Roger Critchlow: Applied Complexity Lecture: Feb 11 1:30p

[Stephen Guerin]

FRIAM Group Applied Complexity Seminar

SPEAKER: Roger Critchlow
TITLE: Why Johnny Can't Negotiate
LOCATION: Feb 11 1:30p Santa Fe Institute Medium Conference Room
http://www.santafe.edu/sfi/events/abstract/164

ABSTRACT: Diplomatic and other high stakes negotiations deserve some of
the computational analysis lavished on automated multi-agent systems in
the past few years. A negotiation should be a combinatoric search problem
where negotiators search for the agreement which provides the greatest
benefit to all parties. Positional negotiation strategies reduce a
negotiation to a one-dimensional line search for the least cost
concessions from initial positions. Negotiators, as practitioners of
combinatoric search, should be aware of the computational issues that
apply to search problems, namely the curse of dimensionality, the no free
lunch theorems, and the consequences of bounded rationality. Knowing that
the number of possible agreements in a negotiation might be greater than
the number of seconds in a human life, knowing that there is no guaranteed
better way of searching the possibilities than a random walk, and knowing
that each step in the search will have a finite cost, one might conclude
that we are doomed to failure, that as our disagreements grow in
complexity we are fated to be buried by them.

The key to crafting effective search strategies is to know the lay of the
land. Knowing whether we are searching flatlands, rolling hills, or rugged
badlands makes the difference between success and futility. The topography
of negotiation is determined by the preferences of the negotiators.
Understanding how negotiators determine their preferences in complex
negotiations may allow us to elicit preferences in just enough detail to
find good agreements, to design negotiation strategies which are optimal
for the preferences, and to design implementation mechanisms which are
least likely to be abandoned. And understanding how negotiators do
determine their preferences may also lead us to better ways to determine
preferences, ways which are more efficiently evaluated, more easily
communicated, or more productively exploited to make negotiations work.

[Owen Densmore]

Damn!  Dede and I'll be out of town!  Are we recording it?

Roger: any good reading you could suggest?  This really sounds right on!

Owen

On Feb 2, 2004, at 12:47 PM, Stephen Guerin wrote:

> FRIAM Group Applied Complexity Seminar
>
> SPEAKER: Roger Critchlow
> TITLE: Why Johnny Can't Negotiate
> LOCATION: Feb 11 1:30p Santa Fe Institute Medium Conference Room
> http://www.santafe.edu/sfi/events/abstract/164

Owen Densmore          908 Camino Santander       Santa Fe, NM 87505
[hidden email]    Cell: 505-570-0168         Home: 505-988-3787
AIM:owendensmore   http://complexityworkshop.com  http://backspaces.net

[Roger Critchlow-2]

Owen --

  Sorry, I haven't got a reading list.  There will be a paper eventually,
but the references will be sort of around the topic rather than directly
on it.

  So, an indication of the internet's sclerosis: Owen got the announcement,
replied to it, I've received his reply, replied to it, but I haven't seen
the original announcement yet.  I just pawed through the 5000 deleted
messages
of the past week to be sure that I hadn't deleted it by accident along with
the 39 pieces of virii and spam that arrived with Owen's message.  Owen gets
good service because his e-mail services are colocated with redfish.com, but
that still doesn't wholly explain how his reply to the announcement managed
to overtake the announcement itself.

-- rec --

Owen Densmore wrote:

> Damn!  Dede and I'll be out of town!  Are we recording it?
>
> Roger: any good reading you could suggest?  This really sounds right on!
>
> Owen
>
> On Feb 2, 2004, at 12:47 PM, Stephen Guerin wrote:
>
>> FRIAM Group Applied Complexity Seminar
>>
>> SPEAKER: Roger Critchlow
>> TITLE: Why Johnny Can't Negotiate
>> LOCATION: Feb 11 1:30p Santa Fe Institute Medium Conference Room
>> http://www.santafe.edu/sfi/events/abstract/164
>
>
> Owen Densmore          908 Camino Santander       Santa Fe, NM 87505
> [hidden email]    Cell: 505-570-0168         Home: 505-988-3787
> AIM:owendensmore   http://complexityworkshop.com  http://backspaces.net
>
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9AM @ Jane's Cafe
> Lecture schedule, archives, unsubscribe, etc.:
> http://www.friam.org
>

