H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

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H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Douglas Roberts-2
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&t=p&msa=0&msid=106484775090296685271.0004681a37b713f6b5950&source=embed&ll=17.14079,-45.175781&spn=114.994624,178.59375&z=3

--
Doug Roberts
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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Alfredo Covaleda-2
Hi

Actually, the Virus is not confirmed in Colombia yet  (Apr 26 - afternoon). There are 9 patients in Bogotá and 3 in Cartagena under examination. Authorities say patients are not seriously ill. Samples taken to them will be sent to Atlanta (USA) to identified what really it is.

Take care

Alfredo

2009/4/26 Douglas Roberts <[hidden email]>
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&t=p&msa=0&msid=106484775090296685271.0004681a37b713f6b5950&source=embed&ll=17.14079,-45.175781&spn=114.994624,178.59375&z=3

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Doug Roberts
[hidden email]
[hidden email]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell

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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Pamela McCorduck
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
Whoa! That's pretty telling.

What are you expecting? Should I stash food and water?



On Apr 26, 2009, at 6:23 PM, Douglas Roberts wrote:

http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&t=p&msa=0&msid=106484775090296685271.0004681a37b713f6b5950&source=embed&ll=17.14079,-45.175781&spn=114.994624,178.59375&z=3

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Doug Roberts
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[hidden email]
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"The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable."


John Kenneth Galbraith



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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Douglas Roberts-2
I participated on a study last year on the impacts of an H5N1 (avian flu) pandemic.  The basic result of the study was that in the event of a full-blown pandemic,

You're On You Own!

YMMV.  Offer void where prohibited by law.  Etc.

On Sun, Apr 26, 2009 at 7:02 PM, Pamela McCorduck <[hidden email]> wrote:
Whoa! That's pretty telling.

What are you expecting? Should I stash food and water?



On Apr 26, 2009, at 6:23 PM, Douglas Roberts wrote:

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"The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable."


John Kenneth Galbraith



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--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]
[hidden email]
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505-670-8195 - Cell

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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Douglas Roberts-2
Um, "your" own..

On Sun, Apr 26, 2009 at 7:07 PM, Douglas Roberts <[hidden email]> wrote:
I participated on a study last year on the impacts of an H5N1 (avian flu) pandemic.  The basic result of the study was that in the event of a full-blown pandemic,

You're On You Own!

YMMV.  Offer void where prohibited by law.  Etc.


On Sun, Apr 26, 2009 at 7:02 PM, Pamela McCorduck <[hidden email]> wrote:
Whoa! That's pretty telling.

What are you expecting? Should I stash food and water?



On Apr 26, 2009, at 6:23 PM, Douglas Roberts wrote:

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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"The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable."


John Kenneth Galbraith



============================================================
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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org



--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]
[hidden email]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell



--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]
[hidden email]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell

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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Alfredo Covaleda-2
In reply to this post by Pamela McCorduck
Hola

In the case of Mexico where virus seems to be fairly spread (more than 82 deaths), authorities are making some recommendations. Avoid to stay in places of massive presence of people, avoid to touch the face with the hands, don't kiss, wash the hands frequently, don't speak so close, use a mask; go quickly to the Doctor if present symptoms like fever and headache during more than one day. And if somebody is ill, must avoid to spread the disease by isolating.

I hope that with a lot of common sense, which normally is no so common, maybe the impact can be reduced. I guess.

Alfredo


2009/4/26 Pamela McCorduck <[hidden email]>
Whoa! That's pretty telling.

What are you expecting? Should I stash food and water?



On Apr 26, 2009, at 6:23 PM, Douglas Roberts wrote:

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"The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable."


John Kenneth Galbraith



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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Steve Smith
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
Douglas Roberts wrote:
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&t=p&msa=0&msid=106484775090296685271.0004681a37b713f6b5950&source=embed&ll=17.14079,-45.175781&spn=114.994624,178.59375&z=3

--
and another maintained by "Crowd Sourcing"
http://tinyurl.com/swinemap #swineflu



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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Tom Johnson
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
Has anyone calculated the size of the virus and the size of the holes in those face masks everyone seems to be wearing in MEX?  I suspect those are more of a psychological balm than a true prophylactic.
 
