FB self-selected antibody covid testing of 3000+ in Santa Clara

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FB self-selected antibody covid testing of 3000+ in Santa Clara

jpgirard
Preprint below.

Has this been discussed already?
Seems like a fairly key new piece of information in the covid19 version of the Drake Equation (with a time component).
This seems to be a decent guess at the fraction truly infected number.


Of course, there are self-selection effects on the population, but they attempted to control for them it looks like.  Also, none of the antibody tests has been certified by the feds yet.


If you know of any other antibody testing that has better randomization, please post!

-Jim


preprint:





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Re: FB self-selected antibody covid testing of 3000+ in Santa Clara

Tom Johnson
Related:

"On the trail of COVID-19: Contact tracing the virus
bit.ly/mSad

TJ


============================================
Tom Johnson - [hidden email]
Institute for Analytic Journalism   --     Santa Fe, NM USA
505.577.6482(c)                                    505.473.9646(h)
NM Foundation for Open Government
Check out It's The People's Data                 
============================================


On Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 3:25 PM <[hidden email]> wrote:
Preprint below.

Has this been discussed already?
Seems like a fairly key new piece of information in the covid19 version of the Drake Equation (with a time component).
This seems to be a decent guess at the fraction truly infected number.


Of course, there are self-selection effects on the population, but they attempted to control for them it looks like.  Also, none of the antibody tests has been certified by the feds yet.


If you know of any other antibody testing that has better randomization, please post!

-Jim


preprint:




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Re: FB self-selected antibody covid testing of 3000+ in Santa Clara

Gary Schiltz-4
Hey Tom, that link points to a domain that is for sale.

On Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 5:04 PM Tom Johnson <[hidden email]> wrote:
Related:
BS NEWS April 19, 2020, 9:07 AM

"On the trail of COVID-19: Contact tracing the virus
bit.ly/mSad

TJ


============================================
Tom Johnson - [hidden email]
Institute for Analytic Journalism   --     Santa Fe, NM USA
505.577.6482(c)                                    505.473.9646(h)
NM Foundation for Open Government
Check out It's The People's Data                 
============================================


On Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 3:25 PM <[hidden email]> wrote:
Preprint below.

Has this been discussed already?
Seems like a fairly key new piece of information in the covid19 version of the Drake Equation (with a time component).
This seems to be a decent guess at the fraction truly infected number.


Of course, there are self-selection effects on the population, but they attempted to control for them it looks like.  Also, none of the antibody tests has been certified by the feds yet.


If you know of any other antibody testing that has better randomization, please post!

-Jim


preprint:




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Re: FB self-selected antibody covid testing of 3000+ in Santa Clara

Frank Wimberly-2
I was tempted to offer them 0.50.

---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505
505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

On Sun, Apr 19, 2020, 4:08 PM Gary Schiltz <[hidden email]> wrote:
Hey Tom, that link points to a domain that is for sale.

On Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 5:04 PM Tom Johnson <[hidden email]> wrote:
Related:
BS NEWS April 19, 2020, 9:07 AM

"On the trail of COVID-19: Contact tracing the virus
bit.ly/mSad

TJ


============================================
Tom Johnson - [hidden email]
Institute for Analytic Journalism   --     Santa Fe, NM USA
505.577.6482(c)                                    505.473.9646(h)
NM Foundation for Open Government
Check out It's The People's Data                 
============================================


On Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 3:25 PM <[hidden email]> wrote:
Preprint below.

Has this been discussed already?
Seems like a fairly key new piece of information in the covid19 version of the Drake Equation (with a time component).
This seems to be a decent guess at the fraction truly infected number.


Of course, there are self-selection effects on the population, but they attempted to control for them it looks like.  Also, none of the antibody tests has been certified by the feds yet.


If you know of any other antibody testing that has better randomization, please post!

-Jim


preprint:




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Re: FB self-selected antibody covid testing of 3000+ in Santa Clara

Tom Johnson
You're right.  My apologies.  Bit.ly is driving me crazy lately.
TJ

============================================
Tom Johnson - [hidden email]
Institute for Analytic Journalism   --     Santa Fe, NM USA
505.577.6482(c)                                    505.473.9646(h)
NM Foundation for Open Government
Check out It's The People's Data                 
============================================


On Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 4:11 PM Frank Wimberly <[hidden email]> wrote:
I was tempted to offer them 0.50.

