Real Time Organizational Modeling

[Paul Paryski]

The major concern in organizational real time monitoring is choosing the  
correct and most useful indicators.  At UNDP for whom I worked for years we  
constantly monitored both organizations and projects.sometimes with models,  
sometimes without.  The choice of indicators clearly skews the results and  future
decisions and developments.
 
Actually systems biologists do use models to study natural systems whether  
it be species, evolution of species or ecosystems.  I seem to recall a  
computer model programme called SAS (?) that was used to model evolution of  species.
 That was in the late 1980s.  It was very cumbersome and  slow.
 
I am particularly interested in models applied to politics and how to  
achieve progressive change and adaptive management strategies.  Has anyone  used
these kind of models?
 
Paul Paryski
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[Michael Agar]

Paul--Came across this a while back, http://
www.complexityandpolicy.org/projectdescp.htm, and there's a DC  
complexity/policy center at http://www.complexsys.org/. When I still  
lived in Bushville  I remember finding all sorts of things scattered  
on the web in various corners of govt. Might be good to check the  
Brookings web page. The ABM modeling of drug epidemics under the NIH  
grant that ended a couple of years back lead to some policy  
suggestions, if you're interested in that as an example. Article in  
JASSS can be accessed through the web page as can an Agents04  
presentation with Steve and Robert that showed how analysis of  
parameters suggested a shift from epidemiology to consumer marketing.

I'm heading to a UN event next week to talk complexity. Maybe we can  
discuss it at FRIAM this Friday?

Mike Agar
www.ethknoworks.com





On Jan 23, 2007, at 8:34 AM, PPARYSKI at aol.com wrote:

> The major concern in organizational real time monitoring is  
> choosing the correct and most useful indicators.  At UNDP for whom  
> I worked for years we constantly monitored both organizations and  
> projects.sometimes with models, sometimes without.  The choice of  
> indicators clearly skews the results and future decisions and  
> developments.
>
> Actually systems biologists do use models to study natural systems  
> whether it be species, evolution of species or ecosystems.  I seem  
> to recall a computer model programme called SAS (?) that was used  
> to model evolution of species.  That was in the late 1980s.  It was  
> very cumbersome and slow.
>
> I am particularly interested in models applied to politics and how  
> to achieve progressive change and adaptive management strategies.  
> Has anyone used these kind of models?
>
> Paul Paryski
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

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[Phil Henshaw-2]

Paul, would your data be available for me to comb for the kinds of
leading questions my method generates?
 
 

Phil Henshaw                       ????.?? ? `?.????
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-----Original Message-----
From: [hidden email] [mailto:[hidden email]] On
Behalf Of PPARYSKI at aol.com
Sent: Tuesday, January 23, 2007 10:35 AM
To: friam at redfish.com
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Real Time Organizational Modeling



The major concern in organizational real time monitoring is choosing the
correct and most useful indicators.  At UNDP for whom I worked for years
we constantly monitored both organizations and projects.sometimes with
models, sometimes without.  The choice of indicators clearly skews the
results and future decisions and developments.
 
Actually systems biologists do use models to study natural systems
whether it be species, evolution of species or ecosystems.  I seem to
recall a computer model programme called SAS (?) that was used to model
evolution of species.  That was in the late 1980s.  It was very
cumbersome and slow.
 
I am particularly interested in models applied to politics and how to
achieve progressive change and adaptive management strategies.  Has
anyone used these kind of models?
 
Paul Paryski

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