-tj

On Sun, Apr 26, 2009 at 5:23 PM, Douglas Roberts <[hidden email]> wrote:
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&t=p&msa=0&msid=106484775090296685271.0004681a37b713f6b5950&source=embed&ll=17.14079,-45.175781&spn=114.994624,178.59375&z=3

--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]
[hidden email]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell

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--
==========================================
J. T. Johnson
Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA
www.analyticjournalism.com
505.577.6482(c)                                    505.473.9646(h)
http://www.jtjohnson.com                 [hidden email]

"You never change things by fighting the existing reality.
To change something, build a new model that makes the
existing model obsolete."
-- Buckminster Fuller
==========================================

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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Douglas Roberts-2
It's the water droplets from people sneezing and coughing around you that the masks are supposed to stop.  The virus does not migrate in air by itself.

--Doug

On Mon, Apr 27, 2009 at 9:12 AM, Tom Johnson <[hidden email]> wrote:
Has anyone calculated the size of the virus and the size of the holes in those face masks everyone seems to be wearing in MEX?  I suspect those are more of a psychological balm than a true prophylactic.
 
-tj

On Sun, Apr 26, 2009 at 5:23 PM, Douglas Roberts <[hidden email]> wrote:
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--
==========================================
J. T. Johnson
Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA
www.analyticjournalism.com
505.577.6482(c)                                    505.473.9646(h)
http://www.jtjohnson.com                 [hidden email]

"You never change things by fighting the existing reality.
To change something, build a new model that makes the
existing model obsolete."
-- Buckminster Fuller
==========================================

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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Nick Thompson
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
Tom,
 
I think the idea is that the virus needs droplets of water to get around in and they dont come in smaller sizes.
 
N
 
Nicholas S. Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Ethology,
Clark University ([hidden email])
 
 
 
 
----- Original Message -----
Sent: 4/27/2009 9:14:38 AM
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Has anyone calculated the size of the virus and the size of the holes in those face masks everyone seems to be wearing in MEX?  I suspect those are more of a psychological balm than a true prophylactic.
 
-tj

On Sun, Apr 26, 2009 at 5:23 PM, Douglas Roberts <[hidden email]> wrote:
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&t=p&msa=0&msid=106484775090296685271.0004681a37b713f6b5950&source=embed&ll=17.14079,-45.175781&spn=114.994624,178.59375&z=3

--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]
[hidden email]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org



--
==========================================
J. T. Johnson
Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA
www.analyticjournalism.com
505.577.6482(c)                                    505.473.9646(h)
http://www.jtjohnson.com                 [hidden email]

"You never change things by fighting the existing reality.
To change something, build a new model that makes the
existing model obsolete."
-- Buckminster Fuller
==========================================

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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Jochen Fromm-4
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
http://xkcd.com/574/

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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Alfredo Covaleda-2
Hola

Is somebody following the trend of the number of deaths in Mexico. It seems that during the last days this number is (at least) folding each day. Yesterday late, deaths totalized 82 and in this moment (less than 16 hours after) there are 143. ¿How many can we expect for tomorrow? (what an horrible question).

In Mexico people is asking why are patientes dying in Mexico and not in USA. Are because of differences in their Nutritional state? Maybe ther are other reasons.

Alfredo CV

2009/4/27 Jochen Fromm <[hidden email]>
http://xkcd.com/574/


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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Nick Thompson
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2

We've been around on this Swine Flu thing before:  How many of you remember:

"Swine flu!"

"You're velcome"

And for some reason THAT reminds me of:

"I'll have a pound of kiddlies, please"

"Do you mean kidneys?"

"Diddle I say so?"

Ok  I will stop now.

Nick



Nicholas S. Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Ethology,
Clark University ([hidden email])
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/




> [Original Message]
> From: Jochen Fromm <[hidden email]>
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[hidden email]>
> Date: 4/27/2009 5:11:53 PM
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] H1N1 Swine Google Mashup
>
> http://xkcd.com/574/
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org



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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Stephen Thompson
In reply to this post by Alfredo Covaleda-2
I wondered about that question too.   Is it possible that 6 decades of
vaccinations
and other health "infrastructure" in the USA generally prevents random
incursions
of disease?

