Six of these reactors have actually been
ordered.[68] In addition, the Tennessee Valley Authority petitioned to
restart construction on the first two units at Bellefonte."  How is this to
be reconciled with Amory's claim that "Wall Street is not putting a penny of
private capital into the industry..."?

Frank

-----Original Message-----
From: [hidden email] [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf
Of Merle Lefkoff
Sent: Wednesday, April 15, 2009 5:00 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Obama on nuclear energy

Peggy is right. I attach a short excerpt from Democracy Now. (Amory is
the guru.)

AMY GOODMAN: It's good to have you with us. Well, talk about nuclear
power. Why do you feel it's not an option, given the oil crisis?

AMORY LOVINS: Well, first of all, electricity and oil have essentially
nothing to do with each other, and anybody who thinks the contrary is
really ignorant about energy. Less than two percent of our electricity
is made from oil. Less than two percent of our oil makes electricity.
Those numbers are falling. And essentially, all the oil involved is
actually the heavy, gooey bottom of the barrel you can't even make
mobility fuels out of anyway.

What nuclear would do is displace coal, our most abundant domestic fuel.
And this sounds good for climate, but actually, expanding nuclear makes
climate change worse, for a very simple reason. Nuclear is incredibly
expensive. The costs have just stood up on end lately. Wall Street
Journal recently reported that they're about two to four times the cost
that the industry was talking about just a year ago. And the result of
that is that if you buy more nuclear plants, you're going to get about
two to ten times less climate solution per dollar, and you'll get it
about twenty to forty times slower, than if you buy instead the cheaper,
faster stuff that is walloping nuclear and coal and gas, all kinds of
central plans, in the marketplace. And those competitors are efficient
use of electricity and what's called micropower, which is both
renewables, except big hydro, and making electricity and heat together,
in fact, recent buildings, which takes about half of the money, fuel and
carbon of making them separately, as we normally do.

So, nuclear cannot actually deliver the climate or the security benefits
claimed for it. It's unrelated to oil. And it's grossly uneconomic,
which means the nuclear revival that we often hear about is not actually
happening. It's a very carefully fabricated illusion. And the reason it
isn't happening is there are no buyers. That is, Wall Street is not
putting a penny of private capital into the industry, despite 100-plus
percent subsidies.


Nick Frost wrote:

> peggy miller wrote:
>> Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was sorry
>> to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that we can
>> proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold fusion,
>> which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar,
>> geothermal, hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not
>> possible, and deeply fear, having sat through countless hearings on
>> Capitol Hill about the
> I agree with Peggy's comment about "the inevitable error of human
> management, and the inability to protect the toxics from leakage"
>
> I would add that while piracy is (IMHO) indefensible, the Somali
> piracy problem gathered much steam after the central government
> collapsed in 1991. The immediate results were predatory overfishing by
> foreign nations on the Somali coastline and the dumping of radioactive
> waste by European firms, which prompted fishermen to attempt to defend
> their waters and prevent the collapse of their fisheries.
>
> http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article418665.ece
>
>
http://abandonedheadlines.blogspot.com/2009/04/poor-coverage-of-somali-pirac
y.html

>
>
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Somali_piracy
>
> -Nick
>
>


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org



--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]
[hidden email]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell
============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
Reply | Threaded
Open this post in threaded view
|

Re: Obama on nuclear energy

Paul Paryski
Rivernetwork is completing a paper on the carbon footprint of water use based on an analysis of the water-energy nexus.  Actually when one flushes a toilet one uses enegry, so just hold it back Nick.
P


-----Original Message-----
From: Nicholas Thompson <[hidden email]>
To: [hidden email]
Sent: Thu, 16 Apr 2009 11:26 am
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Obama on nuclear energy

Has anybody correlated gdp with tons of waste going to land fills? 
 
Is what we all think of as economic growth anything more than our spending more time on the crapper? 
 
NIck
 
Nicholas S. Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Ethology,
Clark University ([hidden email])
 
 
 
 
----- Original Message -----
Sent: 4/16/2009 10:18:41 AM
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Obama on nuclear energy

It is interesting to note that Europeans (depending of course on the country) use at least 50% less energy per capita than Americans and yet have what some may consider a better standard of living. Also we waste water which in turn wastes energy (the water energy nexus).  If we would be more efficient in our energy and water use, there would be no need to even consider nuclear energy.  One of the positive aspects of the economic crisis is that it is reducing energy consumption.
Paul


-----Original Message-----
From: Douglas Roberts <[hidden email]>
To: [hidden email]; The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>
Sent: Wed, 15 Apr 2009 8:29 pm
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Obama on nuclear energy

I think that the only way Americans, and by proxy the rest of the world, will learn which claim about whatever approach to satisfying our growing global power demands will succeed is to stumble blindly on, as we always do.

It we run out of power, anarchy will emerge.

If the vigorously unsupported claims of the greens are true, and we discover by pure luck that we *can* meet our emerging energy needs with non-fission power sources, then we will declare success ("Heckuva job, Brownie") and stumble on to the next crises.

However, now that both sides have claimed that *they are right* about which approach will guarantee that our hair dryers will turn on tomorrow morning, maybe we should just sit back and watch what happens.

I didn't expect that either side of this argument would be capable of providing proof that their side was right.  This is FRIAM, after all. So. let's just enjoy the next Jihad:  The Jihad of the Greenists vs. the Monitarists.  Or, perhaps, the Jihad of the Greenists vs. the Realists.

On second thought, the former more accurately describes our current Jihad:  Truth, Justice, and the American Way vs. CheneyBush era oil interests

Oops, sorry, 50's Superman raison d'exister has lately turned into a rather embarrassing non-sequitur.  Forget I mentioned it.

