not exactly what I'd call "competent", but good anyway

[gepr]

Gov. Abbott halts elective surgeries in large cities as COVID-19 fills up hospitals
https://www.kxan.com/news/coronavirus/gov-abbott-halts-elective-surgeries-in-large-cities-as-covid-19-fills-up-hospitals/

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[Frank Wimberly-2]

Houston (Harris County) is really getting hammered.  Were there extensive demonstrations there 10-14 days ago?

On Thu, Jun 25, 2020 at 11:52 AM ∄ uǝlƃ <[hidden email]> wrote:

Gov. Abbott halts elective surgeries in large cities as COVID-19 fills up hospitals
https://www.kxan.com/news/coronavirus/gov-abbott-halts-elective-surgeries-in-large-cities-as-covid-19-fills-up-hospitals/

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[gepr]

The increased slope in Harris county starts early May. They announced "reopening" plans in late April. It seems to me to be more related to that than to the protests. While it's true the *spline* MODEL shows something of an inflection point in late May, it's just a model that uses the entire data set. To dig down into particular events like 4/27 or 6/2, you'd have to limit the X axis, I think.

As always do not take the model too seriously. Look at the data.

On 6/25/20 11:48 AM, Frank Wimberly wrote:
> Houston (Harris County) is really getting hammered.  Were there extensive demonstrations there 10-14 days ago?


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[thompnickson2]

I think I see an increase two increases in rate since memorial day.  I am guessing that one is due to memorial day, and the other, perhaps to the demonstrations.

But how the hell are we to know.  We're talking about Texans, here.  (};-)]

Nick

Nicholas Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
Clark University
[hidden email]
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
 


-----Original Message-----
From: Friam <[hidden email]> On Behalf Of ? u?l?
Sent: Thursday, June 25, 2020 1:26 PM
To: FriAM <[hidden email]>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] not exactly what I'd call "competent", but good anyway

The increased slope in Harris county starts early May. They announced "reopening" plans in late April. It seems to me to be more related to that than to the protests. While it's true the *spline* MODEL shows something of an inflection point in late May, it's just a model that uses the entire data set. To dig down into particular events like 4/27 or 6/2, you'd have to limit the X axis, I think.

As always do not take the model too seriously. Look at the data.

On 6/25/20 11:48 AM, Frank Wimberly wrote:
> Houston (Harris County) is really getting hammered.  Were there extensive demonstrations there 10-14 days ago?


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