To the Covid19 obsessives on the list,
I want to call you attention to the latest installment of the Jim Rutt Show,
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/extra-key-covid-19-decisions-with-john-robb/id1470622572?i=1000472461724
There an idea is introduced that the rest of you are probably familiar with but was a new for me: that our politics has become not a red-blue politics (which would be more ideological and therefore more stable) but a consensus-reaction politics, in which, whatever consensus forms, a vehement counter- reaction forms in response to it. Rutt and his guest seemed to agree on something that I had also sensed: that the nation went into lockdown BEFORE anybody sent it into lockdown, i.e, a consensus emerged that the politicians just tagged along after. (“And then a miracle happened”?)
There is also some interesting talk about the “Swedish experiment”. (Was it here, or on the 538 thingy I sent you yesterday). The idea is that you can “safely” adopt a herd immunity strategy in any nation where the average age is under thirty. Sweden does not qualify. India does. The metaphor* with controlled burn is spookily apt. Here’s the 538 thingy again.
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/model-talk-forecasting-the-toll-of-covid-19/id1077418457?i=1000472325708
I can’t imagine that any of you have the time to sit and listen to these, but I would love to hear comments if you do.
Nick
*Stephen may assert that this is not a metaphor, but they are the very same thing. I LUST to have that argument, but not on this thread.
Nicholas Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
Clark University
[hidden email]
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
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