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Re: Election: Why So Close

Posted by Douglas Roberts-2 on Oct 31, 2008; 5:39pm
URL: http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/Election-Why-So-Close-tp1437678p1437878.html

You must have the day off, Steve: *two* missives this morning, with 22 minutes remaining before lunch!

;-}

But I digress:  what you were referring to below, indirectly,  was educational level.  I was talking about intelligence, or rather the abundant lack of it in our population.  A small, but significant distinction.

--Doug

On Fri, Oct 31, 2008 at 11:32 AM, Steve Smith <[hidden email]> wrote:
Doug/Owen -

This one fits my personal experience "pattern" of "Shocked but not Surprised".

In 00, I was not shocked or surprised that the pendulum swung back from the liberals to the conservatives.   It was time, or near time.

 Perhaps if Bill had managed to keep his pecadillios more well-hidden, or if his detractors were not so vicious about them, or if Al had not claimed to invent the Internet, or if Ralph had graciously pulled out of the race after proving that a significant number of voters want some other choice than red or blue, we could have had another 4-8 years of a liberal administration.  I won't even begin to speculate about whether there would have been a (successful) attack on 9/11 or whether such would have lead to war, etc...  I'll save that for the alternate-history novel I'm (not) writing.

The bottom line is that it wasn't that much of a shock or surprise that the self-rightous right could stir up enough self-rightousness in the moral majority to get to the voting booths and vote in their favorite son.   I knew he was the village idiot when he first started running but I thought he would be a lot more harmless than he turned out to be.   I thought (to extend the parabolic reference) that as a village, we could raise that idiot.   What I failed to appreciate (my bad, in spades) was the depth of (e)vileness in his handlers, in the puppet-masters.  

04 *DID* shock (but not so much surprise) me.   I thought that at least 10% of the Right would at least stay home from the polls in shame and at least 2% of the Left who failed to vote in 00 would wake up and smell the urine and vote and the 10% "third party types" would put aside some of their ideals long enough to dump the village idiot out of his cart.   And while I do believe there was some voting misconduct that might have swayed 00 and 04 enough to make the difference, it doesn't (as Owen notes) account for the difference between the vote and my impression of the likely vote.

I grew up among rednecks and in many was still am one myself, so I do have sympathy with many of the points of view that the Red States (the rural western ones anyway) hold.   I feel I have outgrown/transcended a lot of them, but still appreciate how people working with their hands, close to the land (now known as the "extractive industries") could resent the people sitting in a big city at Starbucks sipping triple-mocha, caramel latte's with an umbrella on top their blind comfort and relative wealth.  

It took me most of the 80's and 90's to come to appreciate how *extractive* and *exploitative* virtually all natural resource extraction (mining, lumber, energy, fishing, even agriculture) and packaging (factories) and delivery (commercial transportation, service industries) has been.   Most folks living/working by those industries still can't see it, and the rest of us (knowledge workers, etc.) rarely acknowledge that we *want* someone to bring us all our goodies and we are happy to turn a blind eye to how all that was done, and then smugly resent those who did the work (from latin-american immigrants to the US working poor) to grow the food, mine the ore, cut the trees and those who processed it into what we see (factory/smelter/sawmill/food-processing) workers and those who bring it to us (truckers, etc.) and those who sell/serve it to us (minimum wage slaves with limited education/opportunities). 

So it doesn't surprise me that there are a *lot* of under-educated people with a limited view of their own plight who could be snookered by one faction of the elite into believing their best interests were served by keeping *that* faction of the elite in power.   I've seen another faction of the elite hoodwink approximately the same people with promises of elevation and get elected on that themselves. 

I happen to have a lot more sympathies (today) with the kinder-gentler/more-progressive approach of the Left than with the Right (they have been such dismal losers this past 8 years, amazing anyone can stick with them at all) but I don't think the "battle" is a simple one. 

I for one, look forward to the impending "changing of the guard" and even (especially) want to see the incumbent party spanked silly in the election, but as soon as that is over, I look forward to an equally strong grass-roots movement to hold the incoming party (in the executive) to a truly rightous and progressive set of actions and policies.  I know it is human nature to "take advantage" and that "power corrupts" so I am looking for populist/grassroots checks and balances to the power of our political and  financial and corporate behemoths, not depending on them to keep eachother in check.

I'll be watching TV (or at least Jon Stewart on the Internet) on Tuesday, with breath all abated, hoping for a good spanking for the Republicans.  If it comes out as strong as I hope, I'll drink a little Champagne and start lobbying everyone I know to put down the Champagne and pick up their tools and get to work.  We've got a big hole to dig out of... several really.   I hope we don't expect our new president to magically lift us up out of it without some hard work and maybe more than a little personal sacrifice.

my $.02 (.00001/per word?)
 - Steve
Owen,

Why in the world does this surprise you?  I would like to suggest that the more intelligent of you on this list (we all know who we think we are) consider the concept of "average intelligence".  Cogitate on the following:

  1. The average IQ in the US is around 90.
  2. The distribution has medium fat tails.
  3. Bush was elected into office twice.
--Doug

-
Doug Roberts, RTI International
[hidden email]
[hidden email]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell

On Fri, Oct 31, 2008 at 10:53 AM, Owen Densmore <[hidden email]> wrote:
Just as in the earlier elections with George Bush, I'm astonished at how close the race is, not just who is winning.

When Bush won, it was really hard to believe: he's clearly incapable.  The Dems on the other hand, chose a poor candidate in the 04 race, so that could be part of it.  And he did steal the race, but he could only do so because the separation was so small.

But given the obvious failure of the Bush administration, why in hell is this race so close?  Obama will likely win, but I simply cannot understand why 45% or so really think McCain is better!

Its easy to shrug, and say most people are idiots.  Maybe.  But up close and personal, you find this isn't true.  So what is the "ghost in the works"?

   -- Owen





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