Moving on, then, what would be a good slogan to describe the primary tension that captures the essence driving today's emergent energy issue?

"Coal, it's always worked before!"

"Nukes, better living through transuranics!"

"Drill, baby, drill!"

"Wind!  It blows!"

"Make more babies.  We'll figure the rest out later!"

Whatever, please keep those claims of "My way is the best way; your way is the highway" pouring in.  Open minds eat that stuff up.

--Doug



On Wed, Apr 15, 2009 at 7:27 PM, Frank Wimberly <[hidden email]> wrote:
I believe Amory is wrong.  Projections are that world energy needs will
increase by over 60% by 2050 (see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_policy_of_the_United_States ).  In the
late 1960's I worked at Westinghouse Advanced Reactors Division (i.e.
nuclear reactors).  The engineers and scientists I worked with used to say
that people could talk about wind, solar, hydroelectric, geothermal, etc. as
much as they wanted but if nuclear power weren't developed and deployed
aggressively there would be energy riots during the next (i.e. this)
century.  This would (will) be because of shortages of heat, light, food and
other essentials--not luxuries.  Right now there are 104 nuclear electric
power plants in the U.S. which produce about 20% of the Nation's
electricity.  By comparison, almost 80% of France's electricity is generated
by nuclear power.  These plants produce virtually no greenhouse gases.
China plans to build 32 nuclear power plants by 2020 (see
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/05/28/AR2007052801
051.html
).  They have a strong incentive; Stephen will tell you about the
air pollution there

According to the above-referenced Wikipedia article, "As of March 9, 2009,
the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission had received 26 applications for
permission to construct new nuclear power reactors [66] with at least
another 7 expected.[67] Six of these reactors have actually been
ordered.[68] In addition, the Tennessee Valley Authority petitioned to
restart construction on the first two units at Bellefonte."  How is this to
be reconciled with Amory's cla im that "Wall Street is not putting a penny of
private capital into the industry..."?

Frank

-----Original Message-----
From: [hidden email] [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf
Of Merle Lefkoff
Sent: Wednesday, April 15, 2009 5:00 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Obama on nuclear energy

Peggy is right. I attach a short excerpt from Democracy Now. (Amory is
the guru.)

AMY GOODMAN: It's good to have you with us. Well, talk about nuclear
power. Why do you feel it's not an option, given the oil crisis?

AMORY LOVINS: Well, first of all, electricity and oil have essentially
nothing to do with each other, and anybody who thinks the contrary is
really ignorant about energy. Less than two percent of our electricity
is made from oil. Less than two percent of our oil makes electricity.
Those numbers are falling. And essentially, all the oil involved is
actually the heavy, gooey bottom of the barrel you can't even make
mobility fuels out of anyway.

What nuclear would do is displace coal, our most abundant domestic fuel.
And this sounds good for climate, but actually, expanding nuclear makes
climate change worse, for a very simple reason. Nuclear is incredibly
expensive. The costs have just stood up on end lately. Wall Street
Journal recently reported that they're about two to four times the cost
that the industry was talking about just a year ago. And the result of
that is that if you buy more nuclear plants, you're going to get about
two to ten times less climate solution per dollar, and you'll get it
about twenty to forty times slower, than if you buy instead the cheaper,
faster stuff that is walloping nuclear and coal and gas, all kinds of
central plans, in the marketplace. And those competitors are efficient
use of electricity and what's called micropower, which is both
renewables, except big hydro, and making electricity and heat toge ther,
in fact, recent buildings, which takes about half of the money, fuel and
carbon of making them separately, as we normally do.

So, nuclear cannot actually deliver the climate or the security benefits
claimed for it. It's unrelated to oil. And it's grossly uneconomic,
which means the nuclear revival that we often hear about is not actually
happening. It's a very carefully fabricated illusion. And the reason it
isn't happening is there are no buyers. That is, Wall Street is not
putting a penny of private capital into the industry, despite 100-plus
percent subsidies.


Nick Frost wrote:
> peggy miller wrote:
>> Below is link showing Obama's support for nuclear energy. I was sorry
>> to see it stated so clearly, because I remain believing that we can
>> proceed without nuclear energy (unless it is developing cold fusion,
>> which he does not state in his speech), using wind, solar,
>> geothermal, hydrogen. I continue to see no reason this is not
>> possible, and deeply fear, having sat through countless hearings on
>> Capitol Hill about the
> I agree with Peggy's comment about "the inevitable error of human
> management, and the inability to protect the toxics from leakage"
>
> I would add that while piracy is (IMHO) indefensible, the Somali
> piracy problem gathered much steam after the central government
> collapsed in 1991. The immediate results were predatory overfishing by
> foreign nations on the Somali coastline and the dumping of radioactive
> waste by European firms, which prompted fishermen to attempt to defend
> their waters and prevent the collapse of their fisheries.
>
> http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article418665.ece
>
>
<a target="_blank" href="http://abandonedheadlines.blogspot.com/2009/04/poor-coverage-of-somali-pirac%0Ay .html">http://abandonedheadlines.blogspot.com/2009/04/poor-coverage-of-somali-pirac
y.html
>
>
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Somali_piracy
>
> -Nick
>
>


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org



--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]
[hidden email]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell
============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
Reply | Threaded
Open this post in threaded view
|

Re: Obama on nuclear energy

James Steiner
On Thu, Apr 16, 2009 at 1:41 PM,  <[hidden email]> wrote:
> Rivernetwork is completing a paper on the carbon footprint of water use
> based on an analysis of the water-energy nexus.  Actually when one flushes a
> toilet one uses enegry, so just hold it back Nick.
> P

"If it's yellow, let it mellow.
 If it's brown, flush it down."

~~James

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org