NYT shows King going negative

[gepr]

It's interesting that the NYT data shows King going negative (-36 cases) yesterday, but JHU doesn't. The slight uptick in DeKalb I mentioned on Friday seems to have washed out a bit.

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[Marcus G. Daniels]

Is some question that there is still a seed to restart everything?    It seems to me these trends are all subject to change as soon as distancing is relaxed.  

On 5/5/20, 8:16 AM, "Friam on behalf of uǝlƃ ☣" <[hidden email] on behalf of [hidden email]> wrote:

    It's interesting that the NYT data shows King going negative (-36 cases) yesterday, but JHU doesn't. The slight uptick in DeKalb I mentioned on Friday seems to have washed out a bit.
   
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[gepr]

I have no such doubt. I'm just making a lazy attempt to track the effects of reopening on the number of cases. I only posted this one to caution anyone who might tend to rely on any single data source.

DeKalb (hosting Atlanta) and King (hosting Seattle) are a good contrast due to their density and being governed by very different reopening rule sets. And Denver's interesting mostly for personal reasons, but because Colorado is part of the Western states alliance and has yet to flatten their curve.

On 5/5/20 8:29 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
> Is some question that there is still a seed to restart everything?    It seems to me these trends are all subject to change as soon as distancing is relaxed.  

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[thompnickson2]

Marcus, Glen, 'n all,

Of course there are plenty of seeds out there.  Until the White Vans are deployed, EVERY relaxation will the accompanied by an uptick.  How could it be otherwise?  Do you remember back in the early days of March when the strategy was to "flatten the curve" and "slow the spread"?  That was a strategy to prevent the overwhelming of the health system, NOT a strategy to protect vulnerable people in the long run.  We DID move the goal posts.  And now they are moving back.  It looks like the current strategy is to make the social security system solvent.  

Nick

Nicholas Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
Clark University
[hidden email]
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
 


-----Original Message-----
From: Friam <[hidden email]> On Behalf Of Marcus Daniels
Sent: Tuesday, May 5, 2020 9:30 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] NYT shows King going negative

Is some question that there is still a seed to restart everything?    It seems to me these trends are all subject to change as soon as distancing is relaxed.  

On 5/5/20, 8:16 AM, "Friam on behalf of uǝlƃ ☣" <[hidden email] on behalf of [hidden email]> wrote:

    It's interesting that the NYT data shows King going negative (-36 cases) yesterday, but JHU doesn't. The slight uptick in DeKalb I mentioned on Friday seems to have washed out a bit.
   
    --
    ☣ uǝlƃ
   

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[Marcus G. Daniels]

Nick writes:

"And now they are moving back.  It looks like the current strategy is to make the social security system solvent."  

If they were even that competent, which they are not.

Marcus


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