---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505
505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

On Sun, Apr 19, 2020, 4:08 PM Gary Schiltz <[hidden email]> wrote:
Hey Tom, that link points to a domain that is for sale.

On Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 5:04 PM Tom Johnson <[hidden email]> wrote:
Related:
BS NEWS April 19, 2020, 9:07 AM

"On the trail of COVID-19: Contact tracing the virus
bit.ly/mSad

TJ


============================================
Tom Johnson - [hidden email]
Institute for Analytic Journalism   --     Santa Fe, NM USA
505.577.6482(c)                                    505.473.9646(h)
NM Foundation for Open Government
Check out It's The People's Data                 
============================================


On Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 3:25 PM <[hidden email]> wrote:
Preprint below.

Has this been discussed already?
Seems like a fairly key new piece of information in the covid19 version of the Drake Equation (with a time component).
This seems to be a decent guess at the fraction truly infected number.


Of course, there are self-selection effects on the population, but they attempted to control for them it looks like.  Also, none of the antibody tests has been certified by the feds yet.


If you know of any other antibody testing that has better randomization, please post!

-Jim


preprint:




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Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6  bit.ly/virtualfriam
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Apple-Google and tracking virus

Tom Johnson


https://www.cbsnews.com/news/on-the-trail-of-covid-19-contact-tracing-the-virus/  

============================================
Tom Johnson - [hidden email]
Institute for Analytic Journalism   --     Santa Fe, NM USA
505.577.6482(c)                                    505.473.9646(h)
NM Foundation for Open Government
Check out It's The People's Data                 
============================================


---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Tom Johnson <[hidden email]>
Date: Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 5:09 PM
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] FB self-selected antibody covid testing of 3000+ in Santa Clara
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>


You're right.  My apologies.  Bit.ly is driving me crazy lately.
TJ

============================================
Tom Johnson - [hidden email]
Institute for Analytic Journalism   --     Santa Fe, NM USA
505.577.6482(c)                                    505.473.9646(h)
NM Foundation for Open Government
Check out It's The People's Data                 
============================================


On Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 4:11 PM Frank Wimberly <[hidden email]> wrote:
I was tempted to offer them 0.50.

---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505
505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

On Sun, Apr 19, 2020, 4:08 PM Gary Schiltz <[hidden email]> wrote:
Hey Tom, that link points to a domain that is for sale.

On Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 5:04 PM Tom Johnson <[hidden email]> wrote:
Related:
BS NEWS April 19, 2020, 9:07 AM

"On the trail of COVID-19: Contact tracing the virus
bit.ly/mSad

TJ


============================================
Tom Johnson - [hidden email]
Institute for Analytic Journalism   --     Santa Fe, NM USA
505.577.6482(c)                                    505.473.9646(h)
NM Foundation for Open Government
Check out It's The People's Data                 
============================================


On Sun, Apr 19, 2020 at 3:25 PM <[hidden email]> wrote:
Preprint below.

Has this been discussed already?
Seems like a fairly key new piece of information in the covid19 version of the Drake Equation (with a time component).
This seems to be a decent guess at the fraction truly infected number.


Of course, there are self-selection effects on the population, but they attempted to control for them it looks like.  Also, none of the antibody tests has been certified by the feds yet.


If you know of any other antibody testing that has better randomization, please post!

-Jim


preprint:




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Re: FB self-selected antibody covid testing of 3000+ in Santa Clara

gepr
In reply to this post by jpgirard
I don't know if these were mentioned in the livescience article. But its handy to have them posted separately.

https://www.nih.gov/news-events/news-releases/nih-begins-study-quantify-undetected-cases-coronavirus-infection

https://www.sfchronicle.com/health/article/UC-Berkeley-launches-study-to-test-5-000-healthy-15206367.php

--
glen

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uǝʃƃ ⊥ glen