On Mar 14, 2013, at 11:43 AM, Owen Densmore wrote:
On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 11:14 AM, Douglas Roberts
<[hidden email]> wrote:
Oh come on guys, Google never makes a mistake. Ever.
--Doug
OK, how's this for specific. Try these on:
Do you think Android will last? I don't mean "will it completely go away" but will google, for example, drop out of the Android consortium and let the handset makers carry the load?
If Google drops Android, then it will not last - the handset makers will fragment it in order to have distinguishing features/selling points. If Google sets up the Open Handset Alliance with funding, it might be able to keep the handset fragmentation
at bay.
Will G+ be dropped? After all, it mainly gives a Facebook-like world for most folks. G+ is "better" from our standpoint, but I use twitter 100x more than either FB or G+ and FB has the masses and will never loose them. So G+ is just catch up and niche.
Probably not - Google seems to be pushing single sign on through G+ in order to better track people for targeted advertisement.
How about Chrome? I think that is the more likely to remain stable forever simply because they depend on a browser as the root of all that they do. Ditto the Dev Tools which are superb. Hopefully solid.
I agree - Chrome is probably a long-term investment. Especially since it is their vehicle to get users to single-signon through G+.
How about Chrome OS? The twitter world is betting on Mozilla over Google in the browser-as-OS world. Possibly because Brenden Eich became CTO recently. Also their phone promises a way to have "responsive design" webapps become universal, getting rid
of the need for customized android/iphone/windows apps. That's a pretty big win for perplexed companies moving into mobile.
Unless Mozilla can get out of their cruft rut, their browser-as-OS will be really slow and unresponsive. As much as I like Firefox and its security plug-ins, I've had to give up on it on my Android phone - it's a memory and processing hog. Firefox has
grown bigger and slower with every version. Also, Mozilla doesn't have desktop applications ready.
How about Dart? Consider ASM.js vs Dart. Which would you bet on? I'm still betting on Mozilla's ASM.js because its simply more fundamental and understandable and even is part of a C++ to JS translation effort
Apples vs Oranges - asm.js is a subset of javascript for which Dart is a ground-up replacement. The real comparison is how much penetration has Dart made into implementations (apparently, negligible).