One of my projects

Posted by Phil Henshaw-2 on
URL: http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/One-of-my-projects-tp523632p523649.html

Oh,... a little correction.   The statement "variation at the fringe" is not
entirely original, though I did develop it before knowing about the others
who use essentially the same thing.  It's one of the things that makes the
work of three others I know of unique and advanced in evolutionary systems
thinking.   Rob Ulanowitz, Peter M. Allen and Kirschner & Gerhart.   Sorry
for the omission.   Rob refers to it with his concept of 'autocatalysis',
Allen using the word 'explore', and Kirschner & Gerhart as 'facilitated',
all refering to locally stimulated evolution within a larger system.   For
me it's been something I've noticed in closely watching how natural system
pathways evolve for a long time, and specifically offered as a mechanism to
explain the apparent genetic feedback dynamics in the G. tumida species
transition I demonstrated.



On 4/4/07, Phil Henshaw <sy at synapse9.com> wrote:

>
> Correct, and perhaps a better way of saying that same thing.
>
> I have a bundle of natural system derived metrics for use in comparing
> the behavior of models with individual instances of physical systems.
> There's still a gap in making the system features I can extract from
> nature connect with what statistical modelers will want to plug into
> their models, however.  The gap seems to represent a significant real
> disconnect between the designs of individual physical systems and the
> designs of computer models of them.
>
> One of the features I think would help the most to make computer models
> more similar to individual instances of physical systems is that every
> sub-system act as an individual, and be given the behavior of
> 'exploring' it's domain.  System 'exploration' is a property that I
> think could be given mathematical definition, but has not yet as far as
> I know.  It basically means 'variation at the fringe' where the number
> of experiments in the region of successful experiments is variously
> self-controlled.   The problem for modeling that I see is the question
> 'fringe of what??'.   Because a computer model is iterative there are
> loops of effects. In nature, loops of effects like that bundle into
> individuals that act as wholes.   I know how to identify them and a
> little about how to explore them, but not how to write programs to
> emulate them.  Perhaps that's because I see their every feature to be
> essential, and maybe that's not quite necessary for building somewhat
> useful models that carry more of their authentic structures?
>
>
> Phil Henshaw                       ????.?? ? `?.????
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
> 680 Ft. Washington Ave
> NY NY 10040
> tel: 212-795-4844
> e-mail: pfh at synapse9.com
> explorations: www.synapse9.com
>
>
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: friam-bounces at redfish.com
> > [mailto:friam-bounces at redfish.com] On Behalf Of Marcus G. Daniels
> > Sent: Wednesday, April 04, 2007 6:04 AM
> > To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
> > Subject: Re: [FRIAM] One of my projects
> >
> >
> > Phil Henshaw wrote:
> > > It's missing the scientific reality component though, the step of
> > > identifying how what we think is *different from* reality.
> > If it's possible to identify how a model is thought be not
> > representative of reality, then new mechanisms can be added.  Then,
> > differences in model behavior can be quantified both relative to the
> > simpler model and relative to some set of data metrics that
> > characterize
> > known `reality'.
> > > Still, don't you need some sort of method of a) validation
> > of results
> > e.g. Doug mentioned the 1918 pandemic flu:
> >
> http://www.mail-archive.com/friam at redfish.com/msg01646.html
>
> and b) finding patterns in the discrepancy in the results found?
>
> Suppose one posited that temperature had some role in the distribution
> of a pathogen in some environment.
> Data could be collected from actual cool and warm environments (by
> experiment or from a historical account).  Meanwhile a model could
> implement the hypothesis about the role of temperature.   If the
> distribution of the pathogen in the model doesn't match the data, then
> the model can be elaborated or changed.  Or one can consider collecting
> more precise data if the model suggests finer distinctions in outcomes
> than could otherwise be witnessed.  Rinse and repeat until the model
> acts like reality.  Now try predicting distributions from new datasets.
>
> No earthshaking changes to scientific method here.   It's just that the
> predictions can be high dimensional if needed and model mechanisms
> aren't constrained to be analytically tractable.
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>
>
>
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>
>
>
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: http://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/attachments/20070404/b2ad8d86/attachment.html