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Re: Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

Posted by Marcus G. Daniels on Nov 05, 2016; 7:48pm
URL: http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/Trump-Is-Just-A-Normal-Polling-Error-Behind-Clinton-FiveThirtyEight-tp7588069p7588102.html

Owen writes:


"We do need to get over "who's going to win?" and ask "why has Trump got such a *huge* following?"


One could as well ask:  "Why do ISIS or Al-Qaeda have such a big following?"

The explanation is not a justification.  In the case of those two, part of the solution involves empathy, education, and disentangling young people from the broken people around them.  Other parts involves the use of intelligence, and economic, military force to reduce their scope of their influence.


Marcus




From: Friam <[hidden email]> on behalf of Owen Densmore <[hidden email]>
Sent: Saturday, November 5, 2016 12:59:39 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight
 
A quote from the article is pretty telling:

In America today, compared with 50 years ago, three times as many working-age men are completely outside the work force. This pattern is occurring throughout the developed world — and the consequences are not merely economic. Feeling superfluous is a blow to the human spirit. It leads to social isolation and emotional pain, and creates the conditions for negative emotions to take root.

​If I were one of them, I'd surely vote Trump.

We do need to get over "who's going to win?​" and ask "why has Trump got such a *huge* following?"

   -- Owen

On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 11:58 AM, Owen Densmore <[hidden email]> wrote:
On Fri, Nov 4, 2016 at 2:51 PM, Marcus Daniels <[hidden email]> wrote:
I found the article from the Dalai Lama in the NYT today fairly plausible explanation of why we have the current problem.    But, I would say, no, there will be no brotherhood with the Bundy's.   The redistributionist approach (that Brooks -- libertarian -- objects to elsewhere) arises in order to give the possibility of free enterprise, not to preserve it for those that haven't realized they've simply failed to be sufficiently enterprising.

​I just took a look at the article, and it certainly is interesting and puts into perspective​ why wealthy countries have a "The Sky Is Falling" syndrome.


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