Advice needed on CAS

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Advice needed on CAS

habib-2
Hi folks,

It was about a year ago when i first introduced with the term 'complex
adaptive systems', and since that time I've learned lots of things about the
subject.
I also finished my undergrad studies and these days i am going to choose
a new university to continue my studies. My field was control
engineering and one can consequently conclude I should choose a control
engineering master/doctorate program too. But there exists a master program
in complex adaptive systems in Chalmers University, Sweden - and I've been
admitted to it - that makes decision making for me difficult.

I want to know if you guys in FRIAM can dispense me with some advice. I
don't know exactly how the future of complex adaptive systems will be. What
is your anticipation? Is it going to die out like some other suddenly
flourishing areas such as Cybernetics in two decade ago or not? With a
master of complex adaptive systems in your pocket and a fair resume how many
doctorate or research positions is available to you? Am I able to change
gear and enter another department (like economics or sociology) later for
doctorate and work on complex adaptive systems there? This is what I want
know - to become a researcher in field of for example economics from eyes of
complex adaptive systems one should spend his master in economics or in a
program like what I mentioned? I also think that there are lots of jobs
available in financial market - how is my guess realistic?

I've been a member of FRIAM for six months, and this is my first email. It
is not what usually one really likes to read but I hope someone reply it. It
will help me a lot in making a decision.

kind regards,
Habib Talavaty.
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Advice needed on CAS

Carlos Gershenson
Dear Habib,

I know some people who have done the Masters on Complex Systems at  
Chalmers, and they were quite happy with it. The advantage of  
studying complex systems, being interdisciplinary, is that you can  
apply the learned knowledge in a wide variety of areas. So if you  
finish a MSc in complex systems, you could apply the knowledge  
acquired there to Economics, Engineering, Sociology, etc, but not  
vice versa...

Actually there aren't many other MSc in Complex Systems (at least  
with that title) I know about... Southampton just made one http://
www.ecs.soton.ac.uk/admissions/pg/complexity_science.php
and I remember another one in Italy...

About continuing for a PhD, I believe it depends more on the student  
that on the programme s/he takes. For a PhD you need lots of  
perseverance and self-motivation, and sometimes that can be  
difficult. After a Master's, those who would like to continue for a  
PhD usually find their way, in the same subject, or changing fields.  
You shouldn't worry about that now...

I'm afraid I don't have knowledge about the current state of affairs  
of the financial market...

Hope this helps,

     Carlos Gershenson...
     Centrum Leo Apostel, Vrije Universiteit Brussel
     Krijgskundestraat 33. B-1160 Brussels, Belgium
     http://homepages.vub.ac.be/~cgershen/

   ?Tendencies tend to change...?


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Advice needed on CAS

Jochen Fromm-3

Hi Carlos, nice to meet you here. I have read some of your
papers and have a question: Mamei et al. say in their article
about "Case Studies for Self-Organization in Computer Science"
http://www.agentgroup.unimo.it/Zambonelli/PDF/JSA.pdf
that "Selforganization appears to be the next 'big concept'
in science in general". I doubt this is true. Would you agree?
According to my experience, dealing with self-organization and
"emergence" can be quite frustrating, because they are IMHO more
the exception than the rule. They are interesting concepts, but
one reason why they are interesting is that they are rare in
daily life. Nothing organizes itself or appears out of nowhere.
Moreover, there is a natural contradiction between self-organization
and engineering: a self-organizing system with emergent properties
is not only hard to find, it is obviously hard to design and to
engineer. What is your own experience from your work towards a
PhD thesis in this area ?

Best regards,

Jochen



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Self-organization (was Re: Advice needed on CAS)

Carlos Gershenson
Hi Jochen,

Also nice to meet you here, I've also read some of your papers from  
the arXiv.


> Mamei et al. say in their article
> about "Case Studies for Self-Organization in Computer Science"
> http://www.agentgroup.unimo.it/Zambonelli/PDF/JSA.pdf
>
actually I am reading that paper now... just went out online in the  
Journal of Systems Architecture...

