Public Health Gating Criteria for Reopening New Mexico | NMDOH - CV Modeling

classic Classic list List threaded Threaded
3 messages Options
Reply | Threaded
Open this post in threaded view
|

Public Health Gating Criteria for Reopening New Mexico | NMDOH - CV Modeling

thompnickson2

https://cvmodeling.nmhealth.org/public-health-gating-criteria-for-reopening-nm/

Can anybody explain how it could be that the reproductive rate of the virus in NM has fallen to 1.07 from 1.29 in the last two weeks, as the daily case rate has almost doubled and the positive test rate is just below it’s highest level (10.0%) at 9.1%. 

Inquiring readers want to know.

Nick


- .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. .
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6  bit.ly/virtualfriam
un/subscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ 
Reply | Threaded
Open this post in threaded view
|

Re: Public Health Gating Criteria for Reopening New Mexico | NMDOH - CV Modeling

Steve Smith

I don't know the answer to your question, but here is some time-series estimates for Ro in NM.    We have been above 1.0 for over 2 months.

https://cvmodeling.nmhealth.org/public-health-gating-criteria-for-reopening-nm/

Can anybody explain how it could be that the reproductive rate of the virus in NM has fallen to 1.07 from 1.29 in the last two weeks, as the daily case rate has almost doubled and the positive test rate is just below it’s highest level (10.0%) at 9.1%. 

Inquiring readers want to know.

Nick


- .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. .
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6  bit.ly/virtualfriam
un/subscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ 

- .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. .
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6  bit.ly/virtualfriam
un/subscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ 
Reply | Threaded
Open this post in threaded view
|

Re: Public Health Gating Criteria for Reopening New Mexico | NMDOH - CV Modeling

Steve Smith

Doh!

https://rt.live/us/NM

I don't know the answer to your question, but here is some time-series estimates for Ro in NM.    We have been above 1.0 for over 2 months.

https://cvmodeling.nmhealth.org/public-health-gating-criteria-for-reopening-nm/

Can anybody explain how it could be that the reproductive rate of the virus in NM has fallen to 1.07 from 1.29 in the last two weeks, as the daily case rate has almost doubled and the positive test rate is just below it’s highest level (10.0%) at 9.1%. 

Inquiring readers want to know.

Nick


- .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. .
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6  bit.ly/virtualfriam
un/subscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ 

- .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. .
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6  bit.ly/virtualfriam
un/subscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ 

- .... . -..-. . -. -.. -..-. .. ... -..-. .... . .-. .
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6  bit.ly/virtualfriam
un/subscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/
FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/