Re: One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State

Posted by Douglas Roberts-2 on Nov 04, 2012; 10:26pm
URL: http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/One-State-Two-State-Red-State-Blue-State-tp7580935p7580939.html

Causation conclusions from the presented observations would have to be backed by extensive non-partisan analysis.  I, of course, have formed my own opinions regarding the motivating causation behind the two indicated major inflection changes in the graph.

--Doug

On Sun, Nov 4, 2012 at 3:21 PM, Steve Smith <[hidden email]> wrote:

Are we to interpret that the market confidence in Obama's winning took a nosedive after he declined Romney's invitation to a pissing contest on television at the first debate?

And that the market got more confident in him after he toured disaster states on the East Coast?  Or less confident in a climate-change-denier after the first-person experience of extreme weather (whether caused by climate change or not)?

The arrows represent correlations... what are the implied causations?  What is the "arrow of choice" for June 2012?  When it was clear Romney was the Republican's candidate?

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Doug Roberts
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============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org