I know viruses are different from bacterial infections.  An analogy may
be the
condition of two neighbor's lawns.  One has had no or minimal "weed"
treatment
while the other has had regular consistent weed treatment.  The latter
lawn is thicker
healthier and there are less places for weeds, etc to take hold.

Does that analogy apply to the US health infrastructure?

Steph T


Alfredo Covaleda wrote:

> Hola
>
> Is somebody following the trend of the number of deaths in Mexico. It
> seems that during the last days this number is (at least) folding each
> day. Yesterday late, deaths totalized 82 and in this moment (less than
> 16 hours after) there are 143. ¿How many can we expect for tomorrow?
> (what an horrible question).
>
> In Mexico people is asking why are patientes dying in Mexico and not
> in USA. Are because of differences in their Nutritional state? Maybe
> ther are other reasons.
>
> Alfredo CV
>
> 2009/4/27 Jochen Fromm <[hidden email] <mailto:[hidden email]>>
>
>     http://xkcd.com/574/
>
>
>     ============================================================
>     FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
>     Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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>
>
> ------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Stephen Wendel
In reply to this post by Douglas Roberts-2
Hi FRIAMers,

The new strain of swine flu is obviously very serious, and it seems wise
to both become informed and take intelligent precautions now.  
Thankfully, the US has put years of effort into preparing for pandemic
flu and is taking swine flu seriously.  That said, I'd be a little
skeptical of the more sensational reports we see on the net:

Critiques about Niman's earlier 'alerts' for Avian flu:
http://www.drmartinwilliams.com/h5n1-poultry-flu-and-migratory-birds/henry-niman-prophet-of-doom-for-the-internet.html 


His website:
http://www.recombinomics.com/whats_new.html


-Steve Wendel


Douglas Roberts wrote:

> http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&t=p&msa=0&msid=106484775090296685271.0004681a37b713f6b5950&source=embed&ll=17.14079,-45.175781&spn=114.994624,178.59375&z=3 
> <http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&t=p&msa=0&msid=106484775090296685271.0004681a37b713f6b5950&source=embed&ll=17.14079,-45.175781&spn=114.994624,178.59375&z=3>
>
> --
> Doug Roberts
> [hidden email] <mailto:[hidden email]>
> [hidden email] <mailto:[hidden email]>
> 505-455-7333 - Office
> 505-670-8195 - Cell
> ------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


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Re: H1N1 Swine Google Mashup

Douglas Roberts-2
Other people have noted Niman's sensationalist tendencies as well.  There are other data source besides his:

Here's another google map:  http://maps.google.co.uk/maps/ms?hl=en&ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid=109496610648025582911.0004686892fbefe515012&ll=26.115986,-9.140625&spn=144.408712,283.007813&t=p&z=2

And here's good old Wikipedia:  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_H1N1_flu_outbreak

--Doug


On Tue, Apr 28, 2009 at 7:37 AM, Stephen Wendel <[hidden email]> wrote:
Hi FRIAMers,

The new strain of swine flu is obviously very serious, and it seems wise to both become informed and take intelligent precautions now.   Thankfully, the US has put years of effort into preparing for pandemic flu and is taking swine flu seriously.  That said, I'd be a little skeptical of the more sensational reports we see on the net:

Critiques about Niman's earlier 'alerts' for Avian flu: http://www.drmartinwilliams.com/h5n1-poultry-flu-and-migratory-birds/henry-niman-prophet-of-doom-for-the-internet.html

His website:
http://www.recombinomics.com/whats_new.html


-Steve Wendel


Douglas Roberts wrote:
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&t=p&msa=0&msid=106484775090296685271.0004681a37b713f6b5950&source=embed&ll=17.14079,-45.175781&spn=114.994624,178.59375&z=3 <http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&t=p&msa=0&msid=106484775090296685271.0004681a37b713f6b5950&source=embed&ll=17.14079,-45.175781&spn=114.994624,178.59375&z=3>

--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email] <mailto:[hidden email]>
[hidden email] <mailto:[hidden email]>

505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell
------------------------------------------------------------------------


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--
Doug Roberts
[hidden email]
[hidden email]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell

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