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Re: How many years left

Posted by Robert Howard-2-3 on Apr 20, 2009; 4:31pm
URL: http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/How-many-years-left-tp2660167p2664753.html

"A problem we face is the ability of modern technologies (genomics, engineered crops, nanotechnology, etc.) to affect entire populations while such cascading decisions are left to the increasingly few..."

 

Well spoken!

 

“I'm not clever enough to claim to have a working model of what sensible regulation of human technologies would look like”

 

I fear those that do.

 

One of my daily rituals is to silently hope I'm wrong

 

So long as you don’t use that as a spectator’s excuse to sit by a passively wait. You sound very intelligent. I’m glad you take the time to write.

 

“I hold the picture of a green world in which success is measured in the health of people, ecosystems, and the amount of laughter heard in communities (rather than success being measured in dollars).”

 

I have a more warped view. I see pain and suffering as a good sign that we humans are pushing ourselves to our limits. There are starving people in the deserts of Elbonia. If we were NOT really trying, as Sam Kinison said, “THEY’D MOVE TO WHERE THE FOOD IS!” Such thoughts get me in social trouble but I don’t care because I have a sense of humor. It’s just too easy to be a happy sloth in America. We have to fight it! Ignorance truly is bliss. No pain, no gain. Les gens heureux n'ont pas d'histoire! Besides, every time we create a solution to a big problem, it soon gets taken for granted, and the next runner problem eventually evolves to warrant the same emotional level of discontent as the first problem. We never rest content on our laurels. It’s the journey of problem solving that makes us human – not so much the end solutions. Marathon runners like to run. Crossing the finish line is like finishing a chapter in a book.

 

“I often find myself reading threads in this forum with great interest, yet not responding for fear of the reaction”

Nah, put some skin in the game! The people in this forum are very good people. They are very smart and can be intimidating in their own field. But we’re all human. And outside our comfortable specialized field of study, we’re all bipedal primates with three pound brains searching for answers. Many people writing on this listserv are scientists and critical thinkers, and they respond like scientists, which is typically sincere doubt and devil’s advocates designed to show interest in or emphasize a particular point and gather more information. But it’s so much better than “one-way media”. I wish we had something of FRIAM’s quality in Phoenix. I’m happy I can live here and be a part of it.

 

A mystic seeks out others who agree. A scientist seeks out others who disagree.

 

SCIENTIST: So what do you think of my idea?

LISTENER: I totally agree!

SCIENTIST: Oh... well... gotta go, have a nice day. Hey you over there! What do you think of my idea?

 

Besides, true scientists truly like diversity of thought.

 

 

-----Original Message-----
From: [hidden email] [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf Of Nick Frost
Sent: Monday, April 20, 2009 4:24 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] How many years left

 

On Apr 20, 2009, at 1:37 AM, Robert Howard wrote:

 

> “I think we will outlive every other species on the planet, even if 

> we have to escape it, leaving a burnt-out cinder behind. “

> 

> The meek shall inherit the Earth. The strong will leave.

 

The strong will leave?

 

While I realize that the Star Trek movie opens on May 8th, I think 

we're a long way from Gerard O'Neill's fantasies of mass emigration 

into space, which if you recall were being *seriously* debated in the 

1970's.  IMHO, the idea of extraterrestrial emigration also presumes a 

level of cultural, political, economic, and social stability that may  

not be present as humanity pushes the limits of increasing population 

and diminishing resources (while we try to develop the technology 

necessary to move into space).  What we have are the ingredients of a 

recipe for conflict and not interstellar travel, unless I'm mistaken 

(I hope I am!).  We might evolve a material culture stable enough to 

achieve such technologies (terraforming, intergalactic travel), we 

might not.  Time will tell. The way things are going now, it seems 

pretty far fetched to me, but perhaps I'm mistaken in having an equal 

belief in homo sapiens capacity for self-deception and human 

creativity.  http://www.wnyc.org/shows/radiolab/episodes/2008/02/29/segments/92437

 

Taking another perspective, I personally think I (we) ought to learn 

to live reasonably on this planet prior to exporting my dysfunction 

elsewhere.   Do we abandon Earth like a bad marriage after 

contaminating it (Wall-E) or face and resolve our problems before 

moving out into the galaxy and beyond? One stratagem implies growth 

and potential maturity (personal/plural) to me, the other does not.  