> that "Selforganization appears to be the next 'big concept'
> in science in general". I doubt this is true. Would you agree?

Well, there is a renascent interest in it, e.g. there are workshops  
being organized on the subject (e.g. http://esoa.altarum.net/ 
esoa06/ ) (renascent because it was very popular in the 40's and 50's  
within cybernetics)
Personally, I don't think it will be "a big hit" in science, because  
the concept is very loose...
and mainstream science likes hard and crisp concepts.
As Ashby argued, you can call any dynamics system self-organizing. In  
other words, dynamical systems have attractors, and if the observer  
wants to call that attractor an "organized" state, then you have self-
organization, since the dynamics tend to the attractor. So there's a  
bit of subjectivity always tied to self-organization, and many people  
don't like that. (Well, I would argue that there's a bit of  
subjectivity in all sciences, even mathematics, but that's another  
story...)
In this paper http://uk.arxiv.org/abs/nlin.AO/0303020 , we argue that  
the question is not to see wether a system is self-organizing or not,  
but when it is useful to speak about it or not...

> According to my experience, dealing with self-organization and
> "emergence" can be quite frustrating, because they are IMHO more
> the exception than the rule. They are interesting concepts, but
> one reason why they are interesting is that they are rare in
> daily life. Nothing organizes itself or appears out of nowhere.

It depends on how you see daily life... As I said before, you can see  
any system as self-organizing, since it is just a description of your  
observations. So you can describe any animal, any society, any cell,  
any computer, any car... any system, as self-organizing. The only  
question is wether this is a useful description or not... and for our  
daily lives, it is not.

You can see emergence as a change of model, or level of description.  
So it is not that things come out of nowhere, but the observer can  
describe the observed as emergent or not... So for example anything  
you touch has temperature, which its atoms don't have, so you can see  
temperature as an emergent property. The same for life, cognition,  
etc... Emergence all around us.

What I want to say is that describing something as self-organizing or  
emergent does not change the thing itself, only our description of  
it. As for now, when is this useful? It seems that only when the  
usual ways of describing things run into trouble... The thing is that  
nowadays things seem to run into trouble more and more often... So if  
we'll change our way of describing daily things or not, that I don't  
know...

>  Moreover, there is a natural contradiction between self-organization
> and engineering: a self-organizing system with emergent properties
> is not only hard to find, it is obviously hard to design and to
> engineer. What is your own experience from your work towards a
> PhD thesis in this area ?

Well, it is hard because we still don't know how to do it properly...
I don't see a contradiction here, because self-organization becomes a  
very useful concept when you have such a huge problem domain that you  
cannot exhaust it, or when the problem domain is changing constantly,  
so a solution needs to be actively sought for.
If the problem is closed and well defined, self-organization is a  
redundant concept. But when the system you are engineering is beyond  
your full comprehension, in the sense that you cannot tell the system  
precisely what to do, the only choice is to build a system so that it  
finds itself what to do... And this works for both cases: when you  
don't know the solution, or when this changes constantly. If you use  
a traditional approach, you either will get a simplified solution  
that will not work, or will get a solution that will be outdated  
before you can implement it...

With our current society, there is a demand for these types of  
systems, but I don't think that the demand for the "traditional"  
systems will decrease, so for a few decades at least, I don't see  
self-organization as being "big"...

Hope this satisfied more or less your question...

Best regards,

     Carlos Gershenson...
     Centrum Leo Apostel, Vrije Universiteit Brussel
     Krijgskundestraat 33. B-1160 Brussels, Belgium
     http://homepages.vub.ac.be/~cgershen/

   ?Tendencies tend to change...?




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Self-organization

Jochen Fromm-3

Of course it is a buzzword and a very broad term.
I agree that the term is subjective. What I mean is:
the concept is useful to explain some causal relationship
only at the border between a system and it's environment,
if the system is not too big and still comprehensible.
The earth as a whole and the computer are both "self-organizing"
systems which consume energy and produce entropy (heat). Yet they
are very different, and "self-organization" explains nothing
here. The term self-organization in general depends on your
view of the system. If you say: here is the system,
and there is the environment, and if the environment
is not organizing the system, then one can say that the
system organizes itself (somehow).