[Frank Wimberly]

"Sclerosis" is a good word for it.  I sent an explanation for why I would
send an annoucement of a seminar in Pittsburgh and I haven't received it
yet.  By the time people receive it they won't know what I'm talking about.

Of course they might have received the explanation before they got the
annoucement.

Frank
----- Original Message -----
From: "Roger E Critchlow Jr" <[hidden email]>
To: "The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group" <[hidden email]>
Sent: Monday, February 02, 2004 10:10 PM
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Roger Critchlow: Applied Complexity Lecture: Feb 11
1:30p


> Owen --
>
>   Sorry, I haven't got a reading list.  There will be a paper eventually,
> but the references will be sort of around the topic rather than directly
> on it.
>
>   So, an indication of the internet's sclerosis: Owen got the
announcement,
> replied to it, I've received his reply, replied to it, but I haven't seen
> the original announcement yet.  I just pawed through the 5000 deleted
> messages
> of the past week to be sure that I hadn't deleted it by accident along
with
> the 39 pieces of virii and spam that arrived with Owen's message.  Owen
gets
> good service because his e-mail services are colocated with redfish.com,
but
> that still doesn't wholly explain how his reply to the announcement
managed

> to overtake the announcement itself.
>
> -- rec --
>
> Owen Densmore wrote:
>
> > Damn!  Dede and I'll be out of town!  Are we recording it?
> >
> > Roger: any good reading you could suggest?  This really sounds right on!
> >
> > Owen
> >
> > On Feb 2, 2004, at 12:47 PM, Stephen Guerin wrote:
> >
> >> FRIAM Group Applied Complexity Seminar
> >>
> >> SPEAKER: Roger Critchlow
> >> TITLE: Why Johnny Can't Negotiate
> >> LOCATION: Feb 11 1:30p Santa Fe Institute Medium Conference Room
> >> http://www.santafe.edu/sfi/events/abstract/164
> >
> >
> > Owen Densmore          908 Camino Santander       Santa Fe, NM 87505
> > [hidden email]    Cell: 505-570-0168         Home: 505-988-3787
> > AIM:owendensmore   http://complexityworkshop.com  http://backspaces.net
> >
> >
> > ============================================================
> > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> > Meets Fridays 9AM @ Jane's Cafe
> > Lecture schedule, archives, unsubscribe, etc.:
> > http://www.friam.org
> >
>
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9AM @ Jane's Cafe
> Lecture schedule, archives, unsubscribe, etc.:
> http://www.friam.org

[Dede Densmore-2]

i never received the original announcement either. i only heard about
it from owen. of course, i'm going to be out of town too...
On Feb 2, 2004, at 8:10 PM, Roger E Critchlow Jr wrote:

