Fwd: iClarified - Apple News - Tablet Growth Expected to Slow to 7.2% in 2014 Alongside First Year of iPad Decline [Chart]

[Owen Densmore]

Nifty predictions that tablet growth is different than phone, declining dramatically over the next several years:

​    ​

http://www.iclarified.com/45614/tablet-growth-expected-to-slow-to-72-in-2014-alongside-first-year-of-ipad-decline-chart

​I think the missing link is the "ecology" of devices.  If your phone migrates to a phablet, then likely your tablet becomes a a different use item.  Ex: tablet becomes video device, helping people "cut the cable".  Basically I see the various market segments fighting amongst themselves.

TV's are always lost in the ecology, but they are seriously integrated now with most phones being able to replace TV/Tivo/DVR remotes with far more value added.  The seriously effective Internet/TV devices (Nook, aTV, ChromeCast, etc) are making DVRs obsolete.  I'm running out of HDMI connectors on mine!  And I love it when I get a phone call on my remote!

Similarly, tablets are replacing low-end (MBAir, ChromeBook, Moz devices) "laptops" for non-power users, i.e. web/mail/social.​  Phablets are still a bit of an unknown, and being squeezed out of a market segment by phones settling on a XXL size.  And oddly enough, the phablets have better battery life due to being large, so bigger battery. 

Interesting "cultural history" of the digital ecology!  Wanna write a book?  :)

   -- Owen

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[Gillian Densmore]

All do respect I think the missing piece to the ecology is shit that
works, apps that don't suck down gigs of space, and UI/UX fails (for
example)-

Anaologe TVs while quaint, and neigh impossible to find now have one
small advantage over digital: you plug them in, and they might Just
Work. Untill that comes back tablet and phablet won't matter because
the stuff is made from dodgy parts and failure prone.
My Old Treos, for the most part, just worked and seemed more like a
partner on my journies than phones i've used recently.

The article failes to note that this is history repeating itself, back
in the 90s I distintly recalll the pleasure of  product testing for
Skunk Works a device that was about the size of a 11year olds hand-
and this energetic man (possible McNealy or someone from apple) saying
"this is the future it doesn't do much now but your job is to find
what it can do" sufficed to say it did basic calling (Radeo IIRC) and
IIRC could plug into a frame so that it could take basic pictures,
what was cool? That's all it did- in mobile mode, in desktop mode it
did vastly more-- but it just fucking worked- and as far as I could
tell was built like a tank, could talk to the lissa via a ADB cable
IIRC and talk to a Densmore the elders Spark after we found a working
doodad. it to was more of a partner on my young journies-

As far as i'm conerned thatas what's missing from modern devices the
sense there kind of like a partner on your journies.



On Tue, Nov 25, 2014 at 8:38 PM, Owen Densmore <[hidden email]> wrote:

> Nifty predictions that tablet growth is different than phone, declining
> dramatically over the next several years:
>
> http://www.iclarified.com/45614/tablet-growth-expected-to-slow-to-72-in-2014-alongside-first-year-of-ipad-decline-chart
>
> I think the missing link is the "ecology" of devices.  If your phone
> migrates to a phablet, then likely your tablet becomes a a different use
> item.  Ex: tablet becomes video device, helping people "cut the cable".
> Basically I see the various market segments fighting amongst themselves.
>
> TV's are always lost in the ecology, but they are seriously integrated now
> with most phones being able to replace TV/Tivo/DVR remotes with far more
> value added.  The seriously effective Internet/TV devices (Nook, aTV,
> ChromeCast, etc) are making DVRs obsolete.  I'm running out of HDMI
> connectors on mine!  And I love it when I get a phone call on my remote!
>
> Similarly, tablets are replacing low-end (MBAir, ChromeBook, Moz devices)
> "laptops" for non-power users, i.e. web/mail/social.  Phablets are still a
> bit of an unknown, and being squeezed out of a market segment by phones
> settling on a XXL size.  And oddly enough, the phablets have better battery
> life due to being large, so bigger battery.
>
> Interesting "cultural history" of the digital ecology!  Wanna write a book?
> :)
>
>    -- Owen
>
>
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> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

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[glen ropella]

On 11/27/2014 10:28 AM, Gillian Densmore wrote:
> As far as i'm conerned thatas what's missing from modern devices the
> sense there kind of like a partner on your journies.

Well said.  I really like the ability to swap out ROMs, poke around and build my own image, modify the boot scripts, etc.  I do think it's a bit antithetic to the "just works" sense, though.  Different people have different expectations about whatever they're handling at the time.  I have low expectations... it has to just do something... then it has to evoke, to me, the impression that it could do more ... which is not hard because I'm gullible.  Having something that "just works" in every sense of the concept kinda puts up a wall between me and my imagination.  If the device and workflow are too opaque... require too much engineering or wizardry, then I don't care if it works or really what it does...  it puts me off.  I'd much rather have a crusty, almost broken thing that is more transparent and provokes my imagination.

I also like science fiction space ships that have lots of bumps and peculiar devices poking out of them, too. ;-)  And the Borg were always more aesthetically pleasing than the Federation drones.

--
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
In this world where I am king


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[Gillian Densmore]

^
Yes the transparent invoking imagination thing

On Fri, Nov 28, 2014 at 5:30 AM, glen <[hidden email]> wrote:

> On 11/27/2014 10:28 AM, Gillian Densmore wrote:
>> As far as i'm conerned thatas what's missing from modern devices the
>> sense there kind of like a partner on your journies.
>
> Well said.  I really like the ability to swap out ROMs, poke around and build my own image, modify the boot scripts, etc.  I do think it's a bit antithetic to the "just works" sense, though.  Different people have different expectations about whatever they're handling at the time.  I have low expectations... it has to just do something... then it has to evoke, to me, the impression that it could do more ... which is not hard because I'm gullible.  Having something that "just works" in every sense of the concept kinda puts up a wall between me and my imagination.  If the device and workflow are too opaque... require too much engineering or wizardry, then I don't care if it works or really what it does...  it puts me off.  I'd much rather have a crusty, almost broken thing that is more transparent and provokes my imagination.
>
> I also like science fiction space ships that have lots of bumps and peculiar devices poking out of them, too. ;-)  And the Borg were always more aesthetically pleasing than the Federation drones.
>
> --
> ⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
> In this world where I am king
>
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

============================================================
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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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