Full article link:
http://analyticjournalism.blogharbor.com/blog/_archives/2009/8/16/4290470.html
Can Game Theory Predict When Iran Will Get the Bomb?
Good NYTimes profile of NYU/Hoover Institute professor Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, who has spent 40+ years developing predictive models of socio-political activity. (Also a nice bit of promo for “The Predictioneer’s Game,” Bueno de Mesquita's book scheduled to come out next month.)
"Of course, a somewhat high profile always proves to be an attractor. For example, see "The New Nostradamus."
"Can a fringe branch of mathematics forecast the future? A special adviser to the CIA, Fortune 500 companies, and the U.S. Department of Defense certainly thinks so.
"If you listen to Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, and a ...
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