> Owen --
>
>  Sorry, I haven't got a reading list.  There will be a paper
> eventually,
> but the references will be sort of around the topic rather than
> directly
> on it.
>
>  So, an indication of the internet's sclerosis: Owen got the
> announcement,
> replied to it, I've received his reply, replied to it, but I haven't
> seen
> the original announcement yet.  I just pawed through the 5000 deleted
> messages
> of the past week to be sure that I hadn't deleted it by accident along
> with
> the 39 pieces of virii and spam that arrived with Owen's message.  
> Owen gets
> good service because his e-mail services are colocated with
> redfish.com, but
> that still doesn't wholly explain how his reply to the announcement
> managed
> to overtake the announcement itself.
>
> -- rec --
>
> Owen Densmore wrote:
>
>> Damn!  Dede and I'll be out of town!  Are we recording it?
>>
>> Roger: any good reading you could suggest?  This really sounds right
>> on!
>>
>> Owen
>>
>> On Feb 2, 2004, at 12:47 PM, Stephen Guerin wrote:
>>
>>> FRIAM Group Applied Complexity Seminar
>>>
>>> SPEAKER: Roger Critchlow
>>> TITLE: Why Johnny Can't Negotiate
>>> LOCATION: Feb 11 1:30p Santa Fe Institute Medium Conference Room
>>> http://www.santafe.edu/sfi/events/abstract/164
>>
>>
>> Owen Densmore          908 Camino Santander       Santa Fe, NM 87505
>> [hidden email]    Cell: 505-570-0168         Home: 505-988-3787
>> AIM:owendensmore   http://complexityworkshop.com 
>> http://backspaces.net
>>
>>
>> ============================================================
>> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
>> Meets Fridays 9AM @ Jane's Cafe
>> Lecture schedule, archives, unsubscribe, etc.:
>> http://www.friam.org
>>
>
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9AM @ Jane's Cafe
> Lecture schedule, archives, unsubscribe, etc.:
> http://www.friam.org
>

[Stephen Guerin]

Dede wrote
> i never received the original announcement either. i only heard about
> it from owen. of course, i'm going to be out of town too...

The original announcement made it to the archives:
http://www.redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/2004-February/001061.html

Is it possible that the email is getting caught up in spam filters? Can
you look through your suspected spam folders?

Roger suggests looking at the sendmail log. I suspect I don't have access
to this on a virtual host, but I'll give it a go...

-Steve

--
http://www.redfish.com    [hidden email]
624 Agua Fria Street      office: [phone]
Santa Fe, NM 87501        mobile: [phone]

[Gary Schiltz-3]

I received the original announcement, but then I have the FRIAM group address
explicitly in the "allow" list of my spam filter.

// Gary

---------- Original Message -----------
From: "Stephen Guerin" <[hidden email]>
To: [hidden email]
Sent: Tue, 3 Feb 2004 18:54:40 -0500 (EST)
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Roger Critchlow: Applied Complexity Lecture: Feb 11     1:30p

> Dede wrote
> > i never received the original announcement either. i only heard about
> > it from owen. of course, i'm going to be out of town too...
>
> The original announcement made it to the archives:
> http://www.redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/2004-February/001061.html
>
> Is it possible that the email is getting caught up in spam filters? Can
> you look through your suspected spam folders?
>
> Roger suggests looking at the sendmail log. I suspect I don't have access
> to this on a virtual host, but I'll give it a go...
>
> -Steve
>
> --
> http://www.redfish.com    [hidden email]
> 624 Agua Fria Street      office: [phone]
> Santa Fe, NM 87501        mobile: [phone]
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9AM @ Jane's Cafe
> Lecture schedule, archives, unsubscribe, etc.:
> http://www.friam.org

------- End of Original Message -------

[Joe Spinden]

I got the original.



-----Original Message-----
From: [hidden email] [mailto:[hidden email]] On Behalf
Of Stephen Guerin
Sent: Tuesday, February 03, 2004 4:55 PM
To: [hidden email]
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Roger Critchlow: Applied Complexity Lecture: Feb 11
1:30p

Dede wrote
> i never received the original announcement either. i only heard about
> it from owen. of course, i'm going to be out of town too...

The original announcement made it to the archives:
http://www.redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/2004-February/001061.html

Is it possible that the email is getting caught up in spam filters? Can
you look through your suspected spam folders?

Roger suggests looking at the sendmail log. I suspect I don't have access
to this on a virtual host, but I'll give it a go...

-Steve

--
http://www.redfish.com    [hidden email]
624 Agua Fria Street      office: [phone]
Santa Fe, NM 87501        mobile: [phone]



============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9AM @ Jane's Cafe
Lecture schedule, archives, unsubscribe, etc.:
http://www.friam.org