I think Ashby argued in his original paper "Principles of
the Self-Organizing System" that no machine can be self-organized
(in the sense of organizational change from bad or useless
forms to good and useful types of organization) unless it
is coupled to another machine. His paper was quite critical,
and it is remarkable that Ashby as a pioneer in the area of
self-organization claims that there's no such thing as
self-organization in many cases. And he is right: I recently
got a new self-cleaning razor (a Braun 8595 Activator), and
it consists of two machines, the razor itself, and a docking
station which cleans the razor after the use and charges it up.

-J.



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Advice needed on CAS

habib-2
In reply to this post by Jochen Fromm-3
Hi Carlos,

Thanks a lot for your words. They really helped.
Anyhow, there is still a question open in my mind about CAS..
Is it going to die out or not?
You know, sometimes I think CAS is only a way to tell us we don't know
enough, and we should not loose details, not a systematic approach to
solve problems. At this point, it seems CAS is a more a means of
observe rather than a  means of control. Every new observation is only
interesting for a while, and soon have to be substituted with another
one.
I think an example form a work done here at IPM (Institute for Studies
in Theoretical Physics and Mathematics, Tehran, Iran) can illuminate
what i try to say: We have a paper in review here that suggests
neuronal bursts in thalamus are a emergent property and previously
neglected details like calcium ion concentration in active canals will
dictate if we observe them in our model or not. This is what one can
infer from his knowledge of CAS - but only when you have a in depth
understanding of system, you can claim you really qualitatively grasp
the meaning of it.

I hope my words can covey what i try to say,
I d be glad to have your comment Carlos.

best regards,
Habib


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Advice needed on CAS

Carlos Gershenson
Hi Habib,

> Anyhow, there is still a question open in my mind about CAS..
> Is it going to die out or not?

I don't think so. First of all, previous fields like cybernetics did  
not die out, but evolved. So now people who studied (or still study)  
cybernetics per se, find their way.

But more importantly, I think that CAS are different from  
cybernetics, chaos, etc. They have lots of potential, and they have  
proven to be useful in lots of areas.
Moreover, there are several funding opportunities focussing on CAS  
(at least in Europe), so if there's funding calling for CAS research,  
people will follow.

CAS also suggest a different way of thinking about the world, but  
wether this will replace Newtonian paradigms in mainstream science or  
not, remains to be seen.

> You know, sometimes I think CAS is only a way to tell us we don't know
> enough, and we should not loose details, not a systematic approach to
> solve problems. At this point, it seems CAS is a more a means of
> observe rather than a  means of control. Every new observation is only
> interesting for a while, and soon have to be substituted with another
> one.

Well, indeed there is yet no "science of complexity", but wether we  
will reach that, or change our concept of science, I think that  
understanding of CAS has been increasing steadily, so I don't see it  
dying out, at least for the next decade. If then we won't be speaking  
about CAS, it won't be because we've forgotten about them, but  
because we've found something better, and in any case CAS knowledge  
will be useful there.

> I think an example form a work done here at IPM (Institute for Studies
> in Theoretical Physics and Mathematics, Tehran, Iran) can illuminate
> what i try to say: We have a paper in review here that suggests
> neuronal bursts in thalamus are a emergent property and previously
> neglected details like calcium ion concentration in active canals will
> dictate if we observe them in our model or not. This is what one can
> infer from his knowledge of CAS - but only when you have a in depth
> understanding of system, you can claim you really qualitatively grasp
> the meaning of it.

It depends on your purposes.
If describing neuronal bursts as emergent properties increases your  
understanding of the brain, then it's useful. If not, not...

Khodahafez,

     Carlos Gershenson...
     Centrum Leo Apostel, Vrije Universiteit Brussel
     Krijgskundestraat 33. B-1160 Brussels, Belgium
     http://homepages.vub.ac.be/~cgershen/

   ?Tendencies tend to change...?