recap on Rosen

Posted by Marcus G. Daniels on
URL: http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/Welcome-Jim-tp526087p526131.html

phil henshaw wrote:
> No, that does not work at all.  Patching together a model to suite a symptom
> in retrospect does not help you with being ready for unexpected eventfulness
> in nature that you previously had no idea that you should be looking for.
>  
Never said anything about symptoms.   I did suggest maybe you ought to
plan on measuring something in particular to see if models (whether your
own or those you are interpreting) are consistent with reality in a
statistically meaningful way.  You can posit whatever driving events or
processes you want in-silco.  A comet striking the earth, people selling
their organs to increase the profit margins of the companies, the
importance of prophets in collective decision making, or whatever..