For me the question is not so much merely "what can we achieve?, where 

can we go?" but "what do we become in the process?"  Just because we 

*can* clone organisms doesn't mean we should.  We act, think, and make 

decisions that affect all life on this planet, yet the danger of human 

solipsistic thinking is that I/we overlook our relationships to the 

rest of the planetary biology as we transform habitats and cause 

extinctions (Dodo, Thylacine, etc.).  Agreeing with some points 

outlined in David Abram's book "Spell of the Sensuous", our self-

concept is in part defined by perception, in no small part through  

relation to others (human and non-human). It seems to me that to 

ignore this might not constitute positive development for the 

individual/collective.

 

The idea of restricting science doesn't appeal to me any more than 

censorship, book-burning, fascism, nor totalitarianism.....but then 

neither does a world of genetic caste system due to designer babies http://www.cnn.com/2008/TECH/science/10/30/designer.babies/index.html

  or a world run by people who seem to elevate curiosity above moral 

and intellectual sensibility, empathy, and common sense.  What I mean 

by this is that I fall more in the Jaron Lanier and Bill Joy camp in 

terms of us risking a future dystopia (e.g. Joy's article "Why the 

Future Doesn't Need Us"http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Why_the_future_doesn't_need_us)

  than believing that the likes of Ray Kurzweil and Hugo de Garis (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hugo_de_Garis

) ought to run the world.  I have met many people far smarter than 

I'll ever be at SFI and elsewhere, but some individuals lack a 

corresponding empathy, ethical sensibility, and moral compass to 

accompany their intellectual brilliance.

 

A problem we face is the ability of modern technologies (genomics, 

engineered crops, nanotechnology, etc.) to affect entire populations 

while such cascading decisions are left to the increasingly few. I'm 

not sure this is a healthy thing as we move forward. I'm not clever 

enough to claim to have a working model of what sensible regulation of 

human technologies would look like, but it's clear to me that there 

are some very bright people in the world who I fear don't possess the 

ethical makeup to make responsible decisions that are affecting all of 

us (Life...not just people).

 

One of my daily rituals is to silently hope I'm wrong...and that our 

future will be a bright one in which technology is applied in healthy, 

appropriate ways and we see a reduction in harm and increase in 

benefit for the biology of the planet.  I hold the picture of a green 

world in which success is measured in the health of people, 

ecosystems, and the amount of laughter heard in communities (rather 

than success being measured in dollars). I would rather not escape 

leaving a burned-out cinder behind because the way I see it, if I am 

part of that future I may very well lose myself in the process.  What 

interests me is that we live in a nation which nearly deifies 

individualism.  I'm all for self-expression that doesn't harm others, 

but I also wonder what role self-restraint plays in growth and human 

development?  There are more materially primitive societies on Earth 

where people seem healthier (Ikaria) and happier to me.  For 19 years 

my professional identity has been that of a technologist, but I'm 

highly skeptical of the notions of science and technology as 

panaceas.  I have often wondered if Bill Mollison's suggestion that we 

simply apply our existing knowledge wouldn't yield better results than 

our current obsession with marching behind more technology and 

convincing ourselves that it represents progress.  What is progress?  

I return to my hope that the new definition of success will include 

biodiversity and a laughter meter in each community, with more 

footpaths and bicycles and fewer automobiles and smog.

 

Lastly, as someone who is well-acquainted with self-doubt...I often 

find myself reading threads in this forum with great interest, yet not 

responding for fear of the reaction; but I think these are important 

questions....and as much questions of individual/collective human 

development as intergalactic travel, and I'm interested to know what 

more of you think about these issues?

 

-Nick

 

----------------------------------------

Nicholas S. Frost

7 Avenida Vista Grande #325

Santa Fe, NM  87508

[hidden email]

----------------------------------------

 

 

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FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv

Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College

lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org