I have mixed feelings about the NM Governors messaging right now. The highway marquee signs I see say something like "hospitals full - 2 week reset - stay home" but we also got a statewide txt message like an amber alert with yet more dire warning... as if the dams upstream had broken and a 50' wall of water was going to sweep us away just as we were reading the text... or if we had a basement we should dive into it because a tornado was already in the process of ripping our house off its foundation. The former worked for me, the latter just seemed hysterical. Maybe this is what it takes. I was out and about myself yesterday (finding internet from a cell tower since my home link was down!) and saw a *lot* of traffic in Pojoaque and Espanola, both automobile and foot and not nearly as many masks as during the April-May hard shutdown.
I take it as a rough rule of thumb that if I cut my contacts in half I've cut my (potential) Ro in half... even if I have it (asymptomatically) I am half as likely to pass it on. Same for everyone else, with bias of course against the gadflies and the irresponsibles (no masks, etc.). The lag time for results, both on tightening and loosening makes it hard to "steer" this huge cruise-ship of fools that we are.
Actually I think the proper connection is that when everyone gets scared, the virus eases (if not easing, it is finding it harder to find victims). Unfortunately, once it eases some, people get less scared and then get C-19.
—Barry
On 17 Nov 2020, at 10:56, [hidden email] wrote:
Anecdotal "evidence". Two weeks ago, I hadn't known anybody _who knew anybody_ who had tested positive; today I know two. No connection between them. It appears that only fear regulates the distribution of the virus. Myself, I am up to March fear level. Narcissistic Abduction: Now that I am scared, perhaps the virus will ease off?
Nick
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