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Hi folks,
...this week's global run on credit seems like a casebook example of how
a natural system failure to provide growing physical returns on
investment would effect financial commitments for endlessly growing
financial returns. The naturally conflict.
One thing we can do is watch it closely, so others may learn from our
experience. Because systemic collapse is a big physical process in a
big physical system, displaying all-together new kinds of rapidly
spreading behaviors, watch for that. If you see that sort of thing
perhaps you'll 'believe your eyes and ears' and not feel the
observations were 'planted' in your imagination somehow. Remember what
things seemed to mean before and after and make note of it.
---
I've been using the mismatch between our unlimited economic expectations
and their certain disappointment as a way to learn about natural systems
and how they fool us for about 30 years. It's remains a rich and
engaging subject. In June I sent out my first 'system collision
warning' ever, initially in a post to the AIA environment forum. I
said I thought the surprise discovery by the ethanol investors in May,
that ethanol couldn't have the land they wanted (to begin the shift of
the world economy to a carbon neutral energy source) because milk
producers raised the price, signaled the tip of the growth system's
physical collision with the earth we've all been waiting for, 'the big
crunch'. The same kind of 'fish-tailing' in the steering mechanisms
of the world economic system I observed then in the energy markets also
seems clear in the rapid, large scale, and indecisive maneuvering this
week by financial institutions.
Just because growth expectations are fulfilled, even for hundreds of
years, doesn't mean it's not certain that natural systems will fail
them, and so our financial design that requires growth for it's own
stability is a mistake. If this week's threatened global financial
collapse is just a warning, well, then do take it as a warning.
Phil Henshaw ????.?? ? `?.????
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