Re: high turnout and tight races?

Posted by Eric Charles-2 on Oct 30, 2020; 12:23am
URL: http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/high-turnout-and-tight-races-tp7599243p7599293.html

"I've always heard that tight races lead to higher turnout" that is true! Though it might be better to say that the perception of a tight race leads to higher turnout.

However, other things can also lead to high turn out. Rampant polarization of the population with a media-induced frenzy of urgency. If the number of people on each side of the polarization is uneven, then the larger the turn out, the better the chance the final count reflects the population discrepancy. 

On Wed, Oct 28, 2020 at 7:20 PM uǝlƃ ↙↙↙ <[hidden email]> wrote:

From:

https://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2020/Pres/Maps/Oct28.html#item-7
"6. High turnout makes razor-thin victories, like the ones Trump notched in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania in 2016, much less likely."

Is that true? I've always heard that tight races lead to higher turnout, which would imply that high turnout would correlate WITH thin victories, not against them.

--
↙↙↙ uǝlƃ

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