The covid death rate in the US

[Barry MacKichan]

Yesterday Jim showed a plot of deaths in Italy that indicated the growth rate was, possibly, falling off some. I just redid my US plot updated with yesterday’s data, and it shows the US rate accelerating. The plotted points are definitely curving upward and the doubling time is now 3.0 days. It was 3.5 days when I started this project on Wednesday.

There is an attachment here. I hope it makes it through the list scrubbing.

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[Marcus G. Daniels]

MITRE’s calculation is even more dire

https://www.mitre.org/sites/default/files/publications/COVID-19_MITRE_Action_Paper_March-2020.pdf

On Mar 21, 2020, at 8:36 AM, Barry MacKichan <[hidden email]> wrote:



Yesterday Jim showed a plot of deaths in Italy that indicated the growth rate was, possibly, falling off some. I just redid my US plot updated with yesterday’s data, and it shows the US rate accelerating. The plotted points are definitely curving upward and the doubling time is now 3.0 days. It was 3.5 days when I started this project on Wednesday.

There is an attachment here. I hope it makes it through the list scrubbing.

<2020-03-20 US COVID-19 death growth.pdf>

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives back to 2003: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives back to 2003: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove