Bayesian, naturally

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Bayesian, naturally

Roger Critchlow-2
The NYTimes  has an article "Subconsciously, Athletes May Play Like
Statisticians"

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/01/20/health/20TENN.html

based on the cover story in Nature last week: "Anyone for Bayesian
Integration?"

http://www.nature.com/nature/links/040115/040115-1.html

The claim is that by experimentally manipulating the uncertainties in a
virtual reality learning situation, the authors can show that the brain
is using Bayesian reasoning to figure out how to perform the task set by
the experimenters.  So however you stand philosophically on the issue of
probabilities, you're an involuntary Bayesian in practise.

-- rec --


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Bayesian, naturally

Frank Wimberly
My friend George Duncan, who is a professor of statistics, had sent me that
article earlier.  He said that in the 1970's when he submitted his
dissertation his advisor suggested he remove the word "Bayesian" because of
the bad reaction it would stimulate.  In the meantime...

Frank
----- Original Message -----
From: "Roger E Critchlow Jr" <[hidden email]>
To: "The Friday Morning Complexity Coffee Group" <[hidden email]>
Sent: Wednesday, January 21, 2004 11:49 AM
Subject: [FRIAM] Bayesian, naturally


> The NYTimes  has an article "Subconsciously, Athletes May Play Like
> Statisticians"
>
> http://www.nytimes.com/2004/01/20/health/20TENN.html
>
> based on the cover story in Nature last week: "Anyone for Bayesian
> Integration?"
>
> http://www.nature.com/nature/links/040115/040115-1.html
>
> The claim is that by experimentally manipulating the uncertainties in a
> virtual reality learning situation, the authors can show that the brain
> is using Bayesian reasoning to figure out how to perform the task set by
> the experimenters.  So however you stand philosophically on the issue of
> probabilities, you're an involuntary Bayesian in practise.
>
> -- rec --
>
>
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