Re: Covid graph

Posted by thompnickson2 on
URL: http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/Covid-graph-tp7597871p7597879.html

What was the Sweden story?  Last time I thought about Sweden was months ago, when  they had just discovered the error of their ways and were embarking on some kind of lockdown.  What happened?

 

n

 

Nicholas Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology

Clark University

[hidden email]

https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

 

 

From: Friam <[hidden email]> On Behalf Of Eric Charles
Sent: Wednesday, July 22, 2020 7:38 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Covid graph

 

Frank....

 

Those graphs are up to today. That's what the 146,000ish deaths look like. 

-----------

Eric P. Charles, Ph.D.
Department of Justice - Personnel Psychologist

American University - Adjunct Instructor

 

 

On Wed, Jul 22, 2020 at 9:30 PM Frank Wimberly <[hidden email]> wrote:

Now, of course, the US has suffered more than 140,000 deaths.

 

 

On Wed, Jul 22, 2020 at 7:24 PM Eric Charles <[hidden email]> wrote:

TRY 2

I know some at FRIAM like to obsess over the ongoing apocalypse, so I thought you might appreciate this. It is the second covid graph I prepared for my Facebook feed. I think trying to think clearly about what's going on requires a data-visualization format something like this. We desperately want the number of confirmed cases to predict deaths, but it really doesn't seem to. As a data-analysis person, I find the non-correlation between confirmed cases and deaths fascinating. If I was making this specifically for FRIAM, I would put both cases and deaths on the same graph with two different scales, but that wouldn't work at all for most random people I know. I posted it to The Book of Face with this caption: 

---------------

10 Days since my last graph... Sweden is basically done, as predicted... U.S. has been spiking in confirmed cases for over a month, but the associated uptick in deaths is already leveling off after starting two weeks ago, and didn't get very far. It is obviously unfortunate we didn't continue the downward trend we were working... but I'm not sure it was ever realistic for the U.S. to do that, and, if we were going to have an uptick, this isn't nearly as bad as it could be.

-----------

Eric P. Charles, Ph.D.
Department of Justice - Personnel Psychologist

American University - Adjunct Instructor

 

 

On Wed, Jul 22, 2020 at 9:17 PM Eric Charles <[hidden email]> wrote:

I know some at FRIAM like to obsess over the ongoing apocalypse, so I thought you might appreciate this. It is the second covid graph I prepared for my Facebook feed. I think trying to think clearly about what's going on requires a data-visualization format something like this. We desperately want the number of confirmed cases to predict deaths, but it really doesn't seem to. As a data-analysis person, I find the non-correlation between confirmed cases and deaths fascinating. If I was making this specifically for FRIAM, I would put both cases and deaths on the same graph with two different scales, but that wouldn't work at all for most random people I know. I posted it to The Book of Face with this caption: 

---------------

10 Days since my last graph... Sweden is basically done, as predicted... U.S. has been spiking in confirmed cases for over a month, but the associated uptick in deaths is already leveling off after starting two weeks ago, and didn't get very far. It is obviously unfortunate we didn't continue the downward trend we were working... but I'm not sure it was ever realistic for the U.S. to do that, and, if we were going to have an uptick, this isn't nearly as bad as it could be.

 

 

 

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--

Frank Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz
Santa Fe, NM 87505
505 670-9918

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Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6  bit.ly/virtualfriam
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