Re: Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

Posted by Gillian Densmore on Nov 05, 2016; 7:42pm
URL: http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/Trump-Is-Just-A-Normal-Polling-Error-Behind-Clinton-FiveThirtyEight-tp7588069p7588101.html

With such a close race between those two that raises questions like

-What if theirs a real tie? 

-What (if any) difference will people writing in  Ventura or Cthulu or  Sanders make

-What (if any) difference would Stien Johnson and other indipendents  make?

On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 1:31 PM, Frank Wimberly <[hidden email]> wrote:

As I recall, Obama had a smaller lead than that in the popular vote.

Frank Wimberly
Phone <a href="tel:%28505%29%20670-9918" value="[phone]" target="_blank">[phone]

On Nov 5, 2016 1:29 PM, "Owen Densmore" <[hidden email]> wrote:

On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 1:12 PM, Frank Wimberly <[hidden email]> wrote:

In the meantime I'm very concerned with who's going to win the election.

​Yup, me too. That's why I REALLY don't like the "65% Hillary, 35% Trump"​

 

​chance to win stat. It SO magnifies a tiny percentage of the population.

T

he popular vote prediction paints a very different picture:

​Hillary Clinton     

48.5%

Donald Trump    

45.5%

​.. a 3% difference! .. definitely NOT the 30% difference in chance to win.

   -- Owen​

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