I certainly understand and agree with Carl's concerns as expressed in the
article he included in his email. The use by the Pentagon of modeling and IT programs for present and future urban battles is rather scary. This is a moral question; should complexity/chaos/ABM expert lend their knowledge and skills to promote such warfare? I think not. The UN currently does confront serious peacekeeping issues in such poor mega-urban areas such as Port-au-Prince, Haiti and in other failed states where its peacekeeping troops are involved. However, this is morally different than a world power using IT & applied complexity to consolidate its hegemony or extend its empire. Each expert must make a moral choice on this issue and it might be useful to develop consensus based guidelines on this issue (without any evident or smelly flatulence!). As climate change and global warming create urban migration, these problems will become more pressing than ever. cheers Paul ************************************** Get a sneak peek of the all-new AOL at http://discover.aol.com/memed/aolcom30tour -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: http://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/attachments/20070809/ce49a279/attachment.html |
PPARYSKI at aol.com wrote:
> The UN currently does confront serious peacekeeping issues in such > poor mega-urban areas such as Port-au-Prince, Haiti and in other > failed states where its peacekeeping troops are involved. However, > this is morally different than a world power using IT & applied > complexity to consolidate its hegemony or extend its empire. Yeah, some can't bear to call their efforts the consolidation of hegemony, so they call it peacekeeping. Different strokes for different folks.. |
In reply to this post by Paul Paryski
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Hash: SHA1 PPARYSKI at aol.com wrote: > consolidate its hegemony or extend its empire. Each expert must make a > moral choice on this issue and it might be useful to develop consensus > based guidelines on this issue (without any evident or smelly > flatulence!). As climate change and global warming create urban > migration, these problems will become more pressing than ever. I think it's important to avoid consensus on moral issues like this. It's important to maintain a diversity of moral choices and resulting actions. Any consensus, including seemingly innocuous ones, will allow the individual moral decision-maker to become lazy and avoid thinking for themselves. If a set of tools really are considered neutral (to be used by good or evil), then the experts in the application of the tools will also be neutral. And one can make a good argument that experts in neutral tools _should_ be, themselves, neutral, lest they lose their expertise. My only guideline would be: Leave morality to the priests and do your job. Before anyone accuses me of abdicating my moral responsibility, I can say that I'm not an expert in everything! (or anything [grin]) So, for those neutral domains in which I claim expertise, I am neutral. But, in those domains where I claim no expertise, I make moral choices all the time. And, of course, in non-neutral domains where I claim expertise, I make every attempt to adhere to the good- or evil-ness of the particular domain. And before anyone points out that the above seems turned on its head (where one can only make moral choices in domains of which they're ignorant), I have to say that _morality_ is a heuristic method in itself. The only reason we have words like "good" and "evil" is because we need some big, vague catch-all so we can talk about things in spite of our ignorance, much the same way emotions are a culmination of physiological processes. If we had access to perfect information, there'd be no need for morality. Hence, experts, by definition, are neutral (or as close to neutral as any finite being can be). - -- glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846, http://tempusdictum.com The United States is a nation of laws: badly written and randomly enforced. -- Frank Zappa -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE----- Version: GnuPG v1.4.6 (GNU/Linux) Comment: Using GnuPG with Mozilla - http://enigmail.mozdev.org iD8DBQFGu66EZeB+vOTnLkoRAmeyAKC4MuCd9HE/H3WCdqFqmOiTlsRlAQCghKiW v3r5E+jK+6nVDSTej+gmVVQ= =KscB -----END PGP SIGNATURE----- |
Glen E. P. Ropella wrote:
> If we had access to perfect information, there'd be no need for morality. Why? Having perfect information says nothing about the distribution of power. |
In reply to this post by Paul Paryski
I've been getting enough mail on my comment that I feel I should clarify
the meaning: Scenario planning has been around for quite awhile, the military/government uses of it are but a small fraction of its overall use, it is *not* so far as I can tell a sales tool for new weapons systems, it is simply a way of putting together coherent and contrasting stories about possible futures in the absence of available broad prediction capabilities. It is not about choosing a 'best' scenario, but in understanding what policy choices alternative scenarios may present. As such, to increase the contrast, alternative scenarios may look extreme or fantastic to the outsider. The motivation for my comment on the articles was that I felt the authors of the articles had misunderstood both the method and its application. I have no problem with the method's employment in any domain, so long as it is applicable and done well. That said, please don't consider me an advocate; it's just another available tool (which does not have any necessary IT or applied complexity component, though now that you got me to think about it....). Carl PPARYSKI at aol.com wrote: > I certainly understand and agree with Carl's concerns as expressed in > the article he included in his email. The use by the Pentagon of > modeling and IT programs for present and future urban battles is > rather scary. This is a moral question; should complexity/chaos/ABM > expert lend their knowledge and skills to promote such warfare? I > think not. > > The UN currently does confront serious peacekeeping issues in such > poor mega-urban areas such as Port-au-Prince, Haiti and in other > failed states where its peacekeeping troops are involved. However, > this is morally different than a world power using IT & applied > complexity to consolidate its hegemony or extend its empire. Each > expert must make a moral choice on this issue and it might be useful > to develop consensus based guidelines on this issue (without any > evident or smelly flatulence!). As climate change and global warming > create urban migration, these problems will become more pressing than > ever. > > cheers Paul > > > > > > Get a sneak peek of the all-new AOL.com > <http://discover.aol.com/memed/aolcom30tour/?ncid=AOLAOF00020000000982>. > ------------------------------------------------------------------------ > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org |
In reply to this post by Marcus G. Daniels
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Hash: SHA1 Marcus G. Daniels wrote: > Glen E. P. Ropella wrote: >> If we had access to perfect information, there'd be no need for morality. > > Why? Having perfect information says nothing about the distribution of > power. I'll explain my rhetoric; but I'll trust that you realize I can't really _ground_ my rhetoric in data. I do believe there are valid scientific experiments that could arise from the rhetoric, though. My claim is that things like emotions, perceptions of "good", perceptions of "pornography" (can't define it but I know it when I see it), etc. are actually a culmination of physiological processes rather than ontologically extant things out the world. I.e. there is no such thing as "good behavior", "love", "trepidation", "pornography", etc. out there in reality. These are all just figments of human imagination. If we could correlate states of the body (including but not limited to the brain) with the body's environmental context, then we would see that things like "goodness" are dynamic attractors within the body that represent a kind of sensor fusion. They're merely high-level roll-ups of data we've taken from our environment. Morality is the individual's organization of, grammar for, and use of such high-level culminations. When such organizations, grammars, and usage patterns are communicable to many people and are actually communicated (i.e. some form of collective morality obtains), the individuals who are successful at manipulating the morality have the opportunity to take some measure of power over that collective. For example, a televangelist manipulates the morality of Christianity to acquire and hoard money. That's where power enters the picture. However, if all humans had access to perfect information, such a collective morality could not obtain because each individual could actually perceive reality as it is ... _without_ the culminated rules of thumb that are necessary for the ignorant to navigate an uncertain reality. Stated directly, because we only have imperfect information, we have to resort to heuristics to navigate the world. Such heuristics make us vulnerable to opportunists who happen to be more facile with manipulating such heuristics. If we could perceive the world as it actually is (i.e. had access to perfect info), we would not be vulnerable in this way. - -- glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846, http://tempusdictum.com There is a tragic flaw in our precious Constitution, and I don't know what can be done to fix it. This is it: Only nut cases want to be president. -- Kurt Vonnegut -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE----- Version: GnuPG v1.4.6 (GNU/Linux) Comment: Using GnuPG with Mozilla - http://enigmail.mozdev.org iD8DBQFGvHB5ZeB+vOTnLkoRAkDEAKCU2YbjylyBxEB3oxkUADL1yzBw3ACgitEG eoURig9fs5ctYGs/x9o5c6c= =Do6c -----END PGP SIGNATURE----- |
Or reaity...! No?
Sent from my Verizon Wireless BlackBerry -----Original Message----- From: "Glen E. P. Ropella" <[hidden email]> Date: Fri, 10 Aug 2007 07:04:41 To:The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam at redfish.com> Subject: [FRIAM] perfect info (was Global Slum: ...) -----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE----- Hash: SHA1 Marcus G. Daniels wrote: > Glen E. P. Ropella wrote: >> If we had access to perfect information, there'd be no need for morality. > > Why? Having perfect information says nothing about the distribution of > power. I'll explain my rhetoric; but I'll trust that you realize I can't really _ground_ my rhetoric in data. I do believe there are valid scientific experiments that could arise from the rhetoric, though. My claim is that things like emotions, perceptions of "good", perceptions of "pornography" (can't define it but I know it when I see it), etc. are actually a culmination of physiological processes rather than ontologically extant things out the world. I.e. there is no such thing as "good behavior", "love", "trepidation", "pornography", etc. out there in reality. These are all just figments of human imagination. If we could correlate states of the body (including but not limited to the brain) with the body's environmental context, then we would see that things like "goodness" are dynamic attractors within the body that represent a kind of sensor fusion. They're merely high-level roll-ups of data we've taken from our environment. Morality is the individual's organization of, grammar for, and use of such high-level culminations. When such organizations, grammars, and usage patterns are communicable to many people and are actually communicated (i.e. some form of collective morality obtains), the individuals who are successful at manipulating the morality have the opportunity to take some measure of power over that collective. For example, a televangelist manipulates the morality of Christianity to acquire and hoard money. That's where power enters the picture. However, if all humans had access to perfect information, such a collective morality could not obtain because each individual could actually perceive reality as it is ... _without_ the culminated rules of thumb that are necessary for the ignorant to navigate an uncertain reality. Stated directly, because we only have imperfect information, we have to resort to heuristics to navigate the world. Such heuristics make us vulnerable to opportunists who happen to be more facile with manipulating such heuristics. If we could perceive the world as it actually is (i.e. had access to perfect info), we would not be vulnerable in this way. - -- glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846, http://tempusdictum.com There is a tragic flaw in our precious Constitution, and I don't know what can be done to fix it. This is it: Only nut cases want to be president. -- Kurt Vonnegut -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE----- Version: GnuPG v1.4.6 (GNU/Linux) Comment: Using GnuPG with Mozilla - http://enigmail.mozdev.org iD8DBQFGvHB5ZeB+vOTnLkoRAkDEAKCU2YbjylyBxEB3oxkUADL1yzBw3ACgitEG eoURig9fs5ctYGs/x9o5c6c= =Do6c -----END PGP SIGNATURE----- ============================================================